BNAwx

I agree that this setup (as modeled) looks like it has overrunning potential all over it. Depending on where the boundary sets up, I like seeing a SW flow on occasion. If the boundary is far enough to the south, this area can see a good snowfall. More times than not, it seems to be a fence straddling situation and locally we’re on the “wet” instead of “white” end. Regardless, I like seeing these positive changes on most guidance. I had pretty much written January off but if we can squeeze a week to a week 1/2 of a decent pattern at the end of the month, I would consider it a win. A flip back to crappy can certainly happen so I’ll refrain from getting excited just yet...

You are indeed correct. The only reason I know is because my wife (girlfriend at the time) was living with her parents in Greeneville, TN. She called, I asked her what she was doing, and she said they were just sitting around talking because the power was out. I asked her why the power was out and she said it was because they had over a foot of snow on the ground and it was still pouring the snow. Her dad had to pick her up early from work that day because she couldn't drive in the amount of snow that had fallen. She said that by the time they finally got home, the snow was so deep on the road that the car was basically pushing the snow like a snow plow. Like you said, I'm pretty sure they ended up with around 2 feet. I can't begin to tell you how jealous I was. Little did I know that we'd get our own surprise a few weeks later.

I kept a really detailed "snow chart" from about 1987 to about 1998 when I was still living at home in Cookeville. Any time we had frozen precip of any kind, I'd write it down (pre-computer days). I've still got it somewhere and I need to drag it out to reminisce. My two favorites of course were March 1993 and the surprise thumping we got in early February of 1998. We received over a foot with both events. I also remember the anticipation of the January 1988 event. This is back when Flip Spiceland was on CNN and remember him saying, "Tennessee...you're in for a lot of snow!" Good times....

Just glad to be here. There's a lot of knowledgeable folks on this forum. I hope we all have a banner winter!