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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Paul Dorian of Arcfield Weather just mentioned that this new data won't be in the model runs till 12Z today.
  2. NEG NAO
    only when the high to the north is NOT as strong and anchored like this weekends will be - this is a Miller B setup redevelopment off the coast sooner then later
  3. NEG NAO
    not according to Mt. Holly WSW from KPHI
  4. NEG NAO
    and what changed in the model output with this additional input ?
  5. NEG NAO
    the more actual ice - sleet etc and rain make the snow much heavier to shovel - high ratio snow can actually be removed with a powerful leaf blower if you keep up with it from when it starts accumulating
  6. NEG NAO
    Notice that Mt. Holly's Winter Storm Watches only include mixing in their southern zones WSW from KPHI
  7. NEG NAO
    impactful because its going to affect a significant amount of the population many in a negative way.....
  8. NEG NAO
    many of us would be happy if this verified
  9. NEG NAO
  10. NEG NAO
    18Z so far concentrates on the weak secondary but looks like a strung out mess - no mixing concerns here
  11. NEG NAO
    Mr. Cowan should work on changing that
  12. NEG NAO
    wheres the mixing colors ? just snow and rain ?
  13. NEG NAO
    True with the ground so cold also we don't want to get any freezing rain - that could be a nightmare - the folks down south are hoping they don't experience that - no fun living without electric in this weather
  14. NEG NAO
    thats why I posted this little gem of a link - Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary mass hysteria - all milk and bread sold out for next to nothing in accumulation
  15. NEG NAO
    looks like the Euro timing and mixing set up
  16. NEG NAO
    especially if the mid-level warmer air starts surging north causing alot of instability in the atmosphere - question is where this will happen ?
  17. NEG NAO
    and a very wide range of weather conditions usually in that 75 mile radius because of the terrain and ocean
  18. NEG NAO
    I just mentiond that a few minutes ago and with this arctic airmass I would suspect there will be virga
  19. NEG NAO
    timing wise it might be closer to the GFS -PLUS consider there may be some front end virga involved here which delays the onset of the precip that reaches the ground - we have seen that before
  20. NEG NAO
    thats another problem here because the forum apparently extends from Ocean County all the way up to lower New York State and into eastern PA and CT., Long Island - so sorry I don't know how to rephrase what I said
  21. NEG NAO
    there is a banter thread and I think debating opinions is fine - but draw the line at trying to bully someone telling them to stop posting or name calling
  22. NEG NAO
    first of all we are right on the edge of the mixing line and its still 4 days away - so this is not set in stone
  23. NEG NAO
    GFS and Euro are at odds right now because the precip on the GFS only arrives area wide 3 -6 hours before mixing is very close on the Euro
  24. NEG NAO
    Agreed and I wouldn't commit to any accumulation amount right now until all the players are on the field and moving - at first I thought we would have high ratio's but now that is in doubt also.
  25. NEG NAO
    Anyone remember our high expectations several days out with this storm ? We were talking about this one on the forum previous to this one - think it was called Eastern Weather ? Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary
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