Henry's Weather

It's ****ing sick out

Check out the overperformance in NYC/Jersey. Stay the course, this should be epic, despite HRRR flcutuations

I wonder if H5 has closed off already with the negative tilt. We shall see in 40 minutes

Ohhhh you can see when it really tilts negative! Everything is thrown back NW

All that dark green is gonna slam into those western bands. It's gonna be hellacious for most in t-minus 2 hours=0

Man I'm happy for you!! And me!!

"In Eastern Mass, 24-30 is likely" !!!!!

Latest HRRR has a +24.2" snow depth increase for Boston, which is a reasonable compromise between 10:1 and KUCHERA

You'll probably get it, man.

Point and click has 17-23 inches of new snow accumulation during the day.... I'm speechless and blessed.

Ay caramba. It's on baby

IT'S GONNA CRUSH YEAHHHHHHHH

@DotRat_Wx might win his bet

Catharsis. Now, we prepare for tomorrow

Check the Satellite forecast from Analysis at hour 0 to hour 1 on the HRRR... very fishy. Clearly not initializing properly. I would upload if these servers weren't too feeble to support files of reasonable size

I have a hard time imagining that this solution doesn't croak anyone from a line from Hartford to Nashua

Just looking at midlevels, it seems like if an eastern mesoscale low doesn't form, everyone west of the river just competely pounds. We can see that in the name, which would have been a completely crunching if not for a 6 hour periods of chasing convection. My question is, and maybe it's a dumb question: what about the upper air would suggest that the western low regains primacy after the eastern low has been favored? Especially when before the eastern low was favored in the first place, our LP was further west. It seems like an intra-run 6 hour hiccup, but all the models seem to show it to varying degrees. Why?

Yeah, what are these meta seeing that's increasing their confidence? Both BOX and Harvey and Bouchard

Yeah, I think the outcome of this will be an interesting case study

Wow that looks much better than surface projection

SVWX is an advantage lol

Well, it was at hour 15! Lol

NAM looks slightly more consolidated

Even with the furthest east solutions its over a foot IYBY and in mine. Hopefully the RAP is correct, so WOR can get a foot and we can get 2

FWIW, it closes off at H5 50 miles SE of Cape May. That'd be a classic solution I'd think