George BM

The image above shows total precip for the past 6 hours. On pivotal it shows instanteous precip rates at a given time.

The day 7 threat has turned into a 6 day threat one day later...

What part of Herndon are you in? Just curious as I haven't seen a flake just yet this morning. Precip showers are spotty atm.

You still have time to haul it NNE before it's too late and conditions get too treacherous. Get going now. We need to see pictures of you standing in your street in front of your house surrounded by complete and blinding whiteness pretending that you have been reaped and gone to snow paradise. Tick tock tick tock.

Dec 7,9,14,25/2020: T Dec 16-17, 2020: 2.1" Dec 18, 2020: 0.2" Jan 5, 2021: T Jan 18, 2021: T Jan 20, 2021: 0.1" Jan 25-26, 2021: 0.2" Jan 31- Feb 1, 2021: 4.3" Total as of Feb 1, 2021: 6.9"

Don't mind me. Just dropping this off for later (post-storm).

7am: 1.1" 8am: 1.7" 9am: 2.1" 10am: 2.4" 11am: 2.6" Herndon, VA.

THIS! He thinks he has it bad with 2 feet. I'm right by Dulles and somehow only have 2.4" as of 10am w/ flurries. Perhaps extreme substance right by the epic snow-band?

Lol I heard that this afternoon. It definitely sounded like she said 48 inches rather than 4 to 8. So if a few people are going crazy panic buying food/toiletries and spreading rumors about 4 feet of snow we know why.

Yes that one. Around January 17th IIRC.

@psuhoffman A very random question for you. How bad was the ice event down here in Herndon, VA in 1994 when you were in the area? Was there a good bit of damage?

We always welcome new members here. To answer your question... : A ccb looks like to set up somewhere. The intensity of it and its exact location are yet to be determined, of course, depending on the exact track of the mid-level low and whether the 500mb low can remain closed (source more knowledgeable posters than me). But if I were a betting man I would guess that you would most likely end up with MECS-level accumulations w/ an upside of a borderline MECS/HECS at your location. There are far more knowledgeable posters than me here like @CAPE @psuhoffman @WxUSAF @MillvilleWx @high risk and many more people as you will soon find out. We are a crazy bunch that will fight to the death sometimes for the snow-max zone. But we aren't as crazy as we seem online in person.

You don't like the rush of wind and snowflakes hitting your face?

I remember talk about jebwalking music during the January 2019 event. So probably around there somewhere.

Do, however, consider taking a peak outside late tonight (1am-4am).

What would be your estimate of the maximum instanteous snowfall rate that you got during that storm? Also, how much snow did you end up with in total?

Dec 7,9,14,25/2020: T Dec 16-17, 2020: 2.1" Dec 18, 2020: 0.2" Jan 5, 2021: T Jan 20, 2021: 0.1" Jan 25-26, 2021: 0.2" Total as of Jan 26, 2021: 2.6"

Welp. 5:34pm. Is it snowing there yet?

Getting ice pellets in Herndon, VA.

Are you south of the Dulles Toll Road or to the north?

Not an expert opinion but that line of convection across Kentucky looks more organized than most CAMs have it which may signify stronger WAA just ahead of it which may help us get a stronger thump.

Hopefully the TPV can trend a bit further south so we will have a shot at some snow squalls come Friday.

Do you mean the TGI Friday’s in the Worldgate Centre with the AMC movie theater by the large Marriot hotel? If so, that’s basically my neighborhood. Is that AMC Worldgate theater the one you went to?

Hey welcome aboard! Models are definitely honing in on a storm around that general area a week from now. However, it's a week out with another storm coming a few days before (Monday/Tuesday) that could affect the Thursday storm. Things will definitely change around on the models between now and then. Hopefully by game time it looks like that but displaced about 100 miles further NW. I'll let more experienced posters like @CAPE and @psuhoffman answer you though. I hope that this helps! BTW, I assume that from your screenname you are from Leesburg, VA?