George BM

Sleeping hits hard.

Give me a negatively tilted trough w/ a surface low tracking up the Apps spine during spring and a classic ROF pattern for the second half of May through the summer every year. This is the way to win.

11/15/2022: T (sleet) 12/10/2022: T (sleet) 12/22/2022: T (rain w/little SN/IP mixed in) 12/23/2022: T (30 sec graupel squall. The following hour... 5-10min SN/SN+) 1/08/2023: T (few sleet pellets) 1/22/2023: T (few sleet pellets at onset) 1/25/2023: T (rain/sleet mix) Total as of January 26, 2023: T

The thing is that one needs to be careful to not make the rookie mistake of adding the date and year without clicking "Sterling-Dulles area" as BWI would show by default when clicking "Go" as it's at the top of the list. The person who brought this up wasn't careful and made said rookie mistake.

I'm talking about the daily average when you combine the high/low temp of the day. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lwx

Fun fact: IAD is yet to have a below average temperature day this month. BWI

Won't post because of what model it is at the end of its run but... HRRR says "Choo choo snow train!"

It's a good thing that you've experienced a lot of extreme weather over your six decades on this planet. Imagine our luck when you figure out how to use all of that accumulated jojo to give us a 1978 Midwest style triple phaser... or a snow squall with 3 foot visibilities... or a 105-110F heatwave w/ 80+F dewpoints that bring us a super derecho. Train well my good friend.

Possibly some lightning/thunder from modestly elevated convection.

I'm wishing your daughter a speedy recovery.

I'm wondering if limited, slightly elevated CAPE will be enough for a few to hear thunder tomorrow evening.

IAD got down to 23F. 0.01"-0.02" of frost. On the board!

Frost ice or precip ice?

IAD down to 23F.

Any thunder/lightning?

Another year over. A new one begun. What weather event stood out most to you? 2022 was not too memorable IMBY (again). One memorable event that I will point out that occurred IMBY in 2022 was the wake-low of January 16th, 2022. In the 10pm hour that night, climaxing between 10:30-10:45pm, I experienced ENE winds that were gusting upwards of 50 mph or so as a solid shield of moderate rain lifted northeastwards and the surface air pressure dropped several mbs in under an hour. I'm sure people such as @MN Transplant can look back at their data at that impressive pressure drop. Curious to hear what you all have to say about this past year. I know some of you got whacked by summer storms.

A Vibrant Sunset Advisory has been issued for the Greater Baltimore/DC Metropolitan region in effect from 4:50pm until 5:30pm est Wednesday, January 4, 2023. High clouds are clearing out to the west of the Blue Ridge Mountains with limited lower-level clouds to the WSW into southern WV. As sunlight reflects off of the base of the high clouds vibrant sunset colors may appear. The most vibrant part of the sunset will be between 5:00pm and 5:15pm. Forecaster Wannabe: George BM

A record is just about certain at IAD (51F is the record high min for 1/4 there). DCA RHM (1/4): 60F (slight chance) BWI RHM (1/4): 61F (non-zero chance) Just wonder exactly when tomorrow nights cold front moves through.

What I was referencing earlier.

Off the top of my head, Jan 21, 2007 was the first measurable snow event for DC that season. It went on to actually be okay. The obvious caveat being that it was a Nino winter.

@psuhoffman Don't know whether you saw this yet... but there's something potentially "eye-opening?" I saw on twitter (yes I know don't shoot me yet) about mid-latitude (30-60N) SSTs over the last nearly century and a half for Nov-Dec.

Let there be excitement this month... preferably in the form of that good white stuff.

As this great new year of 2023 begins let it be a year of rewarding yourselves, even if it's a small reward, whenever you make a breakthrough with a goal or a dream that you have. Take great care of yourselves this year and don't be afraid to try that one thing or those things that you've wanted to try out for a long while.

66/40 at IAD.