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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    as of 4:15 the line of storms is only about 25 miles or less wide extending from Scranton down through Harrisburg moving east fast at 40mph +
  2. NEG NAO
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch for entire Metro WOUS from KWNS The line of storms is quite skinny in Central PA most of this will be high winds IMO - anchor down your Halloween decorations or your neighbors will be displaying them
  3. NEG NAO
    you are right - just found this ---Legal Background: In 2021, Bob Read (Snowbird Bob LLC) pleaded guilty and was sentenced to prison (63 months) for federal fraud charges related to illegally obtaining pandemic relief (PPP) loans and unemployment benefits. [1, 2]
  4. NEG NAO
    January continues the heavy snow totals according to him
  5. NEG NAO
    is this true or Bob's BS ? Don't have access to this part of the model output..
  6. NEG NAO
    looking at current radars this is a possibility
  7. NEG NAO
    exactly at kick off time for the Jets game at 1 on Sunday - how many Sundays in a row now has it rained for the Jets and Giants games in NJ ? Giants are at Washington it will probably be pouring down there for the entire game
  8. NEG NAO
    interesting setup next Tuesday on GFS
  9. NEG NAO
  10. NEG NAO
    This is quite impressive for the middle of October - lets see if any of those 80 degree temps can sneak in here before the storm arrives from the Gulf
  11. NEG NAO
    storm is still being blocked from moving fast enough away from us because of the strong blocking the last few days so it is weakening and spinning itself out more or less - beginning to wonder if the clouds will still be lingering tomorrow especially in the northern and eastern areas of the region - this satellite image is not encouraging - this will have an effect on high temps
  12. NEG NAO
    As of now I agree some locations in the region will reach 85 or higher Friday afternoon - the 850 temps are several degrees above normal and in front of the cold front winds will be from the southwest - BUT if that cooler air speeds up and makes it here earlier in the day then expected temps won't max out so high - when you are 4 days away from an event always good to keep your options open - also how much cloud cover in advance of the front ?
  13. NEG NAO
    just look at the radar - at 2:50 there is a large band of moderate to heavy precip heading towards the metro from the southeast over the Atlantic that will add at least a couple inches to the totals in Central NJ if it holds together
  14. NEG NAO
    skies are brightening in Seaside Heights NJ not far from the center Seaside Heights Cam - North View earthcam.com/usa/newjersey/seasideheights/?cam=seasideheights2 -south view
  15. NEG NAO
    Not exactly a beach day - although people complained they lost some of their view of the ocean from the boardwalk building that Dune Barrier after Sandy destroyed the Seaside Heights boardwalk was a very good idea
  16. NEG NAO
    The HRRR-Euro and NAM have a break in the precip for several hours late Saturday especially west of NYC - in other words there probably will not be steady precip the entire event
  17. NEG NAO
    starting on eastern long island already BUT the storm is outside the benchmark and crawling will have to make a move westward - might have showers much later tonight around NYC and eastern NJ metro GOES-EAST US PSeUdo-Color LOOP
  18. NEG NAO
    2-3 inches in immediate NYC metro if the Euro is correct is not alot of rain - we had more than that in several thunderstorms in the summer in a few hours - apparently ground conditions regarding saturation is much different region wide here in north central NJ ground is dry as a bone currently
  19. NEG NAO
    the rainfall amounts are of no concern in the immediate metro its the flooding on the coast that is the main concern and also the wind BUT without a saturated ground - less chance of up rooted trees just branches falling
  20. NEG NAO
    also on EURO heaviest rain is offshore and in southeast New England
  21. NEG NAO
    this proves my point from a few posts above that models at 12Z are all over the place 12Z Euro way south coming inland - low is getting vertically stacked and weakening too
  22. NEG NAO
    heavy rain is in eastern PA where its not supossed to be
  23. NEG NAO
    yeah post it 12Z euro just started running on Tidbits and Pivitol
  24. NEG NAO
    50 miles makes a big difference especially for my area in north central NJ
  25. NEG NAO
    I posted 3 different 12Z models 2 posts above to prove my point - now its your turn to prove yours
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