NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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UH OH you emptied the gas from your snow blowers - thats a signal for more snow - but I would be surprised if we end up with nothing this month..... still 15 days to go in FEB.
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wow you shoukd write a book - so to keep this about the possible interesting weather events the rest of the month what is your opinion ?
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Plenty of cold enough air up north and every one of the previous storms drags some more down here - would be funny if this month ends up like last waiting till the last week to deliver.....
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The "Its Not Coming" Thread is still open - reply in there-lol
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Blizzard Time
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They are too busy talking about Deer...The banter topic of the day in the wrong thread - BUT to talk some weather yes about the 20th to 22nd has to be watched - I mentioned a week or so ago that we will end up with at least 6 inches total this month
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this recent storm could have been similar but those hours of heavy sleet messed that up
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and what proof do you have that 2026 will behave like 2010, 2011 and 2015 ?
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stronger system will create dynamic cooling...........
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where do you come up with this stuff ?
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0Z runs should be interesting - that northern energy out in the Pacific should begin to get more fully sampled each run.........we hope - closing of weather offices across the country have reduced the number of ballons launched though
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neither has its cousin the GFS - Canadian has stayed with the more amped north solution - Euro has displayed both - thats why Upton has maintained a high amount of uncertainty which it should 5 days out
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Upton AFD says high amount of uncertainty for next potential storm AFD from KOKX
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if you believe the GFS regarding the upcoming miss then you will have to believe this - 1 inch over the next 16 days total qpf - which will help little
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Said yes at 0Z - will it change again with updated fresh data ? 0Z runs get the full load of data - interesting that the Canadian has been close to consistent with the phasing and more intense storm for a few days now
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not north of you only reached 40 here with clouds all day
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No phase at 12Z on euro = suppressed storm
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they are basically all holding on to their original solutions from a couple days ago - IMO still a 50/50 chance of a phase which equals stronger more north widespread event of rain/mix/snow - I would hold off on a storm thread today
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we have about 6 hours today of temps in the 40's - this ice glacier is so thick it takes longer than that to melt more then an inch off of it if that - temps next few days are much cooler - so whatever precip falls this weekend will still be falling on a layer of snow/ice also no bright sun here right now
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This November 2012 example of a system that started with barely cold marginal airmass in place and it was silll Fall ! All of this snow was created by dynamic cooling. This weekend system has the potential of creating a similar dynamic cooling event and this will be in a more favorable mid- February environment with cold water temps also. Also factor in the layer of ice that will still be present on the surface - not much to interfere with the dynamic cooling - except if the systems don't phase Snow storm, November 7-8, 2012 - Storm Summary
