CheeselandSkies

Interestingly, Wisconsin's previous record for single daily tornado count prior to August 18, 2005 was set on May 8, 1988. Must have been literally the only severe weather event of the spring. Given the other similarities, surprising it came when it did instead of very early in the season like 3/31. May have been different in YBY, but in 2012 I recall an exceptionally warm (the infamous "Morch") and dry (exacerbated by the lack of a snowpack to melt off from the previous winter) spring, just continuing through the summer. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

This easily ties 2012 for the dullest May/early June stretch of my adult life. Haven't been on a chase since May 7, Keota already feels like it was ages ago. If I'd known how quickly the season was going to die I might have tried harder on April 4. You just don't expect it to be over that early at this latitude. Heck, we still had piles of snow in Madison then.

Pop-up tsra around the area the last couple days; take it over nothing of course but no drought-buster. Training MCS season is desperately needed. Perhaps light at the end of the tunnel around mid-month if the CFS/GFS are to be believed; although where the pattern sets up will determine the haves/have-nots.

True. Tried to wash the Corolla after work today and the automated car wash at the Kwik Trip went stupid and just stopped in the middle of the cycle. The driver in front of me had to back out with his car still covered in soap, and they closed the wash since no one there knew how to service it.

Thought it was just my 2009 Corolla because I don't really care how it looks anymore, but I realized this morning that every car left outside has a grubby, dusty film all over it from the combination of prolonged dryness, air quality issues and construction zones everywhere. I ran the windshield sprayers to clear it out of my view and the fluid ran down black and streaked when the wipers hit it. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Grass turning brown about 3 weeks after it finally turned fully green. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Once again here we are almost to June, and every thunderstorm I've seen this year was because I drove to it.

You see why I get skeptical that we can get sufficient moisture for significant up into this region in late (let alone early, i.e. Winterset '22) March.

Even 3/31?

Hmmmmmm... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_June_14–18,_1992 The CFS doesn't always show life, but when it does, it's generally been in that timeframe since it came into range.

Dry fropa FTL.

I can't believe this is actually his official Facebook picture.

If possible this May has managed to be even more boring than 2020-22. It used to be my favorite month for its volatile weather and thunder/threats. What is with these locked-in doldrums patterns/endless stretches of absolutely nothing to track? I mean, it's nice that it's pleasant outside but with the ultra-low dewpoints I'm on the verge of having the same dry skin issues I do in the winter.

The "Morch" and near-total lack of snow the preceding winter didn't help, I'm sure.

So bizarre to flip right from a historic (in some places) upper Mississippi flood, to the brink of drought. River flooding is nearly always driven at least in part by excessive rainfall, not exclusively by northern snowmelt. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Well despite the storms appearing to be petering out around the La Crosse area on radar yesterday evening, we actually got a decent round of rain overnight in southern Wisconsin (although no thunder that I noticed). Now a pretty solid NE-SW oriented band from SE WI down to around Savanna/Clinton. Looks like most locations west/southwest of there got screwed again, though. You'd think the transition away from La Nina would be helping us out more, like it is in parts of the western Plains.

Looks like any storms will be biting the dust well to the northwest of here.

As nice as it was to finally get on the board with a sig catch at Keota on 3/31, would appreciate a few more at least somewhat synoptically-evident regional chase opportunities that don't involve 50+ MPH storm motions. Still haven't seen a signal strong enough to take a week of PTO strictly for chasing. CFS keeps waffling about the week following Memorial Day.

If it ain't gonna in May, it might as well be like this: Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 50. West wind around 5 mph. Tuesday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Sunny, with a high near 78. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Tuesday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 67. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 41. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Thursday Sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Thursday Night A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. South wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Friday Night A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Sunday A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Monday Sunny, with a high near 71.

Based on yesterday's Day 2 outlooks, wasn't expecting any part of WI to be in a slight risk today, lol.

There are some days where it pays to hold fast to your preconceived target area (like 3/31 for me, was planning to go to SE IA after getting off work at noon but overnight/morning of IL started to look much better according to CAMS which was tempting due to depicted later initation/slower upscale growth, would have cost me Keota that is in my avatar had I bit, as those simulated sups east of the MS formed but by and large did not produce photogenic ). Today is not one of those days. So much for OK/KS border. OK/TX border it is, for those chasing!

It's so weird to see a monster tornado on March 31, chase again four days later, then barely see a storm for another 5 weeks (would have been the entire period if not for April 20). This is why it was so hard for me to bite on early season setups at this latitude for so long (2/28/17, 3/5/22). After all, if we have trouble getting the juice for good storms up here in May...

Is the additional heavy, waterlogged snow in the UP going to melt into the upper MS watershed?

Has to be getting ready to do it, just south of Mart: