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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    You are discounting all of the other possibilities - this what led several folks here to be wrong about this past event saying things like "no accumulations" and rain up to I-84 - I agree with what Walt said earlier " Caution on tossing the towel before 2/25. I do think we will warmup big time the first few days of March, if not around 2/28-29. BUT... weeklies seem optimistic about multiple qpf opportunities in March. We'll know I think at 4PM Friday when the updated March monthly posts from CPC. In the meantime, minor minor Thu night. Will re review at 530PM for a 1-4" refresher thread NJ-LI portion of the forum, so snow starve. Looks too me like a nice colder consistency Saturday morning. 2/22-24 is on... no thread but pretty sure large winter storm then. Probably a little too warm here, but maybe not, so keep monitoring the ensembles/ops reading up."
  2. NEG NAO
    the scientific evidence you included in this post supports that idea.........
  3. NEG NAO
    need the track to pass south of us near the Del Marva and the best snows are 50 -75 miles north of the 850 lp usually - even though temps are borderline the next couple of weeks are a snowstorm pattern here - HP to the north storm tracks just south and east of here
  4. NEG NAO
  5. NEG NAO
    which would be close to todays totals in many areas BUT since it is a weekend folks won't take it that seriously since many schools and businesses are closed...
  6. NEG NAO
    There is an upside possibility for Saturdays event as of now. As usual the track and speed of the system are key and it is a positive that the track is south of us and various features aloft support an expansive area of moisture far north of the track......
  7. NEG NAO
    I think many realize now that there can be snowstorms in mild patterns after what happened today......
  8. NEG NAO
    I guess there will be no storm thread for this Saturday - probably a good idea since this last storm thread for todays storm was a mess for obvious reasons.......
  9. NEG NAO
    Mt. Holly just had a forecast update at 1 A.M. and still going with little or no accumulation in my area - these updates done by Humans ? ZFP from KPHI (cod.edu)
  10. NEG NAO
    8 -12 is now south of 78 and or 80
  11. NEG NAO
    Try 36 hours out
  12. NEG NAO
    Euro = 12.8 for my area - Mt. Holly forecast = Little or No Snow Accumulation - can't make this stuff up....
  13. NEG NAO
    maybe BUT will be interesting nowcasting Tuesday morning using radar........
  14. NEG NAO
    surprise potential is high along with the bust potential with this storm IMO since no one seems to have a handle on it yet...more questions then answers so far
  15. NEG NAO
    and what happens if the storm stalls or slows down.......?
  16. NEG NAO
    Jan. 4, 2018 - An intense nor'easter created whiteout conditions late in the morning into the early afternoon, with snow accumulating close to ten inches by the time it ended later in the afternoon. Today's snow easily broke the previous record for snowfall on this date (4.0" in 1988) - and today's accumulation of 9.8" was slightly more than last winter's biggest snowfall (9.4" on Feb. 9). Temperatures were in the mid-20s throughout the storm and, combined with winds that gusted close to 35 mph, produced wind chills around 10°. Today was also the tenth consecutive day in which the high was colder than 32°, making this the longest such streak since one of 12 days in January 2003.
  17. NEG NAO
    I am sure Don knows......
  18. NEG NAO
    I guess Walt would have the best answer......
  19. NEG NAO
    Tell that to whoever is in charge at Mt. Holly
  20. NEG NAO
    a Winter Storm Watch or advisory ?
  21. NEG NAO
    are they even considering global models as of now? The mesoscale models are in range
  22. NEG NAO
    bust potential currently is high for this storm IMO
  23. NEG NAO
    ZFP from KPHI (cod.edu) 10P.M. update scroll down to Middlesex County
  24. NEG NAO
    8.4 in Northern Middlesex County NJ and Mt. Holly has little or no snow accumulation - somethings not right.............
  25. NEG NAO
    because of visibility or road conditions or both ?
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