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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Even the EPS moves the heavier precip off shore for the most part except from Long Island into eastern New England where the most significant impact from this storm will verify most likely at the moment - but things trending more towards the GFS/Canadian solution west of Long Island this run at least
  2. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro - what happened ?
  3. NEG NAO
    0Z GEFS
  4. NEG NAO
    0Z AI GFS OZ ICON
  5. NEG NAO
    0Z UKMET
  6. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS - models all over the place - wide range of total precip west of Long Island through 120 hours 0Z Canadian
  7. NEG NAO
    GFS/Canadian/Ukie Vs. Euro's - the HP location will have the final say IMO Even with the strong NE flow today the warm water temps and breaks of sun allowed North Central NJ temps this afternoon to reach 70 expect the same right into the weekend - Upton not expecting much rain this weekend only 40% chance of showers according to PM update ZFP from KOKX Quote
  8. NEG NAO
    the strong HP is in a better position north of the storm in Canada blocking the LP back into the coast further south which the Canadian and GFS does not do with the HP a few hundred miles southwest of the Euro position
  9. NEG NAO
    still enough time for anything to happen in regards to the track of the LP IMO - Upton and Mount Holly leaving their options open - greatest risk with this is coastal flooding
  10. NEG NAO
    its only 90 hours away - in another day and a half we will be tracking it with the Mesoscale models
  11. NEG NAO
    the location of the HP in Canada is what will decide the track of the LP - the HP on the 6Z Euro-AI is a few hundred miles north northeast of the GFS and Canadian location - makes a difference EC-AIFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits - go to hour 120
  12. NEG NAO
    I disagree right now because of the 12Z Canadian and the location of the strong HP
  13. NEG NAO
    The Canadian at 12Z basically agrees with it - that HP in far southeast near our border in Canada keeps us in the clear
  14. NEG NAO
    have to agree with you there - no way are boardwalks going to be ripped up and piers with roller coasters going to collapse into the Atlantic.
  15. NEG NAO
    Kashi a weather model ?
  16. NEG NAO
    did you expect yesterday to be partly sunny and mild a couple days out ? Saturday is still 4 days away - that HP in southeast Canada will control where the storm goes and I don't see it weakening to let the offshore storm backup towards the coast
  17. NEG NAO
    clearing as HP is moving in -
  18. NEG NAO
    nessun problema
  19. NEG NAO
    Its going to be a perfect beach day........storm is out to sea
  20. NEG NAO
    we are experiecing an onshore flow at one level the clouds to our east moving in - BUT those clouds to the west are also approaching making things very complicated
  21. NEG NAO
    as of today - most of the significant impact from the coastal LP will be further east BUT this could still change - stay tuned !
  22. NEG NAO
    Don Vs. Upton - should be interesting - Upton has partly sunny low 70's on Monday ZFP from KOKX
  23. NEG NAO
    its 80 degrees down in South Jersey with a 73 dewpoint in Money Island along the Delaware Bay
  24. NEG NAO
    depends on how close the warm front to our south moves in our direction. Temps this morning are in the 70's south of Philly -wouldn't be surprised if there are some heavier showers along with a T-storm with elevated instability later today especially in central NJ.
  25. NEG NAO
    Why does my forecast from the NWS say Mostly Sunny when its Mostly Cloudy ? Seems like I have to ask this same question over and over again since they are experts at screwing up sky conditions
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