ok- here it is
Snow storm, February 11-12, 2006 - Storm Summary
BUT the key ingredient is missing this time around the SE Canadian HP - and there was no lp over Great Lakes
Snow storm, February 11-12, 2006 - Surface Maps
Was jan 14th-15th 2006
Snow storm, January 14-15, 2006 - Storm Summary
Plus that setup wasn't the same as this one
Snow storm, January 14-15, 2006 - Surface Maps
The problem I have with this Saturday event is its only going to last a few hours earlier in the day so the daytime heating after that will probably melt the lss than an ich accumulation
Its difficult to believe any solutions right now. Over all the models are having an unusually difficult time with this pattern. The area of precip on Saturday is so limited along with temps borderline in some areas - I doubt most areas south of I-80 will see more than Trace amounts and only in some locations. Sunday ? Will determine after 12Z model runs.
0Z Euro is a miss to the east on Sunday. I am thinking but not ready to say it out loud yet that the immediate NYC metro will end up with basically little or nothing total the entire weekend.
this obviously is overdone especially with the sharp intensity and precip total boundaries - no other support - plus with such a strong storm it should show some precip further west also - not going from nothing in Eastern PA to over a foot in NYC - guaranteed this will be different at 0Z
Why don't you mention that it is a total turn around from the 0Z run and too far out for an OP run to even consider . There also should be a rule around here that if you post a model run analysis you must post graphics
How do you figure we are down in the score ? Also there is no chance to pick up a couple inches region wide the next 7 days ? Remember we had above normal snowfall in December 7 + inches in CP NYC and more in surrounding areas I had 9.5 - I am right where I should be with accumulation for the season so far
Somebody should go over to the January 2026 thread and take all the BS posts about January snow and cold chances being over and put them here in the banter thread- its wrecking that thread. Also I think some people have multiple accounts and just posting nonsense posts to cause problems in the main threads...
In this type of pattern models are not going to pick up on any storm threats till 5 - 7 days out and Clippers and Miller B's might prevail - not Gulf Lows for now ..but one never knows for sure
this won't pull it down ? Check out the last graphic - 45 Below just north of the great lakes - impressive and the flow will be directed towards here from that source region and a few degrees below normal for a period of time will bring thos above averages down to near normal by the end of the month or below !