why don't you read the Upton AFD I attached ??- also snow squalls from the lakes don't usually reach into south jersey and beyond - glad you have this all figured out already...
18Z GFS still shows a wave of LP developing on a stalled out front and Upton believes it -so we might be tracking another one of these northern stream systems soon estimated arrival time Jan 1st or possibly 2nd
AFD from KOKX
exactly - it had the storm many days in advance but to be fair other models did not pick up on that warm layer surging north so early in the storm - so GFS not alone screwing it up
what ever weather consulting firm they use here giving them their guidance told them to expect a lot of ice and they started putting down a layer of salt on the main roads before the precip started - great job !
Unexpected heavy sleet here - the road crews are putting a ton of salt on the roads - 27 and just a coating of sleet - who knows how long the sleetfest will last - hopefully this either changes to snow or ends early
You have to realize not everyone is in tune with the meanings of weather terms BUT Winter Storm Warning comes across more seriously than just an Advisory to most folks.
public know that ? and how do you know its going to be only 3 -6 in Somerset County NJ ? Staten Island WSW and Somerset only an advisory ? Read what Roger just posted