Wetbulbs88
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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88
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The radar looks great. If the models weren't so adamant about this missing south I'd be thrilled right now. It's even moving more NE than modeled. I'm sure dry air will shave the northern batch right off as it approaches.
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For less than one day in terms of the HECS.
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Um. Are you okay?
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Anyone there yet? TT still a ways to go.
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NAM might still snow but upper levels are telling. It’s at the very least starting to cave.
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I told my pup we were getting the big one. She’s going to be super bummed.
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Lesson here? There are perhaps more busts than storms.
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We need a January 2000 situation that was supposed to slam Raleigh/richmond and OTS but then we got just about 18” in good ole Ellicott City. I’ve never woken up more excited in my life. I looked at the radar the night before thinking, That really doesn’t look like it’s missing us. Then at 6AM I’m taking a piss and my dad yells to me that it’s blizzarding outside.
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Welp. I’m still not throwing it out yet.
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We’re not even close to a solution. Focus on that first.
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So we weren’t off when thinking they could be chasing convection after all. what a ride so far.
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I say it every time. The NAM has a time and place. We just block out all the times it leads the way because it’s more fun to treat it like the stepchild.
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The Euro followed on this one tbf
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Share please! Need some hopium.
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Trust me I get it. Probably why I posted something as petty as I did I’m with my wife in NYC for the weekend and my giddiness yesterday morning turned to a drunken nihilism that she finds amusing when there’s stormfail. As the pros and far more intelligent folks have said the depiction is definitely funky. As long as one of y’all have hope I will too.
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That’s what I just realized too. Thanks.
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That’s strange. I’m toggling from th Well you don’t exactly expect it to change runs simply because you toggle between snow map and QPF map. At no point did I choose the 06z or any other run.
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Not understanding the snow maps at all. DC squarely in 0.5”+ yet less than five inches of snow in a cold storm? I mean I get that snow growth isn’t as good outside the banding but I don’t think globals are very capable of that sort of granularity.
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No chance it's chasing convection at all?
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I spoke to him on the phone once when I was in college and considering meteorology. I'd reached out to the station requesting a conversation. He probably thought I was a special individual. I was a little starstruck and kind of blew my shot. Not sure what I wanted to get out of it anyway. Maybe more snow?
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I stand by the NAM. It has it's time and place!
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Oh wow I notice it now. I just never even bothered to look. So what's the difference between this model and the operational Euro?
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Where is the AI? I'm an old-timer using TTidbits. The GFS and Icon push the SLP OTS. But I just thought it outran the northern energy. How can they tell it's chasing convection rather than just outstripping?
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We knew there'd be a sharp cutoff, but it was modeled to be more N/S. In reality it's been far more NE/SW. Loudon's basically the same latitude as DC yet they're all reporting a bust whereas we're already well into the 4-8" forecast range. I just measured 4.5", and it's snowing quite steadily. Ratios seem like they may be less than 10:1 so definitely not a bust here.
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This is 55% of the fun for me.
