NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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40 % Chance of Severe Watch Being Issued SWO from KWNS
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Another "Pop Up" storm is developing in between 287 and 78 north of Westfield alot of cloud to cloud lightning SVR from KOKX
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it even got its own little warning SVR from KPHI
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yeah we used to call that "heat lightning" quite a bit of it now on Union/Middlesex border being caused by a little storm that popped up near Tewksbury just north of Rt. 78
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its falling apart in eastern PA only a couple warnings so far in Northeast PA
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not many warnings being issued - only 2 so far one from State College earlier and one from Mt. Holly - these storms are moving northeast in eastern PA and the ones south of Harrisburg are falling apart so it looks like any storms here will be mainly north of RT. 78 at the current time Severe Weather Warnings Page
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Really thin line of storms just approaching Harrisburg PA looks like 20 miles wide or less moving fast going to be interesting how they hold together after sunset as they approach the coast - just like the last few lines of storms in the previous weeks looks like the main threat is the winds in front of the storms passage
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Watch just issued WWUS from KWNS
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SPC has no discussions for our area as of 1:50 PM - they are watching radars too before any discussions are issued SPC Products Page
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As long as this 200 -250 mb Jet Streak is unusually far south in June we are going to have chances of severe weather across the area - usually a summer like pattern features this being further north into Canada
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no its falling apart as its moving into NJ
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6 -10 is close to normal or slightly above temp and possibly above precip for the metro as of today
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Should be an interesting week of weather around here starting with cool and dry and the second half Hot Steamy with Severe Storms...
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A busy hazards week across the country
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Another round of 90 degree days on the way later this week - does anyone have stats on the record number of 90 degree days anywhere in the metro prior to the official first day of summer for a given year ?
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Watch likely northern area - whether that is extended south is anyones guess mainly because of poor timing SWO from KWNS
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with that cold water and the storms not reaching over and past NYC until mid - late evening severe potential will be limited to gusty winds and maybe a heavier shower in coastal locations IMO especially east of NYC and coastal NJ and CT
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all the cloud cover over us and to the west with no storms developing until you get into eastern Ohio will push back any severe potential a few hours past the peak heating times - SPC has no mention of any possible severe watches close to the area as of 1 PM SPC Products Page
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Main severe threat just like the last severe threat a couple weeks ago will be the damaging winds usually when the storms are approaching any affected area - this is especially dangerous at the many outdoor events this time of year during this weekend
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keep checking here SPC Products Page
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that has been the trend now for quite a while as we get closer and closer to game time the last several frontal passes - Upton says in the morning AFD "The main failure point with these storms is that the airmass has been so dry ahead of the front" .........one thing is for certain the drought will continue until further notice....
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a few cooler days after Saturday than the heat returns according to NOAA CPC
