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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    IF this is still on the models on Tuesday - time for another storm thread
  2. NEG NAO
    and then when its sleeting keep shoveling it
  3. NEG NAO
    very deceiving for areas receiving the heavy sleet accumulation also
  4. NEG NAO
    The ice accumulation potential and very cold temps make it a winter storm warning
  5. NEG NAO
    so what is the best mesoscale model to use this go around ? The HRRR performed well last weekend
  6. NEG NAO
    does that include sleet accumulation ?
  7. NEG NAO
    primary still in control and a sleet fest in progress across most of NJ except for the far southern counties - NOT GOOD !
  8. NEG NAO
    This is the type of storm that will have some unexpected surprises - now casting time..........I also wouldn't be surprised if there is an unexpected large dry slot that develops because of a sloppy transfer of the storm to the coast
  9. NEG NAO
    This is a far north the mix line gets on 18Z GFS only a few hours then moves east - stronger coastal lp
  10. NEG NAO
    I am not talking outlier regarding snowfall amounts - I am talking outlier regarding sleet/freezing rain amounts rather have dry slot then sleet or freezing rain
  11. NEG NAO
    the goal is too make that NAM run the outlier
  12. NEG NAO
    you better go adjust your numbers in the snowfall contest
  13. NEG NAO
    NAM is a warning to stay up later Sunday night and remove the accumulated snow from your driveway and sidewalks before the sleetfest and or freezing rain starts.
  14. NEG NAO
    FYI - Goodman, Kasper and DT will be special guests tonight on The Joe and Joe Weather Show at 7:30 on You Tube.
  15. NEG NAO
    New York City 11 Boston 14 Philadelphia 10 Washington DC 9 Hartford 13 Albany 15 ME 11
  16. NEG NAO
    probably taking into account the city environment itself and the traditionally low snow measurements in CP.
  17. NEG NAO
    that is weird and it extends it west into SI and eastern Middlesex County/Union NJ
  18. NEG NAO
    is 1010 WINS AM News still saying the storm will miss to the south like they were earlier ?
  19. NEG NAO
    Be careful with some of these online YouTube" Mets" for obvious reasons .......
  20. NEG NAO
    I don't have and don't want an X account - can't you start a thread here ?
  21. NEG NAO
    where is your area ?
  22. NEG NAO
    like December 26 ?
  23. NEG NAO
    I think some folks are still over reacting to that mix line because of what happened December 26 with the unexpected speed of the warm layer arriving earlier than expected....
  24. NEG NAO
    your talking a few miles at 60 hours - not going to be reliable at this range
  25. NEG NAO
    I would count on more adjustments probably south still too early to be sure about anything though IMO. I think the GFS has the best handle on this now and it has been consistent for days now.
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