Vice-Regent
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Everything posted by Vice-Regent
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I don't know about your perspective but the only place not torching is the arctic. That's exactly why this is happening... common sense people it cannot be warm everywhere at the same time. As much as I hate to admit it it's not 2050 or 2100.
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Newest GEFS suite seems problematic too many factors at play to say for sure that it's fishing. Henri also moved SW all of the big ones trek southwestward is indicative of other factors.
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You got it backwards. What was it before with the sudden weakening
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Just a bonus storm. Should of never existed anyway in a sense I will take it.
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That's a bad thing if you don't want impacts. It's slowing the storm down there is no organized structure... yet
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Going by that logic we should of kept orange dust around. Just enjoy the storm don't over-analyze the situation. There will be more to come.
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Category 2 is nothing. Really easily doable... have you guys lived through a category 2? A well-build cabin can withstand those conditions. It's insulting to say that we cannot reach it we are a cane town now just watch. We lost the snow but we gained the cane. Cancels out...
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The center is very elongated and south of there and this storm is still crawling. It may not make it to your latitude per say.
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It's ovah' guys. Worst model dumpster fire in recent memory.
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It does good but in really hardcore borderline situations like this it falls apart.
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I see you have a very unruly gut. May want to get that checked out
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It's starting to bifurcate already as you can see into the southern camp of Euro ECNs. I am markedly more concerned than I was this morning it looked like shear would win out.
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Could just be my inner weenie but 12z GFS looks suspect. We won't anything until it actually begins moving Northward.
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Not happening but I know you were joking. With that said many have not considered the smaller proportions? Tighter windfield mitigating weakening and augmenting impacts?
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We know it can happen and it's easier to happen so the odds don't go either way really.
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We must be looking at different data. A robust examination of the 06z EPS would reveal a disturbing conclusion when comparing the mean sea level pressure of individual members.
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With all due respect Mr. Typhoon Tip. We are looking at peak climatological favorability for shelf waters give or take a couple of weeks. I am not optimistic about a slowing of the forward motion salvaging an already bad situation. Even the best of us would break down mentally when encountering untenable outcomes. Regards
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In HMNI we trust. It has been right all along. "Do not use this track map to make decisions"
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Some of the model solutions being printed out for the 12z suite are wack yo. This storm is fire.
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In HMNI we trust ... look how tilted Henri is definitely coming west.
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane season
Vice-Regent replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
But we got Henri... quality over quantity. -
2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread
Vice-Regent replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Mid Atlantic
There is something inherently wrong with the ocean-atmospheric coupling on the GFS and many other models. They are not factoring in something either the cold stratosphere and/or warming ocean. -
It's not low risk at all. For it to come towards 75W from a starting position east of Bermuda (even east of Hebert Box) is highly anomalous and portends to unusual outcomes potentially.
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread
Vice-Regent replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Mid Atlantic
Push the system long and hard enough and you end up in a situation where literally every Atlantic TC makes landfall in the CONUS. We are finally at that point.
