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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    seems like a few models are shifting the colder air south along with more moisture and interaction with the warm front to the south 1 -4 inches still on the table as of now IMO...
  2. NEG NAO
    I still think any of these solutions is possible since we are still closer to 60 hours from the event - we are right on the border of the cold enough air and significant enough precip - could go either way.......
  3. NEG NAO
    IMO it is still too early to say if this is accurate or not - the last storm over performed in many areas - this will end up being a nowcasting event just like the last one.......
  4. NEG NAO
    You can clearly see where the cold front is on radar racing east from east of Williamsport PA down through Baltimore MD
  5. NEG NAO
    what was their low temperature this week so far ? Check out if they have a record temperature spread record for a 1 week period. Right here in Central NJ my low has been 18 this week and now its 58.............
  6. NEG NAO
    SVR from KPHI It mentions that these storms contain little or no lightning - BUT 60 MPH gusts
  7. NEG NAO
    If this continues to show up on the models for Tuesday the road departments will begin spreading the salt/liquid ice melter or whatever Monday afternoon and we begin the cycle all over again
  8. NEG NAO
    Upton believes it ZFP from KOKX
  9. NEG NAO
    After much above normal temps across most the USA next week - we get back into a more normal winter pattern as blocking over Greenland has more influence later next week and beyond - individual storms yet to be determined.........
  10. NEG NAO
    12Z Canadian now shows snowstorm 12/26 - seems like when one model drops the storm another picks it up
  11. NEG NAO
    what is it if you remove the 17 -19th and calculate from the 20th to the 31st ?
  12. NEG NAO
    Upton is famous for not accurately predicting sky conditions - example is many times they post Mostly Sunny and then instability clouds start developing to the north and west and cloud up the skies here - this happens quite bit in the Spring also............
  13. NEG NAO
    Euro - within the last few days was also suggesting something similar but that negative NAO and the strength of it and the HP position in southeast Canada along with the warmer air trying to attack it could set up a gradient/overunning event somewhere in the Northeast and or Mid- Atlantic - example it might be in the 50's in Richmond and closer to 32 in NYC - we don't know yet
  14. NEG NAO
    nothing like posting some evidence to back up your guess...........
  15. NEG NAO
    With the NAO negative - the WPO Negative and MJO hanging around somewhere in Phase 8 - how do you get anywhere close to 60 ?
  16. NEG NAO
    Next Week we will have blocking with strong HP in southeast Canada - the position of the HP and strength will determine how far south and west this cold enough air will spread and any disturbance that runs into it could cause frozen precip in the cold enough regions - this has been showing up on various models for days now
  17. NEG NAO
  18. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro has strong blocking HP in southeast Canada around Christmas Day forcing a storm to be blocked south of us - other models are also showing cold enough air and HP north of us but storm potential different days that week leading up to the last week of the month - still too early for details
  19. NEG NAO
    Agreed - take a look at the 12Z GFS - cold shot after cold shot after the milder period later this week and signals of another snowstorm brewing the last week of December
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  23. NEG NAO
    Widespread Snowfall Region wide up to 4 inches BUT these snowfall totals can change in either direction by Sunday...........
  24. NEG NAO
    Thats true he should change it to Snowfall . Light to moderate possible.
  25. NEG NAO
    Who was saying a coastal storm was going to develop with significant accumulations ? 1-3 some areas 3 or 4 is the max potential for this set up with C -1 in some areas.......C-1 is also possible in most areas - will be a now casting event IMO
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