PowderBeard

Dryslot area that's been over central Mass definitely looking a bit more SE. 

Is the NAM's New Year's Resolution to make up for the years of adding extra QPF by going ultra-conservative on QPF now? It is looking even more like a shredded mess. 

.5" of snow and sleet. Raining and glazing up the past hour at 30*. 

Pinging hard on the skylights. 

Switched over. Having memories of thunder sleet. 

Fatties falling and covering things up quickly. Shame it won't last long. 30*

42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Leans left

Thanks. Yea those eastern outliers look to be skewing that a bit. Curious of the individual panels, doesn't look to have a ton of moisture with it which isn't adding up in my head.

v16 gone wild. 

Since Chara is signing with the Capitals I am fully invested in this to serve as a nice distraction. 

Decent shift in the right direction, no? Looks like less moisture to start with though vs. 0z.

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Going to be an all snow event up here now as the trend has been colder above and at the surface.

Shame it is looking pretty starved for moisture. 

Euro wants to start western and central Mass with a short little thump Saturday for a couple inches. Alright...alright...alright. That Rt2 corridor could grab 2-4" before the change.

Quite the thumper on v16.

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

v16 is pretty damned cold actually....colder than the RGEM down this way. 

Yea, widespread sleet and glaze across Mass/CT. 

Trying to remember reggie has not found a nut in a few years. Wouldn't even mind a sleetfest at this point.

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

If indeed the secondary idea holds, Then i would say yes its game on for here, I just can't but the RGEM yet unless we get others to follow, Now that i said that watch the 12z Nam come in similar.........

Looking similar through 63. 

Other than the NAM 3km and its typical "throw all the moisture" deal on a NW flow, other models are really limiting the moisture for Mon/Tues. I could see some 2-4" spots from K north.

21 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said:

Holy crap! Looks like an inbounds avalanche on the east coast..Not sure what kind of precedent there is for that. Photos stolen from here. 

https://nyskiblog.com/forum/threads/belleayre-conditions.658/page-7

More pics on FB.

Disaster at Belleayre ski area in NY. 6.5" of rain this morning. Part of a trail broke lose and slid down into the lodge. Looking at the pics on FB it looks like 3-4'of snow and mud in the lodge, most of the windows are out, etc. 

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Figure   by 9 AM my power is toast.

 

Seriously. Likely going to be in Haddam tomorrow. Christmas by fire.

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

 This pack is going to be nuked pretty quickly.

I have been watering mine in the evening so it's locked up. 

45 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

yeah I was just checking the 18z HRRR and it had 60-80 J of 3km CAPE...given the shear parameters that certainly may be enough. 

The shear surprised me. Wasn't there event earlier this summer/fall with low CAPE and high shear that surprised? It's escaping me. 

2 hours ago, bch2014 said:

Total shit show at Sunapee today

Too many people for the lift/trail capacity when chairs are only going up half full... the sun bowl quad is having issues too..

vail=fail

Damn, yea it looked it on the webcam. Line for Sunbowl was heading up Wingding. Looks like a lot of folks are out there today before the melt. Heard Huntah is a complete ___show too. 

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There are some similarities with this event and the screamer in 96 that melted 3-4’ of snow in 24 hours. Does anyone recall how strong winds were in that event, and did the strongest winds occur over snowpack or after it had melted?

Everything I can find is NY related and gusts in the 30s. There were bigger issues.

https://www.weather.gov/ctp/Jan1996Flooding