Henry's Weather

all around me... lol

I lived literally on Powder House blvd for those years. 2013 was bigger, we had about 28 inches or so as far as I recall. 2015 was longer but slightly less intense. maybe 22-23 inches final? The snow was also heavier in 2013. It was fun to shovel because the bottom 8 inches was total cement, the next 8 inches were normal, but not quite compactable snow, and the top foot or so was pure sand that whipped around like mad. 2015 was all sand, but that one was fun because heavy snows and winds coincided with sunlight. 2013 was a decidedly more mythological event, in part because it was my first 2 footer, but also because the hype surrounding it was unreal. A travel ban, and the snow slowly increased in intensity and fell sith more fervor as winds increaaed throughout the day. Beautiful storm 2013 was.

Wonder if Baker will issue a travel ban ... hope that isn't political enough for a ban

I am geographically challenged. SW

He lives SE of SNE, so he's cursed with weenie neuroticism. He can't help it

I wonder what accordion man is going to do

Also, we need that blog post... write your own version of the Walt Drag 2001 AFD

It's kind of like an out of-body experience to see it unfold before our eyes

This really seems like it just might be historic, frankly, if all works out towards western half of model guidance

NWS BOX mentioning possiblity for expansion into the 30-36 inch contours if solutions hold.

I know that's how cyclogenesis works generally, but to that degree seems like +4 SD. For the particular evolution of that run, not necessarily for the event, I will add

VERY much looking forward to the 4 pm BOX AFD

Also interesting how the lower res. EPS members are also more likely to be meh

NAM drops the H5 from a 522 closed contour to a 510 closed contour in... 6 hours. What. How?

reality check.... thank you

I've never weenied like this before

AHHHHHHH

I just saw 45 (kuchie disclaimer) on the euro 48 HOURS OUT

HOLY SHIT. The euro run just set in for me. Holy shit. Oh my God.

One thing I really like about you is that you don't take yourself so seriously! You're a good addition to the forum

On a roll like cottonelle today

riiiight, its an undesirable solution because it's a bad model

Yeah, the period of greatest ensemble utility isn't just a superstition. The closer to an event we get, the better and more reliable data we get, so we don't need to do these prognostic functional transformations to our numerical models because we have much less of a sampling error risk and spread to account for.

Que sera, sera.

I just want to take a moment to acknowledge the absurd rate potential for this storm. To illustrate this point broadly, I've attached a sounding from the 12z 3km NAM. The column isn't completely saturated, but the DGZ is ridiculously long and the lift is also broadly strong, as opposed to spikes which move erratically within the column. Sorry for the crop, this site has a very low capacity to handle uploads, frustratingly enough