matt8204

That was nice.  Was able to get home from work last night before the snow began, got to spend a quiet Monday evening at home watching it fall and the roads were in good shape by me by the time I left this morning.  I'll take it.  Ready for spring now lol.

14 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

with all the toxic chemical spills going on, humanity is doing a lot of things wrong on this planet.

Instead of looking for intelligent life elsewhere in the universe, we need to wonder whether it even exists on earth.

 

We are capable of wonderful things but our arrogance and short-sightedness often supersedes our intelligent side.  

5 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

You never know. Even a broken clock is right twice a day.  Something has to break. We watch it for the next couple of days for trends. 

Nothing to lose.  If it fizzles, we're back in the same snowless spot lol.  At least it's something to look at and makes things somewhat interesting.

55 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Loving this weather

Same.  If we can't have snow, let's have some nice days like this.  Definitely puts me in a better mood.  Feels like spring.

60 and sunny next Friday?!  Maybe I'll use a personal day and make it an extra-long President's Day weekend.  

55 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

My location officially (using JFK for numbers) has not gotten below zero since January 1985 (Reagan's second inauguration)...unofficially, I was measuring temps and snowfall in 1993-94 and I'm pretty sure we went below zero here on the south shore in January 1994.

 

Same day of the 49ers/Dolphins Super Bowl (Marino's only appearance in the big game).  Wonder how many people decided not to venture out to parties and elected to hunker down and watch the game at home because of the cold.

43 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Once this fleeting cold shot is done and out of here by Sunday morning the weather the next week or so will be about as interesting as watching oil based paint dry.  What a S**T show.  Cold then moderating to very mild and pretty much dry for the next 7 days or so.  Those cutters and coastal huggers at least gave us some variety.  This is just a wretched pattern coming up.

Which basically takes us into mid-February.  Time is ticking fast.  

Can't wait for the media hysterics over two days of cold weather.  Although with the winter we've had, maybe it actually does warrant coverage.

1 hour ago, vegan_edible said:

literally insane how terrible this winter is going. im really hoping we either get one bomb storm late feb to even it out or we get something REALLY good next year... 

I don't know; I'm tempering my expectations until further notice.  I don't like the trends we've seen in recent years.  

1 hour ago, JustinRP37 said:

I was looking at webcams of ski areas throughout the northeast and some are still really struggling. Even further north nobody is approaching 100% open and we are about 6-8 weeks from when the northern mountains start losing trails. For the southern mountains that usually starts within 4-6 weeks. Was at Belleayre though yesterday and it was great overall. 

Sad.  You really wonder what the future holds for the skiing industry.  

10 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Three of the best plumbers that ever plumbed a plum!

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Going back 365 days we're still a few inches below normal actually.

Also with warmer waters we will likely see more, not less rain moving forward. Summer 2022 was an anomaly imo

Wow.  Thought for sure we'd be caught up on the rain deficit after the last few months.  We've had several doozies where it was just raining buckets.  

3 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

I doubt it really matters. I'm ready for spring. Enough of this. Of course, we are stuck with it a few more weeks. Weeks, that's all, then we won't have to think about it until next Dec. 

It's like rooting for a terrible sports team that has no shot of making the playoffs and the season is only half over.  Just end it and get to free agency and the draft.

3 hours ago, BxEngine said:

A bust from….what exactly? A few hours of snow? Christ man, get it together. 

Maybe he's still traumatized from March 2001 and January 2015.

Not a flake here yet and it's already above freezing.  How many days until pitchers and catchers?

24 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

The next BN day has slid forward to Feb. 03.   Jan. 28,29 had looked good.     It would be 37 straight days since the last one.       First snow date is unknown and may not happen even  during a relatively BN  period   Feb. 03-10.        Accuweather actually has under 1" for the rest of the winter.

Remember if we get no snow---then every model, and every run of that model which indicated snow---Was Wrong!

So again I ask.......which model has shown snow the fewest times?       Start Dec. 01 for the  GFS, EURO, CMC.     Go thru Jan. 31. 

That would be 4 runs/day * 62 days * 3 models, or 744 separate runs.       Who would win?       I bet there would a Tie if we conducted this test in J,J,A.        LOL

Until it actually gets cold, I'm going to assume it won't.  This happens constantly with the models.  The cold is always two weeks away, then gets pushed back or disappears altogether.  

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

The problem is the modeling always seems to be good when it shows no snow....why is that I wonder?

 

Seems like more ingredients have to come together in order to get snow.  It's a more complicated picture, so it's harder to get a handle on that than if models show rain or that we'll be in the clear.  

On 1/20/2023 at 2:35 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Yup. 3 good years (2 great one average) and 7 complete dumpster fires. I remember one day in the early 90s in Feb was so freaking warm some kids had short sleeves. I do not miss that decade.

 

Same here.  My craziest memory is watching the Nagano Winter Olympics in 1998 while it was about 70 degrees in February.  There was a freaking thunderstorm one night while I was watching the ice hockey tournament.  Unbelievable.  

36 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Yup, we are back in a 90s trough out west cycle. Got to stick it out until the good times return.

Makes you wonder how we got 95-96 out of that decade.

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Another overperforming day. Ewr up to 56

I'd rather have it be like this if snow is out of the question.  

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

We do have a window to score something at the end of the month. 

Can't express how much this winter feels like 97/98 did (if that late March fluke did not happen CPK would have already experienced a shut out).

Even 97-98 had some chances in January though.  I also remember getting a bit of snow right after Christmas.  

55 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

If 1/27-2/2 doesn’t work out, we will probably have to wait until early March for the next window. The pattern looks to get hostile after 2/2

Hostile?  Yikes.  Sounds like a torch.  Then you have more things going against you when March arrives, although it has been slow to warm up around here in recent years as spring approaches.  A shutout is a very real possibility.  Do we hope for a garbage time touchdown to get rid of the goose egg or just embrace the chance that history will be made?

1 minute ago, Gravity Wave said:

I don't think we've had a single meaningful threat survive to the D7 mark (168 hours) this year. The Christmas bomb was clearly cutting by that point and today's threat was a goner after a few interesting runs last week. 

It's like rooting for a football team that's already losing by 20 or 30 points at halftime every week.  You're not losing heartbreakers but there's not really a compelling reason to stick around until the end either.  

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah that's the amazing thing. We haven't even had a close call. It's not as if we had a storm in which southern NJ got snow and we just barely missed out due to bad luck. We haven't even had anything close. It has been the most hopeless winter ever. 

Yeah, even in '97-'98 (which was also horrible) there were a couple of threats in January that I remember...1/7, 1/22, etc.  There was even a bit of snow in December of '97.  I remember flakes flying the day of the Giants/Vikings playoff game where Big Blue lost a 9-point lead with two minutes left.  

2 hours ago, gpsnavigator said:

Cold morning in West Jersey, colder than forecast.  Looks like some of the coldest in the region.  I had a low of 25 (forecast was 31).  I went ahead and put a few pansies in, since they are allegedly colder weather plants, so we'll see how they did.  Right now they are looking pretty iffy.

Felt like a late fall/early winter morning.