George BM

Common folk wouldn't understand our FOMO on good snowstorms.

When do you get back to VA?

Around 745pm est IIRC... or is it 645pm? All I know for sure is that it's not out JUST yet.

So... the HRRR extended is a good thing to trust... right?... right?

*Catches on* And hopefully we can avoid a big snow this month.

Another year is upon us (The 2022 wave is crossing the Atlantic as of this post). May it bring happiness, joy, success and healing for those who need it. Happy 2022.

May we see a better pattern for snow to start out the new year.

How much snow have you actually seen since getting up there?

I fully embrace the suck at this point. Let's go for 70-7. At least we will be a part history.

Yeap. It's from that same line segment that I mentioned above when it was near Winchester. Got very brief heavy rains and some enhanced breezes (20-30mph gusts) from it. Heaviest rates since... probably October 29th.

Are any of you near Winchester folks seeing stronger winds with that bowing line of downpours? I'm seeing 50-55mph winds like 2,000ft or less off of the ground via TIAD.

Almost forgot to wish you all a Merry Christmas. So... Merry Christmas weenies from one to ninety-two! May the final days of this year go swimmingly well and beastly!

Enjoy the freak snowstorm of Christmas 2022 down there.

Coldest morning so far at IAD with a low of 20F. DCA hits 28F again.

If you squint closely enough you can see the sun's path slowly starting to creep higher in the sky.

Congratulations to you getting married! And good luck to your father. I wish him a speedy recovery.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1117 AM EST Fri Dec 10 2021 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-502>508-VAZ026>031-038>040- 051>054-501-502-504>508-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-506-110030- /O.CON.KLWX.WI.Y.0015.211211T2100Z-211212T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Hardy-Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton-... 1117 AM EST Fri Dec 10 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central, north central, northeast, northern and western Maryland, central, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 4 PM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest gusts are most likely between 6 pm and Midnight Saturday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$

Yeap. PD1 was actually immediately preceded by a super cold airmass. There was a morning low of -14F at IAD on 2/18/1979 with the temp only maxing out at 8F before midnight. 2.5" of snow had already fallen by then.

Bringing out my inner @yoda below. .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... An upper trough axis will become more neutrally tilted over our region on Saturday leading to strengthening of the baroclinic zone. Surface low pressure over eastern Canada will become positioned in the left exit of a strong upper-level jet streak leading to favorable upper-level lift and strengthening of the low. A strong cold front and upper-level trough associated with the low in Canada will be driven eastward through our region from Ohio on Saturday. This system is forecast to have a strong wind field, with winds in the 45 to 55 knot range progged at 850 mb. Forecast soundings suggest close to 50 knots will be possible within the mixed layer which may lead to strong winds gusts along and behind the frontal passage. Wind Advisories and/or High Wind Warnings will be possible on Saturday. Ahead of the frontal passage, strong warm air advection will lead to temperatures peaking in the upper 60s to mid 70s on Saturday. Strong winds aloft along with CAPE up to around 500 J/kg likely leads to a high shear/low CAPE environment which will be capable of producing an organized line of showers or a few storms that may produce strong to damaging winds. PWs remain 2+ standard deviations above normal, but a strong flow perpendicular to the front should make the frontal passage progressive and limit the threat for flooding. The cold front should exit the region by early Sunday morning.

Gust to 51 at IAD.

Happy December 5th Day!

All snow talk aside the 18z gfs verbatim would make for a fun Sunday next weekend for many. Quite the wind event. Of course, it's a model run for 8 days out so it won't go down exactly like that. (I know. Good job Sherlock Holmes. ) But it just shows that we are going to be in an active pattern for a bit.

Skies have been clear in VA allowing for radiational cooling while MD was under the clouds all night.