Yeah pretty much held serve from 12z, just a tad flatter. Taken verbatim, euro is a foot for ESNE. Someone can confirm but maybe this 700 mb track is a little too far south for comfort? Cant upload pics on mobile
If I had to guess, GFS will be a hit for far southeastern areas and GEFS will bring the .5 inch QPF line along the jersey coast up through middle LI and cutting NE from Providence to Plymouth
It's weird to see those deep bermuda blues and tropical looking clouds in January, but I guess we live in the tropics according to Phin so it makes sense
NAM's clown range H5 track would appear to evolve more favorably than the 18z GFS's, as it seems to ride the coastline, but the lowlevels are torched on NAM
This is pretty unscientific but I see the diving northern energy as something plunging beneath the surface of some body of water (jet), displacing "water" upstream ahead of it. Ay yi yi