NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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roads are an icy mess - because its not a school night no plows yet and that brine they put down does nothing -
will be interesting to see if the thump really develops with additional moisture as it moves E/NE
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yes but be prepared to be weenied - I set a record of 11 weenies the other day and so far I have been correct at least in the immediate metro.....
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yes thats on Lake Ave just south of Rt. 27 - I will be just east of there near Eggert and McCoy......the shade will definitely keep the snow/ice around longer
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we will see I will be visiting friends in Metuchen on Monday.....I say it all depends how much sun shines........
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Walt - looking at the radar and surface reports right now - is this event going as planned ?
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Ok - I didn't know they start the advisory several hours before the flakes start flying...
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then why did they start the Winter Weather Advisory at 3 PM ? Look at the radar.... its 1:30 already
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This storm event is already busting as the NWS prediction of a chance of snow this afternoon doesn't seem like it has a chance according to surface reports and the radar with not much on it
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Euro gives Virginia the heavier snow mid- week here possibly some light snow probably imitating all the other events this winter with amounts in the Metro
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you think there will be anything left on the ground before the next possible event mid-week ?
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are you trying to use the GFS as a mesoscale model so close to the event? and comparing it to the other mesoscales?
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so which model do you believe ? They all have differences of opinions = shows not to trust any of them as of now IMO.....watch the radar trends...observe surface reports OBS and upper level OBS
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agreed but the truth is- "It ain't over till its over" - nowcasting event for sure starting now........
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Don are you keeping track of how the models are actually performing so far to our south and west ?
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its nowcasting time - keep your eyes on the ball - monitor radar trends and various surface and upper level guidance - watching the models now arguing with each other so close to tonights event will lead you down the wrong road - as of 9:30 AM radar shows precip moving west to east across northern VA and southern delmarva back through Kentucky with little northward progression yet - frozen line is far south too across southern delmarva
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Northern Middlesex County north of the Raritan can have several inches of snow and southern Middlesex County can have next to nothing but they are considered 1 forecast zone...........
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That west to east banding across central NJ reminds me of what happened last Feb 16 -17 storm......
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agreed - this is an interesting event with watches for many - maybe should put strict limits of number of posts allowed daily for new members and everyone should only be allowed a certain number of posts a day.........so they don't hog the forum take a look at their total number of posts and see who is way over the average number considering how long they have been here
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Just a reminder post the 24 HR snowfall maps now because of these multiple storms
