rainsucks

You and @Baum can go check out the temperature forecast contests in the weather forecasting sub if you want instead of being snarky, imbecilic assholes. The scoring speaks for itself.

Well I've been right on just about every forecast I've made besides the July heat bust (which everyone else busted on as well), but okay lol. Whatever helps you sleep at night, I guess.

October snow isn't happening this year. There isn't really a correlation anyway, so it doesn't matter.

I know it's very early still, but this appears to be progressing with near perfection thus far. August was indeed a relative "break month", and now it's looking as though Sept will be potentially record warm for a large section of the country.

today and tomorrow will feature above average temps (when pertaining to daily highs anyhow), then we see a 2-3 day cooldown before we go back above average for the foreseeable future. so yes, what I said was accurate. Also, the first half of Sept will not finish below average overall, especially for Chicago and points west.

yeah, looks like almost unrelenting warmth based on pattern recognition alone after this upcoming weekend.

pretty clear this summer leaned warmer (albeit near normal for most).

pretty typical up and down early fall wx before the warmth takes over again around mid-month or so.

It was nice while it was happening, but the aftermath wasn't so pretty. Led to a complete agricultural disaster due to the inevitable cold snap that occurred later on in April. More modest warmth like we saw this year is ideal imo.

Feb 2015 was obviously very impressive, but it wasn't exactly unprecedented on a regional scale, as similarly cold months have occurred in the past. Feb 2014 was impressively cold as well, just centered farther west. Then you have months like Feb 1936 and Jan 1977 which were even more extreme. March 2012 on the other hand was quite literally unprecedented for a very large swath of the country, with the heat wave being the most extreme temperature event ever recorded. We had minimum temperatures beating record highs for the same date. The gap between first and second place was also much greater in the case of March 2012 for just about every major reporting site in the Midwest/East. Feb 2015 wasn't even Detroit's coldest February (1882 was almost two degrees colder), while March 2012 beat the previous monthly record by nearly three degrees. The gap was even more extreme in Chicago, with March 2012 coming in nearly five degrees warmer than the previous monthly record. It's not even close, March 2012 was so warm that it doesn't even make any sense. Just a complete statistical outlier that is in an entirely different league of its own. Going to be a very long time before we see a month that extreme again IMO.

was pulling for an intrahour 100. oh well.

doesn't seem like it has reached ORD yet, but the temp has been hovering around 99 for a while now.

wow, 99 at ORD now. 100 may actually happen after all.

the late Sept 2017 heat wave was just about as impressive IMO, at least in Chicago.

Going to fall short of 100 at ORD due to more cloud cover than initially anticipated, probably.

I suspect March-April 2018 would have been quite mild actually if it weren't for that ridiculous, late-season major SSW.

100-101 in the metro is quite possible IMO, but that's probably about the upper limit with this airmass.

We have an almost off the charts 500 mb ridge anchored pretty much directly overhead (with similarly impressive thermals), and are living in a completely different era of climate now. I can certainly see it happening granted we avoid any weird outflow boundaries (and that's a BIG if).

HRRR had a 101 for ORD tomorrow, which actually seems reasonable if outflow isn't an issue.

DCA: +1.6 NYC: +2.0 BOS: +2.2 ORD: +3.3 ATL: +1.8 IAH: +2.4 DEN: +3.0 PHX: +2.5 SEA: +1.0

Would be impressive if it were to verify, and also downright nasty. To each their own, but the coming days are looking to be rather miserable from a comfort standpoint for normal people anyhow.

Considering how refreshingly cool it’s been as of late, the return to 90+ temps will certainly feel more miserable than usual.

Starting to see signs of "pattern two" making a comeback in late August, for a time at least. Regardless, it's hard for me to imagine the Midwest having a cool fall this year, but we'll see.

Idk about this. Starting to see some much hotter trends in the med-long range now, and there's actually support for it this time. Obviously much can change between now and then, but it's becoming clearer that we aren't entirely done with the heat, even if it ends up being subdued.