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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. yes but earlier on the 1st - will be interesting to see how this evolves and if the developing LP taps additional moisture from the ocean
  2. why don't you read the Upton AFD I attached ??- also snow squalls from the lakes don't usually reach into south jersey and beyond - glad you have this all figured out already...
  3. 18Z GFS still shows a wave of LP developing on a stalled out front and Upton believes it -so we might be tracking another one of these northern stream systems soon estimated arrival time Jan 1st or possibly 2nd AFD from KOKX
  4. Thats why the Euro is rated as one of the superior models we have ...least amount of flaws in development
  5. exactly - it had the storm many days in advance but to be fair other models did not pick up on that warm layer surging north so early in the storm - so GFS not alone screwing it up
  6. 12Z Euro showing a possible wave - storm or whatever not just the GFS models haven't really been accurate past a few days
  7. chance of precip around NYC metro from a possible wave developing near a cold front coming through the first couple days of the New Year
  8. what ever weather consulting firm they use here giving them their guidance told them to expect a lot of ice and they started putting down a layer of salt on the main roads before the precip started - great job !
  9. this is the most salt I have seen laid down on the roads in a long time- roads just wet here
  10. Roads getting covered now in Times Square earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/?cam=tsrobo3
  11. its because a layer of warmth surging now north and east
  12. any guess of how many inches of sleet we will get ? already looks like dry slots in eastern PA and western nj developing'
  13. luckily there is no wind with this sleetfest
  14. Unexpected heavy sleet here - the road crews are putting a ton of salt on the roads - 27 and just a coating of sleet - who knows how long the sleetfest will last - hopefully this either changes to snow or ends early
  15. I wonder if Mt. Holly reads this forum - they changed their advisory overnight to a Winter Storm Warning for North Central NJ
  16. Fair enough just trying to get reasoning not looking for confrontation
  17. I am posting all of these because there is such disagreement on amounts and locations of..
  18. You have to realize not everyone is in tune with the meanings of weather terms BUT Winter Storm Warning comes across more seriously than just an Advisory to most folks.
  19. public know that ? and how do you know its going to be only 3 -6 in Somerset County NJ ? Staten Island WSW and Somerset only an advisory ? Read what Roger just posted
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