NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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Because its the 84 hour NAM - would be interesting if it ends up leading the way.........the 06Z run is not giving up the northward track yet
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of course it will take a break but smaller breaks through January before the next arctic front comes through - also those great lakes cutters especially on the GFS are hard to believe with that massive blocking stretched across Greenland and westward - GFS has done this before trying to force the LP's to far into the block
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this shortwave is the strongest of the few arriving here the next few days - capable of putting down some accumulations in some areas of the region
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those enhanced areas might not be located in the same areas depicted here - also an inverted trough situation could develop the timing of this event is critical because there will be more people traveling then a usual week day night. A wide range of amounts region wide is a possibility - not guaranteed yet. I am sure I will get a weenie from some here - I wish they would get rid of these 5th grade emoji's here .
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what do you consider a "bigger" snow event ?
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I have received about 9 inches total from Clippers this month - making December an above normal snowfall month
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Any maps too post showing it ?
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impressive to say the least - individual storms produced by this still to be determined
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Upton is unsure about this but mentions in their discussion its possible - anyones guess right now
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you have the precip outlook maps to post ? - this time of year below normal temps here almost guarantee frozen precip
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Euro long range is suggesting a pattern change closer to mid-month as a storm tracks further south and then northeast into our neck of the woods
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down time ? I am currently under a Winter Weather Advisory
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glad you posted this in the banter thread
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thats cool - which program you use to create that ? Also all those period marks I put in my most represents all the banter posts already in the new January 2026 thread - nonsense posts asking where forum member Allsnow is and then discussions back and forth about it and a couple other nonsense posts
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its too bad most of the banter ends up in the monthly main weather threads and storm threads ...........usually by the same people
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yes but earlier on the 1st - will be interesting to see how this evolves and if the developing LP taps additional moisture from the ocean
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why don't you read the Upton AFD I attached ??- also snow squalls from the lakes don't usually reach into south jersey and beyond - glad you have this all figured out already...
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18Z GFS still shows a wave of LP developing on a stalled out front and Upton believes it -so we might be tracking another one of these northern stream systems soon estimated arrival time Jan 1st or possibly 2nd AFD from KOKX
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Thats why the Euro is rated as one of the superior models we have ...least amount of flaws in development
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exactly - it had the storm many days in advance but to be fair other models did not pick up on that warm layer surging north so early in the storm - so GFS not alone screwing it up
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12Z Euro showing a possible wave - storm or whatever not just the GFS models haven't really been accurate past a few days
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chance of precip around NYC metro from a possible wave developing near a cold front coming through the first couple days of the New Year
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what ever weather consulting firm they use here giving them their guidance told them to expect a lot of ice and they started putting down a layer of salt on the main roads before the precip started - great job !
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this is the most salt I have seen laid down on the roads in a long time- roads just wet here
