NEG NAO

Whats Henry M. predicting ?

true - what is Bastardi saying ?

Bernie always try to play the in between scenario so he doesn't look foolish

hope you realize this is not going to be one of those powdery snowfalls - going to be very heavy and wet clinging to everything because of the borderline temps and with high winds thats not good - Electric Company linemen will be busy

remote learning during a snowstorm is a waste of time IMO - here we have 3 snow days each school year built into the Calendar for the school year - used 1 so far

here in NJ its up to each districts BOE whether to close or not

he is dedicated he is online live for an entire storm on youtube and other venues

you going to start the snow contest again ?

Thats only in certain districts - I think Don would have more info on exacly what time frame closer to a storm onset NWS policy is too issue them so they are sure each requirement is going to be met for which area(s)

4 PM tomorrow is very unlikely for Blizzard Warnings especially on a lower than usual travel weekend

why doesn't your friend try to work for himself online ?? - Steve D. and DT etc. etc. seem to be doing ok.......

20 % Crippling Blizzard 70 % 8 -12 30 % 2 -4 inch This is for me in Union/Northern Middlesex County NJ

Can wait till Sunday if they are needed - remember all the requirements have to be met - winds etc. etc.

Include the Eastern most counties of NJ all the way down to Ocean County - BUT just start with a Winter Storm Watch IMO

where is the snowfall contest here ? The last one was fun

also did you notice that extreme amount in the dark grey on the GFS seems to be moving north each run now its in southern half of NJ it was down in tthe Del Marva a day or 2 ago ???

Someone was late for work and had to go 75 MPH in the rain instead of the much lower posted speed limit - now you know one of the reasons your car insurance is so high here - anyways to keep this weather related if the GFS which has been very consistent with high snowfall amounts here the last few days is wrong - it should be retired ASAP on the other hand if the EURO comes to the party to late in the game it will just prove its not the best model anymore . Here we are fighting the battle between the warmsters - who have a proven bias towards no snow and warm weather and the snow weenies who get excited over any model showing high snowfall amounts.....and somewhere in the middle is the rest of us who keep an open mind...

I would be concerned that the frozen amount is overdone and in reality some of that is a mix or rain - to get 100 % snow down there any time of the year is rare

thats a work of art - and time is still on our side

seems reasonable to question it

like you said earlier - its late in the game for big snows in south jersey and those ridiculous amounts on the coastal Del Marva - will never verify

and the Euro snowhole over the region makes no sense either 2 runs in a row GFS is overdone in many areas and the Euro is underdone IMO

Mainstream media is going to have a field day with this the GFS their favorite model

18Z GFS gives most of the immediate NYC Warning Level Snows - lets leave it at that one model - one run 4 -5 days out onto ensembles then 0Z runs