Henry's Weather

About the same, solid warning event. Nice

Ooooh GFS is better. I’m forsaking my 6 am wakeup for this, better be good. Gotta get that eight hours

Preface: not a met, subject to error. WAA= warm air advection. This mode of precipitation is caused by warm front mechanics, generally. Warm air moving northward. Pre-mature cyclone. CCB: cold conveyor belt. This type of snow is a result of cyclonic curvature funneling moist air into the dendrite-forming column in the atmosphere on the cold side of a system. It occurs during the strengthening of a cyclone to near peak strength and continues once it reaches maturity. subject to correction

50 miles more of latitude would’ve done it.

NAM is a whiff for WAA, not for CCB

Definitely exchanging WAA for CCB these past few runs

Woah, that’s amped

Had some flurries come through recently, sets the tone for this weekend

It’s pretty draining dopaminurgically.

General tilt seems more positive, slightly more separation between S/Ws. Should be less amped, good news for coastal crowd, bad news for dryslot and dendrite

BOX should release their first suite of watches at 4 today, probably going to go for 6-12+ interior, 4-8 along coast excluding cape and islands

Folks who imagine that more than a swath of 6-12+ could materialize do not understand the fundamental synoptics of the event. This has never had the firepower to be a long-duration, multi-stream merger blizzard. The question is SECS or low-end MECS (meaning a zone of 12-15), which is entirely dependent at this stage on whether the trailing energy can interact with the initial WAA-causing pulse and close off H5 south of the coast to prolong CCB for a couple more hours. I’ve seen a couple insinuations of 1-2 feet from some here, who are woefully demonstrating their lack of comprehension of or experience with these type of systems.

Gorgeous

Im on team CCB over WAA, welcome trend to me

That second wave interaction really gets it going

Dont know what you’re referencing, but yeah

Glad to see we agree!

Oh I’m locked in now. We back

Notice the increased amplitude of upstream western ridging

Encouraging trend with regard to greater s/w activation

Noticeable positive trend in western ridge magnitude trailing the shortwaves, supporting greater s/w interaction

Heights out ahead are slightly depressed, should be slightly less tucked

Shortwaves are more distinct

Notice that the trailing piece of energy is less far behind. May mean that the lull we saw in past guidance will be less represented here due to earlier interaction?

12z NAM may be slightly less amped. S/W slightly weaker and downstream ridge slightly weaker. May turn out to be a good thing for sensible weather south of Concord, NH