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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. Henry's Weather
    One thing I really like about you is that you don't take yourself so seriously! You're a good addition to the forum
  2. Henry's Weather
    On a roll like cottonelle today
  3. Henry's Weather
    riiiight, its an undesirable solution because it's a bad model
  4. Henry's Weather
    Yeah, the period of greatest ensemble utility isn't just a superstition. The closer to an event we get, the better and more reliable data we get, so we don't need to do these prognostic functional transformations to our numerical models because we have much less of a sampling error risk and spread to account for.
  5. Henry's Weather
    Que sera, sera.
  6. Henry's Weather
    I just want to take a moment to acknowledge the absurd rate potential for this storm. To illustrate this point broadly, I've attached a sounding from the 12z 3km NAM. The column isn't completely saturated, but the DGZ is ridiculously long and the lift is also broadly strong, as opposed to spikes which move erratically within the column. Sorry for the crop, this site has a very low capacity to handle uploads, frustratingly enough
  7. Henry's Weather
    The CMC is NUTS. Stalled storm over the benchmark, going from 976->973 between 12z and 18z Saturday. Nuts.
  8. Henry's Weather
    My first impression of you based on this post and your profile pic is that many of your metaphors involve women
  9. Henry's Weather
    Weenies of the world unite!
  10. Henry's Weather
    Lol, people (myself included) rushing to take the rare opportunity to correct tip
  11. Henry's Weather
    Already out and no
  12. Henry's Weather
    Gold
  13. Henry's Weather
    So not east?
  14. Henry's Weather
    Anybody know which way the CMC went? I'm getting ambiguous signals
  15. Henry's Weather
    Yeah like every time
  16. Henry's Weather
    "Beyond Computation: The Reintroduction of Magical Thinking to Meteorological Pursuits"
  17. Henry's Weather
    WTF am I looking at George?
  18. Henry's Weather
    paging @DotRat_Wx
  19. Henry's Weather
    If you record 13.1", you get zapped from the matrix
  20. Henry's Weather
    Woah. Hehe
  21. Henry's Weather
    We really should step back and appreciate the magnitude of what just might happen. Storms of this scope and magnitude are not common.
  22. Henry's Weather
    This is nuts, it's gonna be one of the big ones. It's been a while, since I don't consider March 2018 to be a bona-fide blizzard. And during the day?? What a thought. Perhaps it's a tad early, but it seems like my area makes out like a bandit on both extremes of the model envelope, so I'm substantially less neurotic about these next 3 days than would seem "warranted"
  23. Henry's Weather
    Anyone have EPS mean? Wanna see that d-drip material before I drift off to sleep
  24. Henry's Weather
    Not to get carried away, but it seems like we might have a 12 hour window of heavy heavy precip, bookended by 6 hour periods of moderate precip. It's not everyday that you get that. In fact, it's not even most days.
  25. Henry's Weather
    This seems to be shaping up as a storm which starts in the wee hours of Friday overnight with that WAAish precursor precip, and just blasts a CCB from mid morning to early evening, with heavy snows continuing into Saturday overnight. Solid 24 hour precip event
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