Henry's Weather

I'm guessing we wont have much until the final frontal passage because of a lack of speed shear, storm mode is too pulsating to allow storms to mature to severe.

Thanks. More questions, not necessarily only aimed at weatherwiz: In my (limited) understanding, EML air-masses originate from the SW USA and find their way here along a ridge with westerly winds usually? And they're characterized by dry midlevels and steep midlevel lapse rates? If this is true, and transport is usually due to a midsummer 594-ish mb ridge, I'm wondering why these events aren't that common. It seems like we get ridges like that a couple times every summer, and we see frontal passages maybe every 4 days.

how rare are EML events here?

Worth a slight risk?

so many CGs today

That storm by Mechanicville is a beast

Annoying cap at 900 mb.

How solid is the threat of strong tstorms tomorrow?

At this point I'll just take some rain for the garden

Any chance for more widespread convection on Wednesday?

Call me delusional, but holy EML on the 12z gfs

SPC extending marginal risk across NE... Can someone explain the reason? Is the cold front that strong?

Forgot that I have access to the annals of modern weather on this site, thanks

Anyone have radar imagery/maps of August 4th, 2015? Curious about cape values/shear

first rumbles in Somerville

not great graphics but WHDH

If that cell continues due east, you should get some action

This stuff is still activity before the frontal passage, yes?

En route to the Brockton area

I hope Eastern mass gets some solid soakers ... i don't see why they wouldn't with a cold front meeting ~3000 joules of cape. In my amateurs opinion, the showers and storms in VT should be the storms Eastern mass will end up with, as the cold front moves SE

By the way we got that slight risk

Are the storms in western mass prefrontal?

Some mesos have a line coming through your area in 2-3 hours, you might be fine

Thankfully we have a cold front to force something, I just hope for some lightning.