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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Higher sun angle , direction roof faces and slope -temps above freezing yesterday and close enough to freezing today to promote melting- poor insulation just below the roof - solar panels etc. etc.
  2. NEG NAO
    GFS makes the most sense - the Euro's don't .....
  3. NEG NAO
    Interesting BUT
  4. NEG NAO
    if that were to verify it would only be a SECS in many areas - I would discount it at the present time
  5. NEG NAO
    I would rate historic as in the top 10 % of all time greatest snowstorms
  6. NEG NAO
    this is now now casting time using radars and various types of surface reports and observations - I don't think any model can keep up to date at this time because of all the complex interactions in the atmosphere constantly changing
  7. NEG NAO
    time will tell thats all I have to say
  8. NEG NAO
    problem I see - the Nam cut totals at 12Z and the Canadian already had reduced total at 0Z Last night
  9. NEG NAO
    this is a very complex set-up and there are going to be some surprises as we get further down the road today - possible extreme lifting - banding and on the flip side a large dry slot somewhere cutting off precip for hours
  10. NEG NAO
    dynamics - rising air =lifting creating its own cold enough temps
  11. NEG NAO
    there are going to be winners ( rising air - banding) and losers in this event (sinking air - possible light dry slot)there will be a wide range of total snowfall amounts region wide IMO - and impossible at this point to tell exactly where - begin nowcasting....
  12. NEG NAO
    much lower in certain areas especially the ocean county coast VS. the NAM
  13. NEG NAO
    My question now is what is everyone's opinion on what could go wrong with this storm causing much lower snowfall amounts then modeled in certain areas ? One area I think that is overdone is the NAMS 42 inches on the Ocean County coast .
  14. NEG NAO
    IMO its impossible for any model to pinpoint exactly where any extreme amounts will fall caused by banding - have seen that happen in many storms over the years.
  15. NEG NAO
    NYC: 15.8 LGA: 17.9 ISP:27.5 JFK:22.6 EWR: 18.5
  16. NEG NAO
    Manhatten these days is the Heat Island - in a world of its own - concrete jungle - much different than during the Blizzard of '88
  17. NEG NAO
    haven't seen anything like that in a while
  18. NEG NAO
    roads will still be wet during the morning and early afternoon -they are going to put a ton of ice melt and salt down and temps close to or above freezing
  19. NEG NAO
    3 hour drive to where ?
  20. NEG NAO
    Not right along the coast in Monmouth or Ocean - I bet there is a mixing or change over at some point for at least a while
  21. NEG NAO
    will be interesting to see how the barrier islands in Ocean County do with this storm - I remember traveling west from Silverton which had 1 inch to Southern Lakewood - 7 miles away which had 7 inches from a storm
  22. NEG NAO
    yes in southern Monmouth County - know it well lived in Northern Ocean and traveled to work in Farmingdale NJ for years
  23. NEG NAO
    north of I-95 ?? please explain
  24. NEG NAO
    If its modeling holds for this storm the GFS will get an A+ for it - it wants to retire a winner
  25. NEG NAO
    where is the January 1996 storm ? Had 0ver 30 inches here but I was in Northern Ocean County at the time and only had 20 inches
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