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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    so what makes you think this 72 hour NAM doesn't fall into that category ? Benchmark track at NAM 72 hours ???
  2. NEG NAO
    How real is this ? From many other models just yesterday far out to sea to a benchmark track ??? BUT its out of the NAM more reliable range of 60 hours
  3. NEG NAO
    The 12Z GFSv16 I posted earlier almost phased in time - this 12Z EURO OP doesn't make sense - it shows basically nothing for Sunday offshore and then midweek tries cutting a low west of us into New York State ? ??? Each 12Z model has a totally different solution it seems
  4. NEG NAO
    and the GFSv16 is back trying hard to save the day !
  5. NEG NAO
    Portions of LI have gotten quite a bit of snow the last 10 years..................
  6. NEG NAO
    As I mentioned yesterday - it is rare for the immediate NYC metro to get a significant snowstorm that follows so closely ( less then 1 week) a major snowstorm the size of the previous storm .That said I think the storm doesn't phase along the coast this weekend and the current EURO OP is going in the correct direction. BUT the EURO OP is showing some potential for a few days later. So now go ahead and tell me I am wrong (I hope I am wrong ) about the weekend. Also can anyone remember a SECS following so closely behind MECS or HECS comparable to the previous storm in NYC ?
  7. NEG NAO
    its really difficult to fiqure out what the Canadian is trying to accomplish here and hard to believe that northern stream energy will make it this far north during that time period without redeveloping further south
  8. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian
  9. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
  10. NEG NAO
    WPC
  11. NEG NAO
    (02 Feb 2021) GFSv16 and HRW FV3 data have been unavailable since 12z due to NCEP data flow problems. We are not aware of an ETA from NCEP.
  12. NEG NAO
  13. NEG NAO
    which model is going to cave the OP EURO or OP GFS ? Also very rare around most of the metro to have a significant snowstorm on top of so much snow already on the ground..........
  14. NEG NAO
    You have now entered the Twilight Zone............
  15. NEG NAO
    and lets not forget a relative of his Major Winter Storm to Hit Massachusetts on Monday February 1, 2021 - YouTube
  16. NEG NAO
    this initial batch is just some flurries and snow showers Weather Radar | Weather Underground (wunderground.com)
  17. NEG NAO
    I usually start viewing these Jersey shore webcams to see if there is any mixing changeover Beach Webcams in New Jersey - NJ Beach Cams
  18. NEG NAO
    there is alot of mixing and possible changeover to rain along the coast at least on that run
  19. NEG NAO
    thats 6 inches less then the 6Z at least in my neck of the woods in central NJ
  20. NEG NAO
  21. NEG NAO
    I am discounting those over the top models showing 20 something inches of snow in North Central NJ the NWS has the right idea staying conservative with the totals with still around 30 + hours to go before the event even begins.........
  22. NEG NAO
    Jan 2016 an analog ? Seems like on every clown map I am in the Bullseye in north central NJ
  23. NEG NAO
    12 Euro
  24. NEG NAO
    YOU CAN SEE THE NAVGEM IS ALL IN ON ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR ALL OF THE METRO
  25. NEG NAO
    reason I feel that way about the UKIE is the overall distribution of the precip considering its an offshore storm near the benchmark - nothing looks crazy on that map
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