NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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Freezing rain all the way down to the central South Carolina coast ? really ?
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Thanks - I also like your discussion write up in the new thread - very well written.
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Lets not forget this weekend is the 10th Anniversary of the January 2016 Blizzard January 22-24, 2016 Blizzard
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Euro was late to the show for this past weekend event too. Kept showing out to sea.........up until Friday
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well Feb 2010 had 36.9 in NYC so anything is possible
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Snow storm, February 5-6, 2010 - Storm Summary
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I was over at Ray's archives and there were 5 snowstorms listed in Feb. 2010 - which one you talking about ?
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you forgot about the 20 inch la la land it has shown from previous storms this season
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The other positive even if it trends north we don't have to worry about temps probably
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Ratio's will be higher with these temps
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I am showing 24hr liquid because of higher ratio's and its 100% snow - do the fiquring for your location at say 10:1 15:1 or 20:1 ?
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I wouldn't want to be exactly in the bullseye this far out anyways - and even the northern edge will have higher than normal snowfall ratio's.
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regular GFS is usually suppressed or over amped at this range its Al version is supposed to be an improved version of the model
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with snowfall ratio's higher than 10:1 probably
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I bet Don has the answer to that one - or go back to Rays archive of storms which I plan on looking at once I get done shoveling......
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you should start the weekend storm thread ASAP not just because of the snow threat BUT also the incredible arctic airmass that will be in place starting later this week through the weekend.....and once we get past a certain number of pages break it up into part 2 - part 3 etc. etc. like we did for the 2010 Boxing day storm who's thread was started well in advance
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its not going to take much liquid equivalent over the weekend to create a SECS or MECS because temps in the single digits and or teens during the precip will cause very high snowfall ratios
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the most important factor is how these indexes and their strength is going to affect the path of the storms across the country regarding the strength and position of various pressure systems.......
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-6 850's area is one and HRRR guidance is another
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Thats why NWS has accumulations for tomorrow at 2 -4 inches and they hinted at more in localized areas in heavier bands.......Eastern NJ and points east
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check out your local NWS Upton County forecasts
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we started doing that during the Boxing Day storm Dec 26th 2010 which we were tracking for a week or more at least - go back and take a look at it
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Agreed Start an Observation Thread later tonight for Tomorrows event - this thread has gotten too long in the tooth so to say at 33 pages - back in the old days we would start new threads if they got too long
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the Euro had to play catch up this go around for tomorrow as of now
