MJV

Howdy! The weather window has arrived a couple of weeks early --- for southwest FL I guess it's time to start looking at things. So far this wet season --- rainfall has been consistent if not abundant here in 'inland' Collier county. In May (9.36"), June (6.76"), July so far (8.90"). Usually wait until the "I" storm--- so it's early. Two observations--- am bias towards the folks at WPC for any real day 5-7 guidance since they sincerely do a A+ weather watch for anything headed for the CONUS. And (2) the NHC DISCUSSION today---pulled out a long-used phrase today---one that tells me they don't have a clue---  "users should remember" ...

When they do that --- oh boy. LOL We already knew that you guys can't get 20% of the forecast close beyond 3 days ---a LONG time ago---let alone 12 hours out ---so WHY reminds us. Mind you, I really have had sooooo many experiences in the past with them as a forecaster (but I don't forecast anymore so I can easily be brushed off by them as a ______ ( you fill in the blank).

But we do live in the greatest country in the world, and I can STILL express my humble opinion and critique that falls on deaf ears. Which is what I just did.  Thank the Lord that I STILL have that option in today's world. Anyway, I'm going to keep tabs on things going forward until we head for Montana (for my dear niece's wedding).

PS...My inclination is to throw out the EC_and give some love to the GEFS/NAEFS for this particular "I" storm scenario. The "G" storm was over-hyped (we have to mention TWC here) --- and so far south latitude wise but I don't get the opportunity anymore to do a "weather watch" AND I really don't WANT to (tongue-in-cheek).

Best Regards Mike Vojtesak