Para GFS. Predominantly snow for the vast majority of the sub, the second wave is legit.
If this verified I would surrender to this storm. Would make me look like a fool. And I'd be ecstatic. .
100%. Learning about soundings last night has been a trip, so thanks for adding to that for me.
In no way do I believe we get as much sleet in this scenario verbatim.
Yeah super interesting, though totally academic considering how fine that resolution would have to be. I think it more so shows that there's a better than average chance that DC falls on the right side of this.
Lol in no way do I think I'd be on the right side of that fall line. But if that somehow happened to verify I might start believing in things I swear to only in vain.
Honestly I think it's better but I think you're just trained to see such outlandish stuff that it seems reasonable. Wide geographical accum maps are pretty tough to draw and somewhat pointless to an extent, but some of those areas included in 3-6" are just ridiculous.
I think it’s pretty much impossible for the jackpot not to be in the same old spots. If temps are ever an issue that will be the case 99% of the time. Lift + temps wins every time. Never for one moment believed the Euro central MD jackpot. But I will say I’d be more than happy if this verified. Definitely better than I expected three days ago.
This is super cool btw. If you did this with every 'significant' tracking--maybe storms that make it to storm mode?--would be interesting to see which results verify closest and at what points along the way.
Technically the Euro came out before storm mode, but the fact that it was percolating around the 72 hour mark clearly infiltrated the system and, well, there you go. It's all downhill from here!