PowderBeard

Leaves really popping against the dark sky with a steady 10-15 mph breeze, so nice out.

26 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Quick tenth of an inch last hour and raining steadily.  Cold 51F up here at 1,500ft and looks like 53F down in town.

Strong westerly flow downsloping into BTV area and then upsloping again into the Greens and east of the Spine.  Should see a standing wave pattern develop for a bit here with that up/down/up couplet as moisture hits the Adirondacks, drops/dries into the Champlain Valley and then rises again over the Greens and gets shoved way eastward in the fast flow.

The atmospheric speed bumps are working.

 

I hope to see a lot of these images posted November - April. 

 NE Mass to Portsmouth, NH area seems pretty prime too for gusts. 

High wind warnings for most of Mass and this thread has 7 posts? I'm surprised, guess we all have been burned too many times.

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Always to go persistence/emotions when forecasting.

Exactly, I don't even need to look at models. I won't be able to ski as much this year because we have a 1 year old and am in the home stretch of finishing up my doctorate, thus epic snows everywhere.

28 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

BOX hitting the winds

Yea not messing around. Was surprised to see their last two FB posts.

Right on the edge of 2-3" or 3-4".

17" on top of the 8-10" from the day before.

I remember just this tiny band on radar that wouldn't let up. Forgot to get an image of it because I did not think it would go to 2" per hour for several hours between midnight and 4am. 

First snow for Phin? 

1 hour ago, radarman said:

 

Niehues map of MRG came out today

Mother of God it's beautiful. Love the "bumps" or texture on things like Quacky 1-4, Lift Line. Definitely put some heavy detail on the stuff out past Paradise. Same around "Cantalope". 

5 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Lol That video shows how afraid Joe BUSTardi is of loosing the east coast weenie cult following he has. “Let’s mention that 2010-2011 and 1995-1996 are on my ‘analog’ list”.  He’s a clown

Well correlations and associations = causation...right? 

I'm really curious about if, and how, mediation/moderation, HLM, and other regression models are used in forecasting. Would help in explaining variance. 

On 9/25/2020 at 4:24 PM, tamarack said:

Finally found some pike at North Pond (Belgrades) after not seeing one this year.  After 3 hours with just a single yellow perch, was drifting and casting my way back toward the landing when a 20-inch fish nailed the spinner 3 feet from the canoe.  Dropped anchor there and tossed out the spinner a few times, then decided to try the much bigger (1 oz.) faux-Dardevle.  Shortly thereafter got a 25" fish, probably about 4 lb.  Fish stew upcoming. 

Great Pond is loaded with them, some monster four footers too. Should be prime jerkbait time up there for smallies and you'd definitely run into some pike.

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We blow leaves and mow 

Mow what?

I bet ~125 miles east of the Cape. Definitely an interesting pattern. 

Finished up with just about 1.5". Low 60s and a breeze, leaves and pine needles blanketing the deck and yard.

Best winds here were between 3:30-4:30. House had a shake to it and woke the baby up. Needless to say I will be useless today.

Mudslides on Mount Washington and Nibbles Woodaway will be floating in Narragansett Bay.

The heterogeneity of Covid-19 long term effects is what really makes me stop and think. I mean, Eduardo Rodriguez was just cleared to "take walks" a few days ago given the cardiac complications he is experiencing following recovery. 

9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I'm still weary of the hospitalization increases over the last 2 weeks,  There's been a sharp increase in MA.  Hopefully it does not translate to deaths.

This. Many other states (e.g., Wisconsin, Ohio, Colorado) have had some steady increases in hospitalizations in the past 2-4 weeks. Hospitals in northern Wisconsin are pretty tapped out. 

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

 

As an aside, I'm intrigued by the pervasive early autumnal color flushing that's transpired Lakes...OV down into MA and in NE regions as 'plausibly' connect to late summer dimming these region experienced as consequence of excessive smoke as you noted - and that would be consistent with blocking UV and perhaps triggering the foliage early as (hypothesis...).

.  

Interesting thought.

I can definitely see the relationship to the fires and volcanic eruptions. There must be some way to compare in terms of debris or gas emission.  

Call me skeptical lol

12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Didn't see the Ukie posted overnight, so here it is.

Have a week or so of chilly mornings and the smallmouth get aggressive. If you're fishing and come over one with the boat it will come off the bottom with the shadow of the boat. This was about a 3 lbs smallie. Middle part of the screen is my drop-shot sinking down. Last 3rd of the screen is the fish swimming over to the drop shot and eating it.

1 hour ago, Whineminster said:

Do you typically use bait casters or spinning reels? I've used spinning my whole life but recently purchased a baitcaster.  I like the fact you can use heavier line, cast father, and a more powerful rod I liked.  How heavy of a rod do you suggest? I rarely catch anything over 4 lbs. so I feel I purchased something a bit too heavy, thoughts? Below is what I bought 

https://www.walmart.com/ip/Lew-s-Xfinity-Speed-Spool-Baitcast-Fishing-Rod-and-Reel-Combo/709627790

Depends on what I'm fishing:

Drop shot, tubes, small swimbaits, Ned rig, fluke = usually 6/8 lbs flouro leader to braid main on spinning

Jig, grass fishing, spinnerbait, jerkbait, topwaters, blade bait = casting with 12-15 lbs flouro+

Lew's is making some quality stuff, especially rods. Most Quantum pro staff left for Lew's. That looks like a 6'10 MH rod in that combo based on the reviews? It really depends on the tip action, if it was a MH with fast tip it is a good all around rod for everything but treble hooked baits (other than swimbaits with big trebles).  Treble hooked baits require an extra fast so they do not pull a hole in the mouth and fall out. In terms of fish weight, even a 2 pound fish in heavy grass/wood requires a heavy rod to winch them out. What type of cover are you typically fishing?

Looks like some  decent pitch, map reminds me of the Dutch Hill project with more of a trek in.

14 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

You're not doing it right...

LOL. We drove 3 hours each way for a day trip up to MRG. I clipped a small tree on the bobsled track heading out to the 19th hole and sprained my knee, went in pounded some Sip-O-Sunshines, then decided to poke around some rabbit holes around Paradise but not way out to Octopus Garden or the 3 Cliffs. Watching the GoPro video from my helmet later I didn't realize at the time I was singing and skiing to the Cha-Cha Slide.