George BM

I mean he IS the reaper. What do you expect?

... + a strong EML + swift deep-layer (400-750mb) flow at heat dome periphery = unusually high dopamine levels in severewx weenies.

IAD down to 39F earlier this morning.

Update: Okay so somehow I actually felt more energetic than usual for my morning run. It probably had to do with the greater than usual amount of water I drank yesterday afternoon and evening after the shot. Currently being over 17 hours post shot, other than the pain at the injection site that you would expect with a needle going through your muscles, no real side effects.

First shot. So far nothing 7 hours post shot. Fingers crossed that it stays that way.

We NEED to team up with @Scraff to make that derecho that cruises through the region from NW to SE at 70+ mph. With June 8th being the date of my second shot, we will be in peak severe season! @Scraff I trust that you've been practicing your abilities? You have four weeks to master them. Good luck.

Help! Help! Out of the blue I just got shot in the arm! Shot by a needle filled w/ the moderna vaccine not by a bullet just to clarify. RIP to me tomorrow when I go for my early morning run.

I remember how quiet 2018 was for much of the spring. But then we got into an active severe period in mid-May (especially May 12th- 15th). Hopefully we do something like that this year as opposed to last year when we just flipped to weak shear summer. 2012 was also quiet before the end of May that year.

Yeah. That cell looks decent. Pictures? Video?

Same! I just checked it out now because of the current discussion. How've I not known about this site before?! It's awesome.

Are you thinking 2 to 3+ cicadas/cubic meter rates?

This and a chance of small hail on Friday w/ 500mb temps falling to near -25C w/ moderately steep lapse rates is all we have for the time being.

Virginia meso'd. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0526.html

Slighted for the 1630z update w/ mention of the remnant MCV currently in extreme SW VA potentially spreading multicellular clusters of storms across the SLGT area.

weather.cod.edu is another great site if you want free radars.

Yeah, it's gotten a little bit on the dry side here lately. Meanwhile, looking at satellite loops it looks like sunshine should remain ample at least into the early afternoon hours.

I forgot how uncomfortable warm/humid morning runs are until this morning... and it was only around 65/64. Those 75+/75+ morning runs coming later are going to suck for sure! I don't know how people run in the mid-afternoon summer heat.

Just send them over to Herndon, VA. I can PM you the specific location if you'd like.

@Mrs.J The storm by you in Ballenger Creek also looks a little sus. Are you seeing any sign of rotation?

Really crossing my fingers that we don't get our infamous morning convection to muck things up and ruin the steep MLLRs. If any early morning convection immediately to our west and/or over us is sparse enough or, preferably, nonexistent then later in the day Tuesday could be fun for at least some (Decent CAPE and MLLRs, etc.) Oddly though the SPC doesn't even have DC proper within the general thunder risk for Tuesday (Day 3)! I wonder if we get a rare Day 3 update this afternoon? I mean surely you'd think we'd at least be in a MRGL risk for Tuesday now all things considered.

Who in this subforum has the best track record for storm thread starters?

Let the invasion commence and may the odds ever be in your favor!

Windy, cool start.

As did IAD.

LLLRs are currently around 9.5C/km in the region per SPC mesoscale analysis.