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cardinalland

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Everything posted by cardinalland

  1. cardinalland
    never been the biggest fan of apple maps, but i gotta admit this feature is pretty cool.
  2. cardinalland
    the 3 best analogs I could find (for a dry 60 period leading up to 10/15 and a La Niña) are 1964 (24.4" snow at KNYC), 1973 (23.5" snow at KNYC) and 1984 (24.1" snow at KNYC). A remarkably average set of years, for snowfall at least...
  3. cardinalland
    shades of last winter on the 2 week forecast, with the greatest positive departures over the midwest and central canada.
  4. cardinalland
    new york diego, ca
  5. cardinalland
    what a night in new haven. saw an incredible aurora (visible to the naked eye), light pillars, and a bright shooting star. peaked around 7:30pm and 10pm.
  6. cardinalland
    for all those looking for more, i think we get another peak in about 20 minutes as electron density increases (as per spaceweatherlive)
  7. cardinalland
    insane in new haven very visible to the eye
  8. cardinalland
    well first atlantic storm in the 800s since i started tracking.
  9. cardinalland
    dropsonde above shows 185 mph winds at the surface and 215 mph winds at ~300 ft altitude in the NE eyewall.
  10. cardinalland
    plane at 22.0N 90.3W as of 6:14 PM EDT
  11. cardinalland
  12. cardinalland
    yep the HAFS seems to do that too sometimes, plus this HAFS-B run initialized at a pressure of 997MB. But yeah, agreed. This HAFS-B run is also quite a bit slower, with a position about 1 degree west and maybe 2/3rds of a degree south of the prior run.
  13. cardinalland
    geez the ceiling looks to be pretty high
  14. cardinalland
    this season has really been relentless on CONUS
  15. cardinalland
    HAFS-B with a 944mb landfall just south of Homosassa Springs. Not a good track for the Tampa Bay
  16. cardinalland
    GFS slams a 951mb cane right into tampa bay :/
  17. cardinalland
    I've been thinking/speculating as to if the recent trend of storms strengthening to landfall has to do with stronger AGW effects near landmasses, as land has seen greater warming than ocean. Also speculating as to if the Atlantic storm increase (over the Pacific) has to do with enhanced warming in the North Atlantic basin due to it being more surrounded by continents than other basins.
  18. cardinalland
    i've recently gotten into running and so at least i can look forward to many months of my ideal running weather ahead (35-55F)
  19. cardinalland
    the pattern will shift in 3 weeks (march 10th) and then we'll finally get our snow
  20. cardinalland
    Snapmap is insane in the Asheville/Hendersonville area. So many flooded out roads and buildings, trees down, power lines down... hoping for a speedy recovery for all affected.
  21. cardinalland
    Hurricane Helene's center is approx. 100 miles from Clearwater right now. It will likely get as close as 90 miles away before it begins gaining distance as it moves toward the Panhandle.
  22. cardinalland
    i imagine highest winds will be southerlies displaced to the east, but there will still be quite strong westerlies and easterlies
  23. cardinalland
    that's always true in new england but less so in this setup (even though the storm will be moving fast)
  24. cardinalland
    meanwhile in the 2020s, we’ve already had 13 hurricane landfalls and 5 major hurricane landfalls… yowza!
  25. cardinalland
    Deepening appears to have stagnated for the past couple hours. I imagine it has to do with the dry air intrusion that you can see on satellite and radar. Once that mixes out strengthening will resume...
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