George BM

@losetoa6 Welp?...

I've tried looking for them. Do you happen to have their links?

I remember that day as well. I remember some heavy showers throughout the day w/ breezy conditions. I remember getting home from school in Herndon hust after 2:30pm and being surprised that the main line was already right on my doorstep. Looking back at that thread I remember lots on here being surprised at how early the main line arrived as well. There were brief torrential rains and wind gusts into the 30s (mph) here from the line. I noticed no thunder/lightning at all from it. I too was surprised to see looking back at SPC archives for that event a few years later that we had been placed under a MDT risk for wind (45% non-hatched). That would just be a high-end ENH risk the way that SPC works today. I remember the lack of tornado warnings as well despite being in a 10% non-hatched tor risk. The September 8th, 2012 event ten days prior, on the other hand, was a lot more impressive in the region with a lot of minor wind damage. I got wind gusts of 50+ mph in my neighborhood from that event. The funny thing is that the line from that event seemed more impressive down here than it did up the urban corridor where there was an actual MDT risk in the place... save for the Long Island tornadoes that day. As a whole though, that September was definitely a bit more exciting than usual severe weather-wise.

@BlizzardNole Hmm... Not too often I see this profile pic outside of winter. 75/65 at IAD atm.

BWI: 10/04 IAD: 10/04 DCA: 10/26 RIC: 10/12 Tiebreaker: 87F

If this can track far enough NW,@losetoa6 may be able to score a full TWO hundredths of an inch of rain. That's right. Not even one hundredth, but TWO.

This is going to be the second system in a row where the rain we get is from remnant tropical. The third event in a row with a tropical connection (There was tropical moisture from 94L on Sept 10th). There have been four storm systems (including this one just starting to affect us now) to affect us this month. Of those four systems only the first system (the one that gave some of us severe weather on September 3rd) did not have tropical connections. ... Man... I REALLY need to work on my grammar... Hopefully you all understood what I said.

@yoda Hmm... LWX radar down indefinitely... a strong trough moving in early/mid next week... Verifying Moderate risk day, here we come!

November of last year ended up with below average temperatures overall. So yeah probably last year.... but then again also the year before including the November 15th, 2018 snow event for some.

Maybe an early season snow chase at Canaan from moisture on the west side of a decent tropical remnant hit in the DMV region.

This is just me being 'Curious George' but what would the winter weather pattern look like if there was ever a "super" la nina (ONI < -2.0C)? - TIA

Let's just go all the way for a super La Nina. It would be interesting to see what it would do during winter and next spring. Severe weather train rolling on for months?

IAD got down to 38F. I saw frost on the roofs of some houses earlier. There's still about 80 minutes of astronomical summer left.

Meanwhile, cicada storms are around the corner.

Oh. I thought that you'd put 780F because of the asteroid set to strike the DMV region on October 28th. Nevermind. But I think I'll go 783F for the tie breaker.

Nah... snowfall rates need to be AT LEAST as intense as they were during your 'Spooky Scary Goose Whiteout'. Heck, why stop there. We should go all the way for @RDM's vertigo glacier special. A couple QLCS spin-ups along the leading edge would be a nice touch as well.

I'm 24.

Two years earlier for you (probably): "I've never seen it this wet and nasty in the 40 years I've been alive."

Looking at the radar you may actually fairly easily get another 0.00" of rain through the remainder of the evening and into the overnight hours.

Wow! What a game changer.

Finally seeing a faint orange/red circle 30 minutes after sunrise.

I cannot see the sun through the smoky haze yet over 20 minutes after sunrise.

Today will feature a slightly smoky sky following this mornings clouds from the Western US wildfires. Now we won't see Star Wars-level orange skies though... just skies similar to some of the smoky skies we experienced in July of 2014.

Even with Laura. You would find it hard to believe that it was fairly decently sized storm not far from a Cat 5 at landfall in Louisiana 48-60 hrs before the remnants came right over the region. It somehow became scattered tropical downpours that affected the usual spots and missed the usual spots(aka your dust bowl, @BlizzardNole's yard and MBY... probably because its energy got strung out along the associated cold front. ... Hmmm... I'm starting to get good at being EJ. @Eskimo Joe You might be getting replaced.

It can be frustratingly hard to get decent tropical remnants up here as you probably know WAY too well. Over the years I've noticed how the weather pattern has done everything in its power to prevent us from seeing good remnants. If a tropical system is near the Florida/southeast US coast a trough will often be right there to curve it out to the NE to our southeast. If a tropical system is in the GOM the flow will often become configured in a way that will prevent it from moving NE towards us. Often it will stall out or meander slowly in the south and southeastern US or if it is on the move it will track WAY to our west. But I'm just rambling/venting and am almost definitely biased because of how much I weenie for extreme weather... and I'm no expert anyway. I know that it has been quite dry IYY lately. Hopefully you get a 3-foot deluge soon and then get thundersnow supercells w/ tornadoes all winter long.