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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Still can go OTS or just close enough IMO
  2. NEG NAO
    we have the GFS for that
  3. NEG NAO
    didn't make all of us think that way I kept questioning that theory by posting this: monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf many yearly stretches of below normal snowfall than normal to way above returns
  4. NEG NAO
    just like it was a complete miss south several days before yesterdays MECS
  5. NEG NAO
    IF IF this were to verify for next weekend POTENTIAL KU STORM IMO
  6. NEG NAO
  7. NEG NAO
    I have about 6 inches so far - and probably another 6 on the way after that heavy frontogenisis goes by
  8. NEG NAO
    ha ha i had changed it previous to your comment I always double check my spelling
  9. NEG NAO
    when that 850mb frontogenisis to the south passes over head very heavy snow and then sleet after it passes
  10. NEG NAO
    Totals too high along NJ coast and Philly and points south
  11. NEG NAO
    who else thinks this is too far north ? Transfer is too the NJ coast
  12. NEG NAO
    look through this and let us know Ray's Winter Storm Archive
  13. NEG NAO
    I am not even sure what you guys were discussing since there are so many people posting all at once
  14. NEG NAO
    Snow storm, January 25-26, 1994 - Storm Summary
  15. NEG NAO
    IF this is still on the models on Tuesday - time for another storm thread
  16. NEG NAO
    and then when its sleeting keep shoveling it
  17. NEG NAO
    very deceiving for areas receiving the heavy sleet accumulation also
  18. NEG NAO
    The ice accumulation potential and very cold temps make it a winter storm warning
  19. NEG NAO
    so what is the best mesoscale model to use this go around ? The HRRR performed well last weekend
  20. NEG NAO
    does that include sleet accumulation ?
  21. NEG NAO
    primary still in control and a sleet fest in progress across most of NJ except for the far southern counties - NOT GOOD !
  22. NEG NAO
    This is the type of storm that will have some unexpected surprises - now casting time..........I also wouldn't be surprised if there is an unexpected large dry slot that develops because of a sloppy transfer of the storm to the coast
  23. NEG NAO
    This is a far north the mix line gets on 18Z GFS only a few hours then moves east - stronger coastal lp
  24. NEG NAO
    I am not talking outlier regarding snowfall amounts - I am talking outlier regarding sleet/freezing rain amounts rather have dry slot then sleet or freezing rain
  25. NEG NAO
    the goal is too make that NAM run the outlier
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