NEG NAO
-
Posts
8,851 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NEG NAO
-
Dr. No OP in a world of its own as of 0Z Feb. 17 - the 12Z Canadian OP also had that cutter LP near the GL but changed course at 0Z
-
IMO thats a good signal this should be all frozen precip this far north
-
now we wait for the Euro's to see if they join the 0Z snowstorm party - when is the last time we had it "easy" around here almost week out with most models predicting a MECS this far out and it verifying ?
-
Its a week system close to a week away - expect changes - as long as it doesn't turn into another sleet fest !
-
Some folks here have suggested you start the storm thread when and if the time is right - some of the info you just provided can be included ?
-
yes always good idea to put all your eggs into one basket
-
Snow storm, February 3-4, 1995 - Storm Summary
-
they are usually all over the place especially more then 5 days out thats why creating a storm thread now is not a good idea - I am really interested in what the Canadian has at 0Z - it had nothing but a LP in the Great Lakes at 12Z basically with all the southern energy and precip swinging through to its south like a front
-
good thing is the water temps are only a few degrees close to 32- I think the AI is overdone if there is no support- but too far out still
-
Too far out to micro manage this storm its still where we want it - its all frozen - not cutting west of us
-
can't read it its blocked but probably he said there will be no storm or rain plus he just put a video out a few days ago saying nothing through March 1 -thats why you are posting it ?
-
thats why ensembles are important at this range
-
this
-
-
Uncle ?
-
CMC is too far north and west with that storm IMO and running the southern energy out way in front of it - plus it didn't catch on to the northern side dynamics of yesterdays storm till late in the game
-
its still up in the air so to say exactly when the storm will develop and reach here could be anywhere from 2/21 to 2/24
-
that far out you can't take the colorful precip field seriously yet on any model especially OPS use the ensembles also a 991 in the perfect position will deliver here
-
so you agree with me - go back a few posts thats what I said - Wednesday at the earliest
-
ok - you start the thread than
-
You started last months storm thread on January 19 for the January 25th -26th major storm and that worked out well
-
agreed wait till Wednesday morning at the earliest to pin down the timing
-
Start thinking about when to start a new storm thread.....this time period 22nd -24th has been on the radar screen for a while now
-
stick with the Mesoscale models 36 - 48 hours out GFS and Euro jumps 50 - 75 miles one way or the other drive us nuts
-
starting at 12Z today its better to prioritize the mesoscale models - the various NAMS, HRRR -etc. etc. IMO - of course the GFS is going to start playing games going south then north does it all the time
