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George BM

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  1. George BM
    One little note. No mesoscale model has the current activity in Eastern Ohio about to move into southwest Pennsylvania. CAPE is modest but still... it might be able to trigger something in the area later even if the current convection dies out. Just a small note. #Notanexpertopinion
  2. George BM
    It's a very low-key threat and more likely than not won't happen this way but a few mesoscale models try to get some remnant storms into the region tomorrow afternoon before they redevelop into asoutheastward moving storm cluster or two. This, of course, would be the most extreme case though. Just low-key watching it and exactly where the WNW to ESE oriented front sets up.
  3. George BM
    Mar 1, 2019: 0.5" snow/sleet Mar 8, 2019: 0.6" wet snow Total (so far): 24.0"
  4. George BM
    I wonder if you'd find any kind of damage if you went to those locations? Might be very minimal but still. *shrugs*
  5. George BM
    Totally and utterly ANNIHILATED!
  6. George BM
    I love how some areas west of I-95 that hadn't been under a Tornado Watch since February 24, 2016 have been under 3 Tornado Watches in 12 days.
  7. George BM
    My Dad's office is close by also in Rockville. He called me about the Tornado Warning.
  8. George BM
    I don't know. That sounds like quite a bit of fun to me... perfect Jebwalking conditions. Have you taken any epic Jebwalks down there yet?
  9. George BM
    I'll put you down for 90mph.
  10. George BM
    What wind speed?
  11. George BM
    It's time to play Guess the intensity of the Reston area tornado last night. I'm going with an EF-0: 75mph winds Guess away! You have until the NWS comes out with the official rating.
  12. George BM
    Great time for a power outage that probably has nothing to do with the weather.
  13. George BM
    I'll say this... so far the clouds are SLIGHTLY thinner than they were on Sunday.
  14. George BM
    Surprised that we aren't at least in some tornado risk atm. I would think that changes later though.
  15. George BM
    Shoot that was last hour wasn't it. I forgot about it.
  16. George BM
    BWI: 106F DCA: 108F IAD: 107F RIC: 110F SBY: 105F
  17. George BM
    Poor Yoda banished from sleep... ...It appears KIAD gusted to 42kts (48mph) with the line that just came through.
  18. George BM
    June 21 2019 Severe Disco 4:12PM EDT Warm front continues to slowly lift through the region to the NNE in a WNW to ESE axis ahead of an impulse of energy approaching from the west. Along and in the vicinity of this warm front surface dewpoints have risen to around 80F w/ temps into the low 90’sF. Surface winds have also backed to ESE in the vicinity of the warm front. Any remaining CIN is just about gone and a few storm cells are starting to pop up over I-81 near Winchester, VA and Martinsburg, WV. With the extreme instability in place (4500-6500 J/kg mlcape), very strong effective bulk shear (55-65+kts), and strong low-level directional shear (effective SRH 250-450 m2/s2) with low LCLs, these storms and any other storms that pop up may become intense supercells capable of producing tornadoes. Some of these many produce strong and long-track tornadoes as they move east-southeast across the region especially between 5-10pm. These storms will also be capable of dropping very large to giant hail (perhaps 4”+ in diameter) and destructive, perhaps hurricane force winds. Some mesoscale guidance develop a severe MCS behind the initial supercells with the main impulse of energy riding along this frontal boundary. Should a MCS develop a more substantial widespread wind threat with some particularly significant wind gusts may evolve with severe hail and QLCS tornadoes. Bottom line is that this afternoon and evening will be a very dangerous one for severe weather in the Greater Washington Metropolitan area. At this time, tomorrows severe threat seems mainly focused towards the Maryland/Pennsylvania line and the Baltimore region. Forecaster: George BM
  19. George BM
    Or good tropical .
  20. George BM
    Northwest of Baltimore Monday afternoon. #Digitalsevere #Soon.
  21. George BM
    A @wxdude64TM day.
  22. George BM
    Tornadoes inbound.
  23. George BM
    Ascending temperatures. Ascending flowers. Ascending grass. Ascending humidity.
  24. George BM
    I'm wondering whether anything will try to pop up along the front northwest of I-95 looking at recent satellite trends. Not necessarily talking anything too big but perhaps at least some t-showers. #Notanexpertopinion
  25. George BM
    Hopefully in the form of back to back snowicanes with snowrechos in between.
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