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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. God, looking at the past runs of ECMWF, this is just such a beast of a storm. 48 hour precip, hanging, all occluded and sh*t. Just awesome.
  2. Ah, so greater intraseasonal variability can anecdotally mask itself as seasonal shift? I could understand that if SD for "severe weather index" increases alongside with mean temperature increases, the window in which significant winter events may occur will expand even if it's an evenly-distributed warming. That said, I've read a few papers which predict that even in the next 50 years, N/S jet orientation is not predicted to move northward in spring, while it is for other seasons.
  3. Wonder if this is some little bit of evidence for the seasonal delay theory for CC
  4. I think I'd be legitimately interested in that. Buying like 40 eggs
  5. Check out this fetch... I mean, this looks quite good for significant weather.
  6. Notice the difference in presence of polar lobe. Could make a large sensible WX difference
  7. 18z NAM has a far healthier H5 shortwave and downstream heights structure (peeling upward) than 12z GFS does, whose paltry QPF printout still leaves me quite stumped.
  8. I understood what QPF meant... i was curious about whether you meant anomalous for the type of look (less than one would expect due to thermal prof.), or anomalous in general (compared to climo instantaneous norms). More specifically, my question was about the apparent descrepancy between favorable upper-level charts and unfavorable low-level ones
  9. 18z NAM (I know...) looks like it could be pretty potent. Stronger SW and PV lobe seems further north.
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