timing wise it might be closer to the GFS -PLUS consider there may be some front end virga involved here which delays the onset of the precip that reaches the ground - we have seen that before
thats another problem here because the forum apparently extends from Ocean County all the way up to lower New York State and into eastern PA and CT., Long Island - so sorry I don't know how to rephrase what I said
there is a banter thread and I think debating opinions is fine - but draw the line at trying to bully someone telling them to stop posting or name calling
Agreed and I wouldn't commit to any accumulation amount right now until all the players are on the field and moving - at first I thought we would have high ratio's but now that is in doubt also.
Anyone remember our high expectations several days out with this storm ? We were talking about this one on the forum previous to this one - think it was called Eastern Weather ?
Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary
definite timing issues have to be worked out as the Euro brings it in very early Sunday morning and wants to mix it here in the afternoon - while the GFS only starts the snow in the late morning
as you zoom in to regional yes I was only looking at national map but I think the primary doesn't get that far north - the strong HP will cause the transfer earlier to the coast
what happened to those huge snowfall amounts down south ? This shift north was too extreme and too sudden IMO - I wouldn't be surprised if this shifts a few miles south again in the coming days.
It wasn't JB and I should have mentioned they only said it was a possibility not definite - I think 15:1 is reasonable considering this air mass coming in from the north is quite unusually cold for this area during a snow event.