George BM

There hasn't been a MOD or HIGH risk issued anywhere in the country this month from SPC. Quiet indeed. One time period that I'll watch is following the cool shot at the beginning of next week. As a ridge tries to build in during the week watch for any potential NW-flow event. Small note: Some of the 0z convective models hint at scattered storms/convection trying to develop tomorrow afternoon from Bertha. There looks like there will be some low-level shear (not super impressive LLshear but some LLshear). If storms can develop tomorrow there might be a risk of gusty winds and perhaps a rotating meso or two. #Notanexpertopinion

I just got a new Honda HRN216VKA self-propelled push mower (a durable mower) after the Toro that we had since 2003 finally gave up the ghost last month if this adds anything of value for you.

^There's a tropical wave with a surface trough affecting Cuba and Florida with heavy rains now. A few models actually try to spin-up something weak (probably too weak for any tropical classification) from this. This would be especially true if the disturbance moves off the east coast of Florida, Georgia and into the Carolinas. Regardless, this would result in the high Pwats in the region by mid/late week. #Notanexpertopinion

BWI: 110F DCA: 111F IAD: 111F RIC: 112F

@H2O Happy 49ing!...Or is it 50ing? I'm pretty sure it's forty-nining IIRC.

Is this a future storm in the GOM this year? Also, do we get some decent remnants from it up here?

I should probably start checking myself for ticks from time to time... especially considering that I occasionally walk/hike/run through tall grass and weeds in my local park (I like going through the wilderness off the paved surfaces).

Don't forget places immediately to your east and southeast like VA beach, the lower Virginia peninsula and Delaware getting into Arthur's rains as well.

But was it good though?

I've never drank once in my life before.

IAD got down to 34F this morning. I noticed some patchy frost on roofs here. (Herndon)

Minus the rain, this has been an epic stretch of weather for you.

Someone has been time-traveling I see.

Despite being down to 33F by the 1am hour that's where IAD bottomed out this morning.

Let us be near the northern/northeastern periphery of the biblical heat and humidity with a 750-400mb WNW flow of at least 50-60+kts, MLCAPE of at least 5,000 J/kg, DCAPE AOA 1500 J/kg, and steep mid-level lapse rates. Then come August through October let us be near the west-end of a monster Bermuda High with an Ohio Valley trough stuck to our west so some fun spinny cloud masses will train up the eastern seaboard. Then it will REALLY be "Game On".

IAD is down to 33F so far.

Yeap. As of now Dulles has hit 50F so far today. http://iadasos.org/2hourpast.html

Random question @Mrs.J. Have you ever thought of or do you plan on opening your own restaurant?

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundingclimo/

Having a high within a few degrees of the record low max temperature for the day while still ahead of a cold front is not something you see very often.

Yeap. Here are some links to that event below: https://glenallenweather.com/alink/18snow/snowmaps2/Great Atlantic coastal snowstorms.pdf https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/04/03/you-wont-believe-how-late-it-snowed-in-d-c-in-colonial-times/

Since record keeping began at DCA (I believe in 1941?) April 13th of 1957 is the latest date for measurable snow there when 0.1" accumulated. However before then, when snowfall was still actually recorded within DC, April 28th of 1898 saw 0.5" of snow (the latest measurable snow in recorded history). Now still before that, in the pre-record era, accumulating snow fell from Northern Virginia through the NE corridor on May 4, 1774 with 4 inches falling in Northern VA and even more falling in places northeast. This was recorded in diaries. However the latest date that DC has ever seen at least a trace of non-measurable snow was on May 10th of 1906.

Eh those are perfectly normal temps for the 9th. Looks like IAD got down to at least 39F this morning. Wait... it's May?.... and not February?! Nevermind. Your statement stands. There's actually a nonzero chance that you may see sprinkles/flurries up your way during the day Saturday.

Also Pivotal Weather. Though recently skew-t soundings went behind a paywall. But there is a lot more free Euro data on Pivotal than any other free ECMWF site that I personally know of.

What is the difference between a 30-min IPA, a 60-min IPA, a 90-min IPA and a 120-min IPA? Do they each have their own effects/taste?