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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Severe warnings Monmouth, Ocean, Mercer, Burlington Counties SVR from KPHI
  2. NEG NAO
    most of it is dormant - the thing that gets me is these lawn cutting services still come around regardless using their high powered ride around mowers with a cloud of dust folllowing them and destroying your lawn in the process - I just use a weed wacker carefully for any weeds and higher grass. Also you are not supposed to fertilize your lawn when it is dormant
  3. NEG NAO
    Flood Watch 1-3 inches expected FFA from KOKX HRR has been all over the place with the precip/storm placements in the metro- same with the NAM - definite NOWCASTING event
  4. NEG NAO
    Total disagreement amongst the 2 mentioned models
  5. NEG NAO
    and as the 12Z and 18Z NAM shows the difference in different areas - no consistency - thats why Don's forecast of a 1/2 inch to 1 1/2 inches without saying where is the best way to go.......
  6. NEG NAO
    compare the 12Z NAM to the 18Z NAM and you will see it has no idea how much and where the rainfall will occur IMO using models this far out will not verify. It will be all about now casting tomorrow
  7. NEG NAO
    and here is the 12Z NAM models are all over the place typical of a system where T-storms will be the main heavy rain maker and its impossible to determine where they will go - there will be a wide range of totals region wide
  8. NEG NAO
    GFS is very wet ? IMO when this system arrives it will not be one solid area of precip - it will be a more showery system with T-storms possible only areas that will see over 1 inch will be the few that get the t-storms The system will not arrive till afternoon and by then daytime heating will support T-storms
  9. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian and GFS- as we move closer to the event once again the trend is dryer
  10. NEG NAO
    IMO there is going to be a wide range of totals in the region - anywhere from a few inches (where T-storms occur) to less than an inch in unknown areas.
  11. NEG NAO
    the higher end amounts will be in areas that get the thunderstorms predicted - going to be a wide range of totals region wide as of now.........
  12. NEG NAO
    I might be issuing a BUST WATCH for Monday as we get closer the way things have been verifying here lately.
  13. NEG NAO
    Amazing how most of the showers fall apart as they are moving northeast towards the metro from southeast PA - lets see if that moderate to heavy batch near York PA survive
  14. NEG NAO
    Will take a long time to catch up to normal - lawns look like they do in March ............
  15. NEG NAO
    a drop in the bucket compared to what we really need - soaking rains of 1 to 2 inches every week for a few months
  16. NEG NAO
    No Weather Hazards For Us
  17. NEG NAO
  18. NEG NAO
  19. NEG NAO
    Our next severe event possibiility
  20. NEG NAO
    very uncertain on exactly what will happen in eastern most NJ and NYC and points east - STAY TUNED ! Late poor timing of the front is to blame IMO
  21. NEG NAO
    That line of shower/storms is still 8 hours from here - are we going to have a rude awakening at 2 AM ?
  22. NEG NAO
    Similar to every other severe event this spring the greatest threat is the wind
  23. NEG NAO
    Busy Weather Day Sunday
  24. NEG NAO
    just in time for the Mets Game
  25. NEG NAO
    a while ago SVR from KPHI
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