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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    GFS many times seems to be by itself especially at this range - too overdone or underdone with amounts
  2. NEG NAO
    Ukie precip at 0Z run makes it all the way to southern VT. NH. BUT the snowfall map attached is only 10:1 ratio . Ratio's will be higher .
  3. NEG NAO
    I don't think its a big deal - its not like we are trying to rewrite the Constitution---lol
  4. NEG NAO
    why don't you just add a few more days to the thread title make it 1 /23 -1/31 - I was just reading the 2010 thread before Boxing Day storm and one thread had a longer date range, This way we can just talk generally about the arctic outbreak and cover the multiple storm threats.
  5. NEG NAO
  6. NEG NAO
    What are Northern Mid-Atlantic and New England in the dark blue for ? its not clear if its the cold or snow or both
  7. NEG NAO
    Freezing rain all the way down to the central South Carolina coast ? really ?
  8. NEG NAO
    Thanks - I also like your discussion write up in the new thread - very well written.
  9. NEG NAO
    Lets not forget this weekend is the 10th Anniversary of the January 2016 Blizzard January 22-24, 2016 Blizzard
  10. NEG NAO
    Euro was late to the show for this past weekend event too. Kept showing out to sea.........up until Friday
  11. NEG NAO
    well Feb 2010 had 36.9 in NYC so anything is possible
  12. NEG NAO
    Snow storm, February 5-6, 2010 - Storm Summary
  13. NEG NAO
    I was over at Ray's archives and there were 5 snowstorms listed in Feb. 2010 - which one you talking about ?
  14. NEG NAO
    you forgot about the 20 inch la la land it has shown from previous storms this season
  15. NEG NAO
    The other positive even if it trends north we don't have to worry about temps probably
  16. NEG NAO
    Ratio's will be higher with these temps
  17. NEG NAO
    I am showing 24hr liquid because of higher ratio's and its 100% snow - do the fiquring for your location at say 10:1 15:1 or 20:1 ?
  18. NEG NAO
    I wouldn't want to be exactly in the bullseye this far out anyways - and even the northern edge will have higher than normal snowfall ratio's.
  19. NEG NAO
    regular GFS is usually suppressed or over amped at this range its Al version is supposed to be an improved version of the model
  20. NEG NAO
    with snowfall ratio's higher than 10:1 probably
  21. NEG NAO
    I bet Don has the answer to that one - or go back to Rays archive of storms which I plan on looking at once I get done shoveling......
  22. NEG NAO
    you should start the weekend storm thread ASAP not just because of the snow threat BUT also the incredible arctic airmass that will be in place starting later this week through the weekend.....and once we get past a certain number of pages break it up into part 2 - part 3 etc. etc. like we did for the 2010 Boxing day storm who's thread was started well in advance
  23. NEG NAO
    its not going to take much liquid equivalent over the weekend to create a SECS or MECS because temps in the single digits and or teens during the precip will cause very high snowfall ratios
  24. NEG NAO
    the most important factor is how these indexes and their strength is going to affect the path of the storms across the country regarding the strength and position of various pressure systems.......
  25. NEG NAO
    -6 850's area is one and HRRR guidance is another
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