Vice-Regent
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Everything posted by Vice-Regent
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Truely a beautiful and peaceful place that has been taken from us in a indefinite emotional cost.
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I wonder how many lucky breaks we will get. Maybe the HAARP people were right.
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You may want to rethink your retirement plans after this hurricane or at the very least reconsider buying coastal property.
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God willing Josh Mogerman did not look at the 0z HMON. I think he's made it through sub 900mb landfalls but the Bahamas are very flat for the most part.
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The question is how do you feel about this? I'll take the CMC over the GFS any day of the week.
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That would be the weather equivalent of fake news.
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No soup for you.
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You will be missed.
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Give it some time. Here is the high-resolution output for the PRE (Predecessor Rainfall Event) from 18z NAMNEST. Edit: JMA is a double SNE-special from TD6 and Dorian.
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TD 6 is your baby. Enjoy it guys. It will probably rapidly intensify and pump the heights over Maritime Canada.
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The operational run too in a strange twist. Minus the sea level pressure.
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99L goes into the Shredder on the 18z GFS (You just can't make this stuff up).
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18z GFS is more less what he's looking for synoptically but there's simply nothing there. I don't believe it. This needs to establish a core soon or it's going to become a significant concern for many.
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Hubris can lead you into dire situations including not being prepared and driving a 8 billion population into a hothouse extinction. Nothing is set in stone in regards to this storm. People thought we would be flying around in cars at this point back in the 60s and 70s.
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Remember nobody does tropical like the SNE.
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New solutions on the table with 12z GFS. Significantly more negative tilt over the Great Lakes.
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The GFS has a tendency to sweep these TCs away too quickly and now we are seeing new solutions on the table. Still not very favorable for getting the Bahamas disturbance into the NE but an indication of the uncertainty ahead. However I suspect if the intensity modeling was correct it may have followed the Euro.
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You guys know how to do tropical. I miss the roaring 50s and 60s and I long for a 38' repeat.
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For whatever it's worth the paper references the late 21st century and not now. -
Good god... SLR and a change in TC climatology is the perfect storm for disaster.
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Late season dirty ridging is so dangerous because it is carrying the momentum from peak insolation. At least that's how I interpret the situation. Here is some perspective.
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Short answer is yes. More like non-existent aside from sun angle changes. Although the aggressive warming near AK has caught my attention. It could throw a wrench into my prediction. I mean look at that insanity. There's like a 500,000 sq mile area of 7 C+ ocean anomalies. We are profoundly f***.
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If it's inevitable then when it happens does not matter. Nobody payed attention to Paul Beckwith's three-legged bar stool.
