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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
    Sounds about right.
  2. CheeselandSkies
    One last hurrah for some rumblers tomorrow? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
  3. CheeselandSkies
    '07-'08 was my last year attending UW-Green Bay with winter break trip home so I got to experience it in both northeast and south-central Wisconsin. As I recall your assessment is accurate.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    I'd take the constant storminess over the extended arctic air and modest-to-moderate snowstorms. '13-'14 got to be brutal and my power bills were astronomical in my electric-heated apartment.
  5. CheeselandSkies
    I will take that, we were buried in snow most of DJF but there was that early-mid January thaw that also included a regional tornado outbreak.
  6. CheeselandSkies
    Yeah. Given seasonal indicators/ENSO state and SSTs/OHC in the vicinity I thought GFS/GEFS were on point with a hurricane, potentially a Mitch/Wilma-like beast coming out of the Caribbean. Now...not so much.
  7. CheeselandSkies
    As much as I'd love to see something like that, I don't buy it for a second.
  8. CheeselandSkies
    Some of the GFS tracks in recent days haven't been too far off from that.
  9. CheeselandSkies
    It's not a "media claim." It's based on a 126 MPH measurement at Atkins and a 140 MPH estimate by DVN survey in Cedar Rapids. Granted those are gusts, but you don't really see sustained winds of that magnitude on land in any but perhaps the very strongest hurricanes (think Irma in the Leewards, Dorian in the Bahamas).
  10. CheeselandSkies
    I'd rather we were the new Southern Plains in terms of tornado potential, but that doesn't seem to be happening (at least not on a reliable/predictable A/M/J basis).
  11. CheeselandSkies
    Yes...yes. It seems that is what needs to happen to get quality severe weather in the central CONUS again.
  12. CheeselandSkies
    I have Prospero on Ignore due to his conspiracy-mongering.
  13. CheeselandSkies
    Anyone else see the 06Z GEFS and GFS op? (at work so can't post it, but suffice to say it was...eyebrow raising)
  14. CheeselandSkies
    ...is it S****?
  15. CheeselandSkies
    What happened to that?
  16. CheeselandSkies
    Michael was basically the unicorn of landfalls. In the CONUS, in daylight, with a perfectly formed stadium eyewall untouched by EWRC or dry air; yet it is barely talked about outside of those it impacted and those who chased it.
  17. CheeselandSkies
    Because seeding doesn't work. They thought StormFury was working, then they figured out EWRCs and dry air intrusions were a thing.
  18. CheeselandSkies
    So LA gets the big wind and the big surge...just from different storms.
  19. CheeselandSkies
    Yeah, this one has really underachieved in the satellite porn department especially considering the waters it has gone over. 2020 - 25? 26? tropical cyclones and maybe four quality eyes visible for 1-12 hours each?
  20. CheeselandSkies
    Unless it's on a due W track through the Bahamas heading for Miami.
  21. CheeselandSkies
    Joaquin, but this is not that.
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Time to bring out Hurricane Milton again.
  23. CheeselandSkies
    What is the deal with shear always being there when the models said it won't be (Delta today, Sally through most of its trek through the GOM prior to the 11th hour before Panhandle landfall) and not being there when it's supposed to be (Laura, Michael at landfall)?
  24. CheeselandSkies
    The subtitle of this thread did not age well...
  25. CheeselandSkies
    https://youtu.be/XVPE7I0I7X4?t=13
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