rainsucks

I wouldn't bet on it. Besides the CFS being garbage, long range modeling has been way too cold this season, and has also had a tendency to overdo the extent of high-latitude blocking. If anything, I wouldn't be surprised if the overall warm pattern continues to strengthen as the month progresses (especially if we get a high amplitude MJO wave to traverse through phase 6). Our source region is rather iffy, and with a lack of meaningful snow cover throughout the CONUS combined with warm soil temps, things could get really out of hand.

I think KRFD is running a bit warm. Still impressive tho

I'm sure they can handle one coldish day before the next torch comes in shortly afterwards.

impressive

DCA: +4.7 NYC: +5.3 BOS: +5.5 ORD: +7.5 ATL: +2.0 IAH: +2.4 DEN: +2.5 PHX: -1.0 SEA: +0.7

The models (particularly the Euro/Eps) have done a horrendous job in handling the Pacific for a while now, so this is no surprise.

the GFS completely obliterates the PV as well.

I think the March 2012 heatwave was at least a 1 in 4000-year weather event based on the studies I’ve read on it.

You should work on keeping your temper under control, as I’ve done nothing to elicit such an emotional/defensive response out of you (my birth year has no relevance either). Anyway, the last few springs have finished on the warm side of average, featuring plenty of mild/warm days, so I’m not sure what the problem is.

Not trying to be a dick but you need to keep your expectations in check considering you live in Michigan.

wrong

Last spring finished above average…

My birthday’s also on the 11th, neat coincidence

lol

That dude is a fucking idiot lmao

last I checked, 55-32 = 23

interesting as Larry Cosgrove (along with some others) were hinting at the possibility of this March being very mild. Idk, just a bit skeptical of the cold March idea, but I guess we'll see. Probably doesn't mean much, but the super long range GEFS has a warm start to March as well.

2021 was a nice spring overall, wouldn't mind a repeat of that.

would also probably be the warmest first half of Feb on record by a decent margin for the Midwest if it were to verify.

DCA: +4.0 NYC: +4.3 BOS: +4.5 ORD: +6.5 ATL: 0.0 IAH: +1.9 DEN: +1.6 PHX: -0.5 SEA: +0.8

personally, I love it

It was surely an intense cold blast, but rather unremarkable for the most part. Nowhere near as impressive/anomalous as Jan 2019 or Feb 2015, just as examples. Even Dec 2017-Jan 2018 featured a more noteworthy cold air outbreak than this most recent one.

perhaps an early spring this year...?

yeah, seems pretty miserable to lead a life like that

Funny thing is Jan will still finish above average for most despite that.