NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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this should be interesting....
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when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ?
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thats called an anafront Ana Front Surprise Thread ?
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I think that would have to fall after dark to accumulate - borderline temps and it was extremely warm last 2days
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start a thread
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who is predicting that ?
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This is true remember last month when some well known not to be named METS online were discounting the chances of any snow the last half of February ?
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using an off hour run of the GFS OP
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Yes some years the sun angle is not as high and the ground temp has a significant influence on higher up levels of the atmosphere along with temps being in the 40's for weeks prior and next weeks cold outbreak along with the other cold outbreaks to follow on guidance doesn't count - welcome to the weather world of Phileaglesfan712....
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would be a rude awakening for those that thought winter weather was over for this season.....has happened many times in the past after a March warm up - as late as April...
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he said the trough not the colder than normal cold air supply in Canada which will be tapped into epecially from back door fronts down here polar vortex is being shoved south by the strat warming event through at least March could be 75 in DC and in the 40's up here down the road
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EPS around these parts still has colder temps in the longer range - you don't have to include a pic of yourself in your post
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yes really looks similar to the OP
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because the ensemble means show basically the same colder pattern and temps down the road
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The models handle the temps better than the individual storms - whole point is winter cold will continue through March at least because of the strat warming event. Anyone expecting to see 70's past this week in March north of the Mason Dixon line is wrong IMO
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enjoy it this week - you won't see 70's here again for a few weeks - that warm surge will have a difficult time making it to the east coast because of the strat warming event unfolding now and once it approaches the metro we will be back doored because of the arctic air being displaced further south because of the polar vortex displacement into southeast Canada
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starting this weekend cold enough air for snow making will return and probably last into a good portion of April for ski resorts that choose to remain open - mainly caused by the Start Warming event now unfolding.
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Temps leading up to it have no effect - and ground temps adapt fast to any cold air present at the time the precip is falling - we have had accumulations on the ground in October - I think you know this but are just trying to cause confrontations here along with a couple others- but I am going to keep the conversation professional
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This potential is reminding me of this March storm Snow storm, March 18, 1994 - Storm Summary
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that is going to vary model run to model run until we get much closer to the potential - still over 200 hours away - important thing right now is that it is showing up around the same time period on several different OP models and Ensemble Means run after run...
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Parts of northern most Middlesex County reached 72 - all depended on how much sunshine you received which varied widely from town to town.
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18Z GFS has joined the 12Z Canadian and the Euro AI with a potential east coast snowstorm around mid month - those HP's in Canada help
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I wouldn't give up on some flakes in April as this season seems to be following the 95/96 fading La Nina playbook although you have received a few weenies from the usual warmsters who are giving up on March as expected that clown from Philly is even counting out Northern New England in March
