cardinalland
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Everything posted by cardinalland
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Lower Naugatuck Fire and EMS radio - reporting a bridge collapse over a stream in Oxford CT
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that’s quite a feeder band over PR jeez
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the PNW is gonna be “chilly and wet” this winter? what??? unbelievable -
80/90 now. doesn’t seem to pose a threat to CONUS but NE Carib and bermuda should watch this one
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these should be snow totals
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downpour in the UWS. can’t see the other side of the hudson river due to visibility. lightning bolts going off
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rumbling in manhattan upper west side. looks like we're in for a light show
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lots of lightning here in harlem
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just got out of twisters (the movie) and it’s ripping
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Long Island Sound is great for swimming because the water is calm and warm. Hammonasset is good and there are a few other state beaches. No big waves though and many of the beaches are kinda small.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
cardinalland replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
got a link for it? asking for a friend, thanks -
I wonder if we have higher potential today on a SSW/SW wind due to the drought southwest of here https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
cardinalland replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Wind shear in the Caribbean should persist through most of the remainder of this month -
Looks just about due north to me in my radar imagery for the last 3 hours
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C5 is possible in this region right now due to high ocean heat content. With that dropsonde it looks like Beryl is almost a C4 already. C5 is not out of the question in the next day or so
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a useful link for more info on global warming and hurricanes from the GFDL: https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/#:~:text=Both the increased warming of,SSTs favor development and intensification.
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I have my doubts as to if global warming will lead to a linear increase in hurricane count... Increases in upper tropospheric temperature may limit hurricanes just as much as increased ocean temperatures fuel them. There may be some crazy years though as things are thrown out of wack
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
cardinalland replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Seeing likely 2-3 storms in one week in the Atlantic in June is impressive. I imagine we'll see a lull after as the current kelvin wave is leaving the area, and once the next kelvin wave comes around it's off to the races... -
It's an interesting case study in the effectiveness of AI right now! Yeah, only 4 in the US since 1950! But I would imagine there's a few more which made landfall as C3+ in other regions.
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Haha it's still wrong! Eloise was retired and Kate made landfall as a Category 2. These AIs really aren't all they're cracked up to be
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I don't know of a database of all Atlantic major hurricane landfalls, but it's an interesting question for sure. As for the Lesser Antilles, I used https://coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes/ to map all major hurricanes which tracked through the Lesser Antilles. Every single storm to pass through the Lesser Antilles as a major hurricane since 1954 has been retired *EDIT: except for Hurricane Omar of 2008.
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ChatGPT is completely wrong. I went through the list of US landfalls and found 4 major hurricane landfalls which weren't retired: 1. Hurricane Gracie (1959) 2. Hurricane Bret (1999) 3. Hurricane Zeta (2020) 4. Hurricane Idalia (2023)
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
cardinalland replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
as a GenZer i am thoroughly horrified. Having 2013 as the top analog based on the last 30 days is interesting. The Western Atlantic is much warmer this year though, so I think 2024 is different where it matters for an Atlantic season. The presence of vigorous Cape Verde waves this early is a strong sign like 2017. -
how's everyone doing in morristown???
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22/12/6
