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Everything posted by BNAwx
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February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There’s gonna be lots of ups and downs over the next week. It’s all gonna depend on where the arctic boundary sets up shop. Fun times ahead. -
February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Those were the days. I remember in 77-78 it would snow and we’d go back to school for a couple days and then it would snow again and we’d be out another week or so. I’d love to have another winter like that again someday. -
February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I lived in Cookeville at the time and I believe we hit either -23 or -24. Our pipes had frozen up and my mom went under the house with a hair dryer in an attempt to thaw them out. Well, it was so cold that the extension cord froze and just crumbled up. Good times.. -
February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Would love to see some snow on snow in the parts. Hasn’t happened in quite a while... -
February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s pretty amazing actually. You don’t see that much consensus very often..even if it’s just the ensembles of 1 global model. -
February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Is Para Spanish for DGEX? -
East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
BNAwx replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’ve determined if I want to see good snow that I need to have a cabin in the mountains or at the least a little house in Fentress County if I want to be closer...- 195 replies
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- may the flow be with you
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Euro depiction of how things evolve looks like good overrunning potential. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Is that due to some sort of deformation band coming through? I remember the same type of output from the Christmas event. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe we’ll buck the Nina trend and have a decent 2nd half of the winter. If the Nina is weakening, maybe that’ll help as well. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
It’s easy to get frustrated. Lord knows I am when talking about MBY. I also know it’s a product of where I live and partly luck-of-the draw. OTOH, I’m glad locations near me (and very near at that) have done ok so far this winter. At least that give me solace knowing that it CAN still snow in this neck of the woods. I’m actually thankful to have at least been in the ballgame this winter with some of the pre-season forecasts that were out there. Hopefully we’ll have a more favorable pattern statewide before winter is over. -
Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dang. Looks like I need to go south or east if I’m gonna see snow this winter. Must not be livin’ right. LOL!!- 112 replies
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January 7 - 8 ULL obs and nowcast
BNAwx replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I never saw the first flake last night. Dry air was like the Great Wall of China’s at the Williamson/Davidson county line. Depressing but it’s not the first time it’s happened around here. Hoping that Monday’s system can hold together and give us a shot. -
Sad thing is, it wouldn’t be the first time I’ve driven SOUTH to see snow...
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Guess I need to jump in the car and drive south for about 30 minutes if I’m gonna see any snow tonight. LOL!
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Hoping those heavier returns can pivot up to the I-40 corridor around Nashville.
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Just getting ready to post that. Seems like several areas in West TN and western middle have changed over.
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah. When we’re banana’d by a couple 1030 highs, I see your point... -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hmm. Each model run piques my interest in a possible changeover in my neck of the woods. It’ll be interesting to watch. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dang near a perfect track. Not worried about minor details at this point. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I recall a recent post from Griteater when he was taking about the upcoming SSWE saying that it’s possible the current blocking regime holds for a while, relaxes and then comes back (paraphrasing if you will). If that happens, perhaps our best shots will be when the pattern reloads. Maybe at that point we’ll have a better cold source to tap in Canada. Wild guess at this point and I’d rather not wait for a pattern reload even if that does occur. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
BNAwx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Flurries/Light Snow here just east of Nashville. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Congrats to you folks in East TN. The pics I’ve seen are awesome. Keep ‘em coming!