NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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Don - scroll down to March/April 1982 on this link and as you can see the surface was mild 50's and a few days 60's in NYC much of March and early April leading up to the April Blizzard New York City Weather in 1982 (extremeweatherwatch.com)
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After what happened in April 1982 - I like to keep my options open..........anyone younger then 50 in here probably doesn't remember.....
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its weather related and belongs here - people are allowed to talk about non-weather related topics here
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there will be cold rainy days throughout this month and cold mornings where you need a heavier jacket outdoors these means don't show that. Plus the interior still has a chance of some frozen precip through early April and its not impossible for the coast too....
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I thought we enjoyed the right of Freedom of Speech in this country ?- he doesn't create the model output maps .........lets see how long before this post is deleted......anyways its strange that the some were critical of the GFS snow event for next weekend a few model runs back and went with the CMC for not having it and now the CMC is showing the same thing the GFS was showing a few model runs back and they are critical of that models output...which model will show it at 12Z ?
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has anyone in Manhattan other than the official NWS recording station measured higher then 7.5 inches this winter ? Or has anyone in any other section of the city Brooklyn Queens etc. etc. measured more than 7.5 ?
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last February 2023 was even more stunning with days in the 60's to 70 or so in some places in the middle of the month Weather in February 2023 in New York, New York, USA (timeanddate.com)
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huh ? today is the only day over 60 for at least the next week ZFP from KOKX (cod.edu)
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Active hurricane season does not mean the east coast will be active - long range forecasting is a risky proposition at best - example - all the busted 23-24 winter season outlooks...
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Not for the interior plus the CMC is now suggesting it
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Its obvious that NYC snowfall measurements are questionable at best and more likely flawed - they have known about this for a long time here is an article from 2015 NWS adjusts curiously low snowfall totals at Central Park (nymetroweather.com)
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there is cold air aloft but the surface and mid levels need to cool down and they would with heavier precip
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the euro is interesting it redevelops the cutter off the coast then it develops a storm south of us that tracks off the coast
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the euro has not performed well at this range this winter
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no one was expecting the April 1982 Blizzard after a mild period previous to the storm A Severe April Blizzard Stunned The Northeast in 1982 | NY NJ PA Weather
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agree we don't have any idea this far away the details about how this storm is going to actually track and redevelop way too early for those details.........
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but the GFS and CMC have it cold enough aloft at 850 at hour 204 as I illustrated a couple posts above - and we already have had a storm this winter with ratio;s closer to 5:1 and surface above freezing
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the CMC even has it cold enough at 850 when the GFS shows snow But the surface is above freezing
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the reason the GFS is showing snow here is that the storm redevelops off the coast and 850 below freezing but the surface temps are above freezing
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if we experience mainly south - southwest flow and primarily winds from that direction at various levels of the atmosphere or an onshore flow the same smoky sky conditions if the fires develop in Canada will not reach our area as much as last years flow allowed it too......
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there will be 1 -2 day windows for frozen in March and early April just like many winters .
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lol - no real warm weather is in site yet............
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So now we can expect at least a few more opportunities for frozen precip here March and April........looking at the 0Z GFS - it is possible IMO
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Is this the main reason NYC has only 7.5 inches total snowfall this winter and surrounding metro areas have more and much more in other areas including mine with close to 2 feet so far this season and we are south of the city?
