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Henry's Weather

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  1. Henry's Weather
    Can a willing met explain the basic physics principles behind secondary LP development? And what that might mean for this situation, what with the H5 track so far west? Eager minds want to know
  2. Henry's Weather
    considering this is basically a banter thread, for better or for worse, yeah
  3. Henry's Weather
    does closing off the mid/lower levels prevent, for lack of a better term, upper level energy (?) flowing northward unencumbered with the shape of the jet? I'd guess that it's meaningful in terms of wind fields and how different levels of the column change temperature. Am I kind of understanding? I still don't get exactly what would cause closing off to happen.
  4. Henry's Weather
    what about closing off 850 mb heights indicates/causes a colder situation?
  5. Henry's Weather
    GFS ticks east, GEFS tick west. Just isolating trends in the american models, we appear to be narrowing the goal posts between and outer-cape track and a coastal plain hugger.
  6. Henry's Weather
    I'm not a met so you know more than me, but didn't the surface low being more east verify, but we were hit with the H7 deform?
  7. Henry's Weather
    Golden
  8. Henry's Weather
    Oh well. Pattern is long. I remember how painful the first storm of March 2018 was because I was delusionally hopeful for evaporative cooling. A few days later, we got a foot and a half, bookended by two half-footers.
  9. Henry's Weather
    I mean, I'd be lying to myself if the GEFS doesn't keep me interested in the threat, but as of now, it's a far eastern outlier. Plus, doesn't GFS/GEFS have a progressive bias?
  10. Henry's Weather
    yeah, not wasting time on a storm which most guidance has tracking over ALB. If it becomes a positive surprise, yay
  11. Henry's Weather
    Not sure if its been posted, but GEFS snowfall mean is very pleasing to most
  12. Henry's Weather
    I wonder how often these events trend east in the modeling from D4-5 to event time. Especially Southern stream fueled ones
  13. Henry's Weather
    Would be funny if the euro missed OTS
  14. Henry's Weather
    jeez, look at all those 970s
  15. Henry's Weather
    Really gorgeous snowfall out there
  16. Henry's Weather
    Yeah it seems like we dont get enough time for heights to rebuild after the polar shot on Monday
  17. Henry's Weather
    I'm with snoski, I'm more intrigued by the potential element of surprise for Thursday than a day 8 or 9 threat, even if the signal is promising.
  18. Henry's Weather
    No way, I just moved away from West Somerville! Where are you at, generally?
  19. Henry's Weather
    If you didn't have this board, you'd be happy to over-shoot the NWS estimate
  20. Henry's Weather
    you really thought 8.5" was horrendous?
  21. Henry's Weather
    What would you call this phenomenon of general intensification and congealing?
  22. Henry's Weather
    Yeah, but even so hopefully we get the decaying band at some point. Apparently thats how these H7 goodies go, they can linger on for long past the system passes, or so I've heard
  23. Henry's Weather
    its a funny idea that someone might melt at being too far away from the freezing line, but I suppose that's a slight over-generalization
  24. Henry's Weather
    yeah, hope it fills in or at least slides east over time. I'm absolutely satisfied with 6 inches, but would be cool to score a few more
  25. Henry's Weather
    It's coming down at a moderate clip here but the snowflakes are so perfect that I believe we are exceeding an inch an hour still
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