Wow. Just wow. Definitely one of the biggest model fails I've seen since boxing day 2011, in terms of trajectory whiffs.
I swear the models used to be better than this.
2010 with the last blizzard is the last I can remember for this area. For me, there was a really nice surprise in New York on November 15, 2018. But yeah busting low or totally is usually the way.
Verbatim? They might as well have been labeling the states wrong. This is a massive failure, and many consecutive days of failure at that.
edit: username checks out though.
Amen. The last six inch storm within 24 hrs that I saw was 2018 in New York—on November 15th. It’s been strangely barren that’s for sure. Just happy something is happening.
But the pros aren't convinced and neither is other guidance to this degree. I'm happy with five inches tomorrow night, whatever happens Thursday night, and then take our chances with whatever happens Saturday into next week.
That's being generous. I would say that his maps are drawn with the sort of fantasies I had in mind when drawing up dream scenarios in high school when bored.
This is super childish but I couldn't help it. Check out my comment to DT's post for some laughs: https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk
Also shout out to WinterWxLvr for the meme hookup.
No I get it. But I’m not talking about my backyard. I still find it fascinating that this is so difficult for us given how much progress we’ve made. And this of course comes from my own ignorance regarding the backend of how these models function.
edit also that our professional Mets can make such good calls given these divergences. CWG was fantastic for Sunday.
Tbh I think the models are significantly divergent. Maybe I’m wrong though. But to me the differences are utterly enormous given our timeframe. The mesos and globals are at serious odds with each other, and there are differences within THOSE groups too.
I’m shocked at some of the pessimism right now. We should be doing cartwheels right now. This was pretty much the best adjustment we could’ve gotten save for the warm nose with the first wave. One more tick back north for wave II and it’s game on. Considering how bad the models have been this is nowhere near over.