NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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IMO Somerset , Middlesex and Mercer Counties which currently only have advisories for 3 - 5 have a 50/50 chance of being upgraded to warnings close to the start of the storm....... -
the entire region ??
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So he thinks all snow everywhere.........CMC gives LI mostly liquid
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sounds good - so what is your analysis of next weeks pattern - care to share ?
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I think its the same storm but with timing differences plus the GFS at 240 hours is not reliable
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CMC shows storm potential later next week too far out for specifics
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the 540 line on the CMC is east of us not plain rain plus track of low is probably too far west after the arctic frontal passage also GFS farther east
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for some reason I can't post Tropical Tidbits maps here BUT Pivotal maps I can
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06Z GFS has a snow - heavy rain storm here which wasn't even shown on yesterdays 12Z
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with GFS least reliable model past 60 hours
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CMC VS. GFS
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Beginning to think there will be 2 "thread the needle" east coast snow storms next week - Euro and Canadian same idea
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of course you can say that day 9 is each models biggest downfall and also anybody making predictions regarding Day 9 is their biggest downfall...
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How can you discount the Euro solution 9 days out ? IMO this has as much of a chance of verifying as what your saying has....
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Can't hang your hat on any solution right now ............work in progress....
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2 weeks away ?? Lets start a 1/27 thread-lol
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there is a possibility this will turn into a minor event early next week similar to the last few - also the drought is continuing with little precip this month 0.10 inch at CP Norm 1.45
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This is a litttle odd the 12Z Euro develops a LP southwest of us on the 19th moving NE and the 06Z GFS does the same delivering a snow event BUT the 12Z GFS doesn't have it
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0Z Euro is too far off the coast and 0Z Canadian is inland with mixing issues here
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12Z Euro more or less agrees with 12Z Canadian I like seeing that HP in southeast Canada also...
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at least its not the GFS showing it
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and triple the amount of school bus drivers - plus how are school crossing guards going to deal with working in the dark ?
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try and make sense out of this: Winters around here are impossible to predict snowfall in advance monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf
