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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. what was their low temperature this week so far ? Check out if they have a record temperature spread record for a 1 week period. Right here in Central NJ my low has been 18 this week and now its 58.............
  2. SVR from KPHI It mentions that these storms contain little or no lightning - BUT 60 MPH gusts
  3. If this continues to show up on the models for Tuesday the road departments will begin spreading the salt/liquid ice melter or whatever Monday afternoon and we begin the cycle all over again
  4. After much above normal temps across most the USA next week - we get back into a more normal winter pattern as blocking over Greenland has more influence later next week and beyond - individual storms yet to be determined.........
  5. 12Z Canadian now shows snowstorm 12/26 - seems like when one model drops the storm another picks it up
  6. what is it if you remove the 17 -19th and calculate from the 20th to the 31st ?
  7. Upton is famous for not accurately predicting sky conditions - example is many times they post Mostly Sunny and then instability clouds start developing to the north and west and cloud up the skies here - this happens quite bit in the Spring also............
  8. Euro - within the last few days was also suggesting something similar but that negative NAO and the strength of it and the HP position in southeast Canada along with the warmer air trying to attack it could set up a gradient/overunning event somewhere in the Northeast and or Mid- Atlantic - example it might be in the 50's in Richmond and closer to 32 in NYC - we don't know yet
  9. nothing like posting some evidence to back up your guess...........
  10. With the NAO negative - the WPO Negative and MJO hanging around somewhere in Phase 8 - how do you get anywhere close to 60 ?
  11. Next Week we will have blocking with strong HP in southeast Canada - the position of the HP and strength will determine how far south and west this cold enough air will spread and any disturbance that runs into it could cause frozen precip in the cold enough regions - this has been showing up on various models for days now
  12. 12Z Euro has strong blocking HP in southeast Canada around Christmas Day forcing a storm to be blocked south of us - other models are also showing cold enough air and HP north of us but storm potential different days that week leading up to the last week of the month - still too early for details
  13. Agreed - take a look at the 12Z GFS - cold shot after cold shot after the milder period later this week and signals of another snowstorm brewing the last week of December
  14. Widespread Snowfall Region wide up to 4 inches BUT these snowfall totals can change in either direction by Sunday...........
  15. Thats true he should change it to Snowfall . Light to moderate possible.
  16. Who was saying a coastal storm was going to develop with significant accumulations ? 1-3 some areas 3 or 4 is the max potential for this set up with C -1 in some areas.......C-1 is also possible in most areas - will be a now casting event IMO
  17. why do you think the GFS is leading the way ? Its a crappy model that gets lucky once in a while - unreal you would say an event is on life support 3 -4 days out ............
  18. I think some areas will receive a few inches while others receive only a coating and this will turn into a nowcasting event and it's impossible to predict which area of the region will receive what amounts until the storm is approaching the region and in progress probably
  19. Can't believe all the complaining here and some folks saying we will never have a return to several above average snowfall seasons in a row here - - once again look at this history of NYC snowfall and try to explain it - we will return to above average snowfall seasons soon enough - its just that some of you younger folks have been spoiled by all of the much above average seasons since 2000........without a long stretch of much below normal seasons monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf
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