KoalaBeer

Although I agree it’s exceptionally rare, how can he just cherry pick that one spot on that spacial grid scale? Just completely ignore the 9kts 10-15 miles to the east? Probably a fortunate thing Henri will be crawling over those colder SSTs however.

Look at shortwave IR at night to see the low level cloud patterns better. LLC is still at the northern edge of the deepest convection. Starting to get covered up better now however. MLC and LLC don’t look totally vertically stacked yet.

Looks like 5 recon flights into Henri tomorrow. 3 low-level and two upper. 3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON GRACE WHILE IT REMAINS A THREAT. B. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON HENRI AT 20/2330Z. C. TWO MORE NOAA 49 G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS AROUND HENRI FOR THE 21/0000Z AND 21/1200Z SYNOPTIC TIMES, DEPARTING KLAL AT 20/1730Z AND 21/0530Z. D. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO HENRI DEPARTING KLAL AT 20/2000Z AND 21/0800Z. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

Henri holding on well but still getting sheared heavily. LLC looks partly exposed or right on the edge of convection.

Que Joe Bastardi tweeting in 3,2,1.....”Cat 4 inbound!”

Not that I’m aware of. Pretty much no historical analogs for this one. Nothing even remotely close to Bermuda has made landfall in New England before. Credit Bob Henson/Jeff Masters for the image over at YCC. Track of all tropical cyclones on record, going back to 1851, that passed within 120 nautical miles of Hartford, Connecticut, while still classified as hurricanes. (Image credit: NOAA Historical Hurricane Tracks)

Hahaha Bastardi give me a break. The same guy posting about the 3K NAM showing Fred getting down to 956mb before making landfall on the FL panhandle. Even to my amateur eyes it was obvious connective feedback. Why’s he so obsessed with using the NAM for tropical systems? For the clicks and likes? I trust not a single word out of that mans mouth at this point. Don’t care how much experience he has.

Speaking of flash flooding....go check out the southeast forum thread. NC getting nailed. Sign of things to come?

EF2 on the Ocean county one. What a day for them.

Should be fun watching the storms develop in the upper Midwest tonight. PDS watch issued. Maybe one day I’ll see a derecho in New England. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds expected with scattered significant gusts to 90 mph likely Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible

Fair enough. Definitely not impressive in terms of hail/lightning but I wasn’t expecting the wind, and I obviously respect your opinion as a met. Always hard to tell how localized the severe wind is with limited observations as well. Logan is pretty exposed and my apartment is as well.

Doesn’t a 61mph gust literally fit in the definition of severe in the BOX forecast area? I didn’t have a single lightning strike by me but still gusted 50-55 in a crappy looking part of the line on radar. “A thunderstorm that produces a tornado, winds of at least 58 mph (50 knots or ~93 km/h), and/or hail at least 1" in diameter. Structural wind damage may imply the occurrence of a severe thunderstorm. A thunderstorm wind equal to or greater than 40 mph (35 knots or ~64 km/h) and/or hail of at least ½" is defined as approaching severe.”

If I didn’t know any better I would think a fog bank was rolling in.

Hampton, NH looking over the salt marsh.

5:50 tee time in Haverhill as well. Those cells just north of Manchester need to screw off and die out. Not on a good trajectory for me to get 9 in.

No warning on that cell in se NH with 65dbz? I bet Kingston area is seeing some good hail.

Jeez the Jaffrey/Keene area could be in for trouble if current radar trends hold and that heavy rain downstream moves in. Ended up being a beautiful beach day here in Hampton. Just a few showers, sitting outside with a beer now. Been in a nice radar hole all day.

China could have had one of there worst tornado outbreaks yesterday. Obviously tough to get much information, but the videos and damage look consistent with ef4/5. The tall apartment building reminds me of Joplin hospital damage. Click on the guys profile there’s plenty more crazy damage pictures.

Records continue to fall out west in impressive fashion.

Ya that was a very impressive outing for him. I personally believe all these pitchers complaining about the sticky thing is absolute nonsense. Should of never happened in the first place so I guess MLB shoulders a lot of the blame. I’m a huge Sox fan but hopefully his performance tonight shuts up the people critical of the MLB crackdown. I will concede they should’nt have done it mid season.

Beautiful day on the seacoast. Cool, sunny, not humid at all. Love drinking beers on my porch and people watching the nutjobs at Hampton Beach days like today. Wtf is going on out west though. I’m afraid for them what peak fire season brings.

The high plains are cranking. Seems like these QLCS TORs have been more violent then normal the past few years. Rapid city radar sustained some serious damage from hail. Surprised it’s still up and running.

Honestly with how fast that water/mud was moving that I’m not sure he did unfortunately. That driver barely pulled away as a wall of debris game at him at like 60 mph or whatever. It was hauling ass down that hill.

Should be a fun little event on the NH seacoast. Not expecting much in the way of wind, but water is just about always the bigger problem for us anyways. I got a feeling this won’t be the only tropical mischief we have up this way this summer. Did anyone ever post the flash flooding/landslides from Japan this week? We are lucky to not really be vulnerable to these kind of natural disasters in our part of the world.

Trying to punch through this and get south. Got some good videos I’ll post later.