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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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GFS is total nonsense
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that makes sense since minor accumulations is the norm in NYC the last 2 years so maybe they can make it to 4 or 5 inches total for the season so far....
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Only the 0Z and 12Z runs should be taken seriously since they contain new Radiosonde Data which is a very important data input into these models 6Z and 18Z contain old stale data
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do you actually think its going to be raining near Scranton and the Hudson Valley and snowing in NYC Metro ?
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because when we see this not much to get enthused about because it isn't correct and other models at 0Z were wet
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Even the cold is not impressive on the EURO 2/18 most of it locked up in Canada
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when the worst model is the only hit - time to start looking down the road for other possibilities which there are none as of now - Presidents Day is too far away and the EURO the day before 2/18 does not look impressive
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Forget about snow early next week Euro says NO
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I think the 0Z GFS should be tossed after seeing that MECS on it for next week and now this
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agreed
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I know but when you see this suppression is less likely
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18Z GFS clown map
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Another Rainstorm 23rd - obviously this is an indication that maybe the pattern will not be suppressed
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Presidents Day Soaker - went from suppresed 12Z to cutter
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NIce - but what do you see happening here in regards to sensible weather ? Down here on the ground
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I hope you are not referring to me at almost 69 years of age..........I am just a grouchy old man........
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the Central Park Snow Measurer Says:
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this concrete jungle in NYC holds the built up heat for a longer period of time.......
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I knew you were going to say that..........
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then why no thread ?
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and when we will need a northern trend in the model runs it will not happen...........
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But as Walt mentioned its not good enough for a thread because this clown map you are displaying is misleading as to what actually would fall and stick ........
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you posted the GFS model run for Feb 18
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too far out
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Upton and Mt. Holly say Rain and 40's