Wetbulbs88
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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88
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Looks a tab better for Baltimore but pretty insignificant anyway. Hopefully good for a couple of warmup inches.
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5-10 plus into DC? Not quite there yet for my thinking, but I'd be MORE than happy with this outcome.
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Yes and they seem to be much more bullish than we are tbh. It's a guiding light for sure.
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Yeah I realized, thanks though.
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The GFS just grimaced at the table and flipped it over. Honestly wtf is going on.
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I'll take it, better than 0 lol.
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Could be with the first wave at least included? But yeah definitely a good sign. Their disco guidance has seemed impervious to the south trends.
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Agreed, which is interesting for its range but whatever. I'm not quite as optimistic as you but I'm not close to the ledge here. Think there are plenty of ways we can win here still. Most of them have to do with the modeling just being straight trash this year. In fact sometimes I wonder if it's only gotten worse recently, or if I've just become more critical in my curmudgeonly early 30s.
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Really wish the RGEM was rolled out on TT. Anyway, I'm feeling more optimistic, not just because of slight northern ticks in recent modeling, but also because wave one is just looking better. If we could just get something here I'll be happy.
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Yes but it also held firm to better totals for 2/5 when DC got totally shafted. I think the take home message is that riding the RGEM is a one way ticket to disappointment.
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Some serious disagreement going on lol.
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I'd take the Euro/NAM over those two at this point. But at this point my confidence in 50 miles give or take is extremely low, which is becoming a good thing as we move away from the bullseye.
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These are clown maps. You can cut them in half at least.
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What's his handle on Twitter? Or do you have a link?
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I'm glad everyone is still up on the DC area but I'm not sold that this is done trending south. Plus it's far from a jackpot here. Verbatim, I think this would be a 2-5" event here. You can cut the clown maps in half.
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This is why moving to New York was so jarring for me. It felt so easy for it to snow. Of course being in the city had its own downsides but overall it was way more net positive.
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Wow, that's interesting, and something I've been thinking about ever since that winter over ten years ago. Do you have a link to that study by chance?
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Interesting. I always thought that warming wasn’t uniform though. That Individual dynamics at play still dominate the surface. I guess at some point it has to matter, but if storms keep getting stronger couldn’t dynamics get stronger too? For example, I thought 2009-2010 could be attributed.
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That’s through more than the upcoming event correct?
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We’re less than 48 hours out. NAM time incoming.
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Gorgeous
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QPF really gets shorn by the mountains.
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Yeah especially for the second wave at this pointYeah especially for the second wave at this point
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I don’t think this will resemble the final outcome.
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I’ve been thinking the same the whole time. I know it’s been brought up a thousand times but January 2011 is a good analog for that sort of dominance. A weaker wave passed and set up the bowling ball the following night.
