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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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would be hard to beat the 11 weenies I got the other day BUT I said each event would melt before the next one starts up till Tuesdays - was right about the first BUT last nights is harder to melt - because its snow and ice like cement
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Now thats crazy - not 1 -3 Tuesday I think 1-3 is a real possibility north of I-78 for Tuesday
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1-3 would be a big disappointment here - when ag is giving us a 4-8 potential need the LP too get down below 1005
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The Canadian setup is very good with the HP in southeast Canada BUT the LP is too weak off the coast
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last nights along with all the others since the 1st of the year didn't even cover the entire grass still poking through here in North Central NJ.... about a compressed inch - question now is -will it melt HERE by the potential mid-week storm ? You guys who got 3 or more will not all melt IMO
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I think we should just concentrate on the first phase of this week long event as what happens with the first wave and how it behaves will affect the crucial tracks of following waves as the week progresses .........this thread is covering too many days IMO - going to get confusing
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only about an inch and a half here of compressed snow/ice on Union/Middlesex County border in NJ - and its just about over fast moving storm less then 6 hours long can still see the some grass and ground underneath it all
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roads are an icy mess - because its not a school night no plows yet and that brine they put down does nothing
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will be interesting to see if the thump really develops with additional moisture as it moves E/NE
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yes but be prepared to be weenied - I set a record of 11 weenies the other day and so far I have been correct at least in the immediate metro.....
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yes thats on Lake Ave just south of Rt. 27 - I will be just east of there near Eggert and McCoy......the shade will definitely keep the snow/ice around longer
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we will see I will be visiting friends in Metuchen on Monday.....I say it all depends how much sun shines........
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Walt - looking at the radar and surface reports right now - is this event going as planned ?
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Ok - I didn't know they start the advisory several hours before the flakes start flying...
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then why did they start the Winter Weather Advisory at 3 PM ? Look at the radar.... its 1:30 already
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This storm event is already busting as the NWS prediction of a chance of snow this afternoon doesn't seem like it has a chance according to surface reports and the radar with not much on it
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Euro gives Virginia the heavier snow mid- week here possibly some light snow probably imitating all the other events this winter with amounts in the Metro
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you think there will be anything left on the ground before the next possible event mid-week ?
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are you trying to use the GFS as a mesoscale model so close to the event? and comparing it to the other mesoscales?
