NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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Watch likely northern area - whether that is extended south is anyones guess mainly because of poor timing SWO from KWNS
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with that cold water and the storms not reaching over and past NYC until mid - late evening severe potential will be limited to gusty winds and maybe a heavier shower in coastal locations IMO especially east of NYC and coastal NJ and CT
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all the cloud cover over us and to the west with no storms developing until you get into eastern Ohio will push back any severe potential a few hours past the peak heating times - SPC has no mention of any possible severe watches close to the area as of 1 PM SPC Products Page
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Main severe threat just like the last severe threat a couple weeks ago will be the damaging winds usually when the storms are approaching any affected area - this is especially dangerous at the many outdoor events this time of year during this weekend
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keep checking here SPC Products Page
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that has been the trend now for quite a while as we get closer and closer to game time the last several frontal passes - Upton says in the morning AFD "The main failure point with these storms is that the airmass has been so dry ahead of the front" .........one thing is for certain the drought will continue until further notice....
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a few cooler days after Saturday than the heat returns according to NOAA CPC
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When is this nonsense going to end ? Near record highs in some locations to near record lows in a short period of time has happened a few times since April - one constant however - the drought will continue until further notice.
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Looking ahead to 26/27 winter here is more evidence of a Modoki El Nino developing similar to 2009-2010 - time will tell...
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only thing growing on my lawn that is exposed to the sunlight is weeds - ground is dry as a bone here in central NJ and after the hot sunny temps this week the weeds will stop growing too....
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A review of the hurricanes 1950 -2022
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it is - Upton once again predicted Mostly Sunny - happens quite a bit
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Going to be interesting to see if Upton's forecast of Mostly Sunny verifies as we head into the afternoon hours
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and soon we will be talking about this possibility down the road - get your sled tuned up Santa !
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My insensitivity analysis says that June will average below normal temps and precip - I'll leave the more accurate sensitivity analysis outlook to Don.
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Someone should tell Upton this is not Mostly Sunny - they make the same mistake in these set ups contently - and now it is even showering
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Started a June thread if anyone is interested - should start getting a handle on how the summer will turn out with the developing strong Nino - should be interesting.
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Never too early to look ahead to next winter 26 -27
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