NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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which METS are saying that ? -
last nights along with all the others since the 1st of the year didn't even cover the entire grass still poking through here in North Central NJ.... about a compressed inch - question now is -will it melt HERE by the potential mid-week storm ? You guys who got 3 or more will not all melt IMO
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Safer now to go to the skating rink at Roosevelt Park ........
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I think we should just concentrate on the first phase of this week long event as what happens with the first wave and how it behaves will affect the crucial tracks of following waves as the week progresses .........this thread is covering too many days IMO - going to get confusing
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only about an inch and a half here of compressed snow/ice on Union/Middlesex County border in NJ - and its just about over fast moving storm less then 6 hours long can still see the some grass and ground underneath it all
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roads are an icy mess - because its not a school night no plows yet and that brine they put down does nothing
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will be interesting to see if the thump really develops with additional moisture as it moves E/NE
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yes but be prepared to be weenied - I set a record of 11 weenies the other day and so far I have been correct at least in the immediate metro.....
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yes thats on Lake Ave just south of Rt. 27 - I will be just east of there near Eggert and McCoy......the shade will definitely keep the snow/ice around longer
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we will see I will be visiting friends in Metuchen on Monday.....I say it all depends how much sun shines........
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Walt - looking at the radar and surface reports right now - is this event going as planned ?
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Ok - I didn't know they start the advisory several hours before the flakes start flying...
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then why did they start the Winter Weather Advisory at 3 PM ? Look at the radar.... its 1:30 already
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This storm event is already busting as the NWS prediction of a chance of snow this afternoon doesn't seem like it has a chance according to surface reports and the radar with not much on it
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Euro gives Virginia the heavier snow mid- week here possibly some light snow probably imitating all the other events this winter with amounts in the Metro
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you think there will be anything left on the ground before the next possible event mid-week ?
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are you trying to use the GFS as a mesoscale model so close to the event? and comparing it to the other mesoscales?
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so which model do you believe ? They all have differences of opinions = shows not to trust any of them as of now IMO.....watch the radar trends...observe surface reports OBS and upper level OBS
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agreed but the truth is- "It ain't over till its over" - nowcasting event for sure starting now........
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Don are you keeping track of how the models are actually performing so far to our south and west ?
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its nowcasting time - keep your eyes on the ball - monitor radar trends and various surface and upper level guidance - watching the models now arguing with each other so close to tonights event will lead you down the wrong road - as of 9:30 AM radar shows precip moving west to east across northern VA and southern delmarva back through Kentucky with little northward progression yet - frozen line is far south too across southern delmarva
