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Wetbulbs88

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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88

  1. The line of non-virga snow hasn’t moved in hours. Most of this will be passing through by the time it snows enough to bring temps down and really start accumulating. Climo won out tonight. Just not our night.
  2. DC snow hole closing in. GFS looking good except for that classic setup!
  3. Woof. My 1-3” call is looking ruff.
  4. Yep, my fiancé works at NARA, couldn’t care less if it snows.
  5. Right. Because in the city it could easily be a dusting to less than an inch. See how that works? And one can generally agree to another’s point of view while retaining their own by using a skill called nuance.
  6. Agreed. I’m in the NW burbs so I may fare a little better, but this is looking very familiar. The banding is getting forced NW. I’m sticking with 1-3”.
  7. I’ve actually never heard of this term. What does RH stand for?
  8. By your reasoning, anything they put out reflects their thinking. So the latest thing they changed is probably the latest thinking. So let's not be unnecessarily aggro about our bad logic. 1-3" is probably more accurate.
  9. I'll only look an hour after, only to remind myself never to look.
  10. Obvious but true, and we tend to forget it. I hate to be a debbie downer but in situations like these, we tend to underperform. Not saying that will happen, but I'm looking for 1-3" here. You never know--either the WAA can remain stronger for longer, or the coastal can develop earlier than expected. But when you're trying to thread that needle, you're trying to thread that needle. Then you're trying to catch a decent band either way.
  11. 3K NAM has the Lo developing just in time for some back building.
  12. Yeah. Just got wind of this after a night at the gal's place. Quick glance isn't overly exciting. Looks like a 1-3" at most for my backyard. But with temps not being an issue, you never know, and there's nothing wrong with a 1-3" event.
  13. Finally someone said it. It's the HRRR....at longer range....
  14. Do the Bethesda friends live in Chevy Chase? Either way they have to be less than one or two miles from me. I haven't gone out to measure (work ugh), but I was eyeballing anywhere between 5-7" by the looks of it. 8.5" seems high!
  15. I didn't consider this. TBH I was ready to call this. Edge is literally 20 miles west of my backyard.
  16. Back edge about to pass. Really bad cutoff on this one. Just can't seem to win around here.
  17. Yeah you're going to need a much longer time horizon to revert to the mean. It will work out in the end. I lived in Burleigh Manor, right near Centennial High. It was actually a fantastic spot up on that little hill.
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