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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    and the # 1 finer details are the snow-sleet-ice-rain lines
  2. NEG NAO
    true untill later Friday it started trending west - so still time for adjustments
  3. NEG NAO
    it amazes me how folks are trying to determine the finer details of this storm such as where the mix line will end up and then give total snowfall and ice amounts when the storm doesn't even begin till Sunday morning . FYI none of us have no idea..
  4. NEG NAO
    Maybe there is a cutoff time in the evening when the data has to be delivered to whoever inputs it into the models- I have no idea how that works do you?
  5. NEG NAO
    if the low transfers to the coast that far south we will have all snow IMO
  6. NEG NAO
    why and where ? and what evidence do you have to back up that statement other than warm model runs 3 days in advance of the storm ?
  7. NEG NAO
    Paul Dorian of Arcfield Weather just mentioned that this new data won't be in the model runs till 12Z today.
  8. NEG NAO
    only when the high to the north is NOT as strong and anchored like this weekends will be - this is a Miller B setup redevelopment off the coast sooner then later
  9. NEG NAO
    not according to Mt. Holly WSW from KPHI
  10. NEG NAO
    and what changed in the model output with this additional input ?
  11. NEG NAO
    the more actual ice - sleet etc and rain make the snow much heavier to shovel - high ratio snow can actually be removed with a powerful leaf blower if you keep up with it from when it starts accumulating
  12. NEG NAO
    Notice that Mt. Holly's Winter Storm Watches only include mixing in their southern zones WSW from KPHI
  13. NEG NAO
    impactful because its going to affect a significant amount of the population many in a negative way.....
  14. NEG NAO
    many of us would be happy if this verified
  15. NEG NAO
  16. NEG NAO
    18Z so far concentrates on the weak secondary but looks like a strung out mess - no mixing concerns here
  17. NEG NAO
    Mr. Cowan should work on changing that
  18. NEG NAO
    wheres the mixing colors ? just snow and rain ?
  19. NEG NAO
    True with the ground so cold also we don't want to get any freezing rain - that could be a nightmare - the folks down south are hoping they don't experience that - no fun living without electric in this weather
  20. NEG NAO
    thats why I posted this little gem of a link - Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary mass hysteria - all milk and bread sold out for next to nothing in accumulation
  21. NEG NAO
    looks like the Euro timing and mixing set up
  22. NEG NAO
    especially if the mid-level warmer air starts surging north causing alot of instability in the atmosphere - question is where this will happen ?
  23. NEG NAO
    and a very wide range of weather conditions usually in that 75 mile radius because of the terrain and ocean
  24. NEG NAO
    I just mentiond that a few minutes ago and with this arctic airmass I would suspect there will be virga
  25. NEG NAO
    timing wise it might be closer to the GFS -PLUS consider there may be some front end virga involved here which delays the onset of the precip that reaches the ground - we have seen that before
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