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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. Check out how much more robust the omega block is on the GFS - I think that is a main player. GTFO confluence and let that ridge hike
  2. 00z vs. 18z GFS (grain of salt, amateur analysis) confluence in 50/50 region trended weaker but what was far more impactful was the speed of the kicker (faster) and the decreased amplitude of ridging preceding the s/w.
  3. Wishlist over next 48 hours: Stronger omega block, N trend confluence, slower/weaker kicker, stronger ridge centered over ID. Giving this one a 20% of hitting
  4. How long does it take to affect the troposphere?
  5. That 12z GEFS ensemble lows output puts this to bed… I’m done lol
  6. On the bright side, a miss will give crews a chance to do more clean-up. Champagne problems but I don’t like having to run around a parking lot in circles like a lunatic
  7. Don’t get me wrong, ill take a miss… commuting is horrific
  8. Am I wrong? A full hit in this set-up would be feet
  9. Gun to my head, I think this hits us. I think majority on the forum agree (not that it actually matters). We’ve seen too many of these shift NW incrementally
  10. Tonight I think it’s full OTS on operationals but ensembles only get marginally worse. Tomorrow night, thinfs will start to tick back
  11. Rayno is great, was one of the first mets I followed as a kid. Good introduction to 500mb analysis
  12. Think many of these spots will end up closer to 10:1. I think it was a mistake to assume higher ratios from WAA setup
  13. I seem to recall great rates, just that it only snowed hard for 8 hours
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