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BNAwx

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Everything posted by BNAwx

  1. Measure 7.5” in three different locations. Looks like maybe one last heavier band is about to roll through.
  2. Heavier returns picking up again west of Nashville and moving this way. About to go do another measurement.
  3. Not the best pic, but here’s more deck action…
  4. Yes. But I’m the nut that will stare at the floodlights until my eyes cross just waiting for that first flake.
  5. Returns west of Nashville have really deepened over the last little bit.
  6. Right at 2 inches here in Hermitage. Gonna be a fun night!
  7. Tiny flakes making it down in Hermitage just east of Nashville.
  8. You know it’s been a good few hours of modeling when you have to go back 3 pages of posts to catch up where you left off the night before. Good times!
  9. That’s why this is such a great hobby. I’ve experienced both “the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat” within 24 hours of an event. 24 hours worth of modeling is an eternity sometimes.
  10. There’s a reason Nashville has rarely witnessed a 12”+ snowfall. Too far west to get prime snowfall from a Miller A out of the gulf and no elevation to enhance lift. There’s more reasons I’m sure. We’re more likely to get to that total from a well placed upper level low.
  11. WAAAY too much time left to get attached to any solution. This is about the time models do indeed get wonky with systems or lose them altogether. Any scenario is in the table right now. The only thing I can comfortably say is it’s gonna get chilly.
  12. Things to do: Fix the carburetor on my generator before next week….
  13. Wouldn’t be surprised to see some clipper action pop up on modeling after the passage of the system on the 15th & 16th. That’s some stout cold coming down.
  14. And if you like dynamic systems, these next couple of weeks will be your jam.
  15. Doesn’t look like the EPS has that energy diving into the southwest. The GEPS looks like it was TRYING to do the same as the GEFS but doesn’t get there. Like Carvers said, we’re still over 7 days out and who knows exactly how this storm plays out. Fun to watch though…
  16. I won’t get my hopes up. i won’t get my hopes up. I won’t get my hopes up….
  17. A positive is that the PV has been taking a beating and hasn’t been able to consolidate. I can live without a true split because they’re like a box of chocolates. Keeping the PV weak and/or elongated will keep things interesting.
  18. I wonder if the difference with the GEFS is in how it’s handling the MJO progression. How has its MJO verification skill compared to EPS or GEPS?
  19. I’m a March 15th kind of guy. The 1st 15 days of March are similar to me as the 1st 15 days of December. I’m not likely to get snow during either of those 15 days but I’m still hunting. I’d have to do some digging but I’ve probably seen more snow between March 1st and March 15th than I have December 1st though 15th. Anyway….I “for some odd reason” feel that I haven’t seen the last of Old Man Winter yet.
  20. LOL! We must be around the same age. I grew up in Cookeville and remember missing school for what seems like weeks on end when I was in kindergarten & 1st grade (those late 70’s winters). I remember January ‘85 especially due to the cold and the January ‘88 storm. I remember being glued to TWC for day’s leading up to March ‘93 and because it was college spring break (glad I didn’t have plans….) 95-‘96 was a banner winter. The only other 90’s event worth noting is the surprise foot of snow we received early February of ‘98.
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