MJV

Howdy!! It's been awhile. I'm certainly removed from my 'job' but like to keep the weather watch 'flow' going now and then.  This sort of reminds me of the early 2000s when I worked in NW Calif and the summers (June and July) were cold and breezy. 

This "wet season" has started out strangely --- and now 7 years into this tropical savannah climate SW FL lifestyle --- I'm impressed by the subtle differences from season to season. I'm at 1.15" into a season (June) that tells me 8-9" is a normal June rainfall month. By July 4th -- our ponds at Panther Run GC (NE Collier county FL) --- are usually full. AM CURIOUS though ---  can we get where we should be in the next 3 weeks?  I'm not complaining --- my Key Lime and Calamansi trees , Gardenias and Hibiscus are loving it right now.

My opinion only here --- when in an El Nino year --- 'signature' --- I'm feeling a soft hurricane season for us (for SW FL).  I like the idea because of what I see along the west coast and downstream --- and too much persistent longwave troughing along 80W longitude. The warm SSTs in the easter Atlantic will get all the "climate change" headlines --- but nothing will reach us --- from the south that is (Cuba and Jamaica). That's my weather watch 'danger zone' and all clear forecast!!!  Normally wouldn't even get the wx watch desk fired up until mis-August but I'm calling it now. LOL Regards MJV

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