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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    and all depends where the split flows and we need a buckle in the flow to slow the raging pacific flow down which is going to transport the cold air this week very fast across the country to our neck of the woods.......
  2. NEG NAO
    That storm might become the 50/50 low for the next storm if we are lucky and block the HP hopefully at least 1040 in southeast Canada...
  3. NEG NAO
    and of course it was the 18Z - lets get a few runs in a row of consensus of individual and multiple model ops and ensembles. We all remember the Boxing Day 2010 Blizzard questions were still being asked within 2 days of the event of exactly what the outcome would be......
  4. NEG NAO
    We will post the 0Z snow map too....its too bad all the models can't agree on individual storms this far out as they did with the coming cold blast Jan 2nd
  5. NEG NAO
    yeah if its real - nice to talk about this far out thats about it = patience is the key word right now
  6. NEG NAO
    The 6th Storm isn't cutting as much if the storm is even for real this far out
  7. NEG NAO
    N D J F M Total 1980-81 T 2.8 8.0 T 8.6 19.4
  8. NEG NAO
    fast flow and lack of strong blocking a 1028 retreating HP in Canada won't do it BUT still out of the 5-7 day range for accuracy
  9. NEG NAO
    Just saw this banter thread would be nice to change the title of the thread to Winter 2024 -2025 Banter Thread to make it more obvious .........
  10. NEG NAO
    it is impressive IMO that the models came into agreement concerning the arrival of the colder air around January 2nd many days ago. BUT they usually have a much more difficult time agreeing on individual storms and tracks of storms as we all know from past experiences. So I don't think we will know for sure about any snowstorm potential until that cold air arrives again around the 2nd and will not iron out any details till days later.......
  11. NEG NAO
    In a percentage how likely is the Euro weeklies I posted 1 post above yours to verify across our region ?
  12. NEG NAO
    If Only Dreams Came True........
  13. NEG NAO
    Well said ! Also I think everyone is entitled to their own opinion and if you want to debate it don't tell them to stop posting their opinions - debate it in a civilized manner
  14. NEG NAO
    MECS are infrequent events in the immediate metro and we have had them in unfavorable patterns - impossible to predict if or how many SECS, MECS etc. etc. we will have in any given pattern...
  15. NEG NAO
    its working again Tropical Tidbits
  16. NEG NAO
    This says it all Cold and Active
  17. NEG NAO
    anybody else having issues connecting to Tropical Tidbits ? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com
  18. NEG NAO
    yes - 2 favorite xmas's were 1966 and 2010 - 2010 because we were tracking the next day Boxing Day Blizzard - which is the first Major Snowstorm documented and discussed on this site 14 years ago.....who is still posting here from those days ?
  19. NEG NAO
    yes - but 95-96 takes the cake.........
  20. NEG NAO
    remember it well
  21. NEG NAO
    what makes you think those odds ?
  22. NEG NAO
    any model output past 5 -7 days is for entertainment purposes only IMO ..........
  23. NEG NAO
    Snow ended there what did they measure ?
  24. NEG NAO
  25. NEG NAO
    anything past 5 days on the models is pure speculation and not written in stone as some would lead you to believe around here.........proven so far this winter by many predicting a mild December..........
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