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WesternFringe

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Everything posted by WesternFringe

  1. WesternFringe
    Temp has dropped from 45 to 40 and humidity has increased from 34% to 52% in the last hour. NW of Staunton
  2. WesternFringe
    isn't .39 in the .35-.55 range? eta: PSU wasn’t talking about forum-wide ranges. He was saying if you could get qpf in your backyard to .4 to .5 then you can multiply by more than 10 and get 4-8” in places. At least that was my take.
  3. WesternFringe
    His start time maps are the best!
  4. WesternFringe
    I thought this was the post mortem thread when I logged on! eta: heading over to other thread where we are talking about snow 3 days from now
  5. WesternFringe
    Is it telling that it’s 46° in Staunton and is snowing and raining at the same time right now?
  6. WesternFringe
    To be fair, he only said it was shit for snow totals
  7. WesternFringe
    You’re watching water vapor? Wow, that’s cool, bro. They told me it was invisible in science class. Dafuq do ‘they’ know anyways? All kidding aside, nowcasting is a thing and is also an art. What’s your forecast and for where? ETA: ninja’d. See your forecasts above. Think you will bust high with ground truth, but good luck! Seriously
  8. WesternFringe
    The next run of the HRRR is the most important run of our lives
  9. WesternFringe
    Pbp on the HRRR! Love it!
  10. WesternFringe
    I think it is the stronger, more consolidated, and souther closed low pass at 500 that has made the difference.
  11. WesternFringe
    That, combined with the MGI (Migrating Geese Index), tells me that something significant is afoot.
  12. WesternFringe
    Wondering if models are getting to the point where there is no longer a last minute north trend bias, and storms are just as likely to trend south towards game time?
  13. WesternFringe
    Isn’t this 3 snowstorms in the last month or so with significant south trends under 24 hours of onset?
  14. WesternFringe
    12Z NAM. Caveats about not accumulating aside, there is a chance for favored areas N and W to see snow falling.
  15. WesternFringe
    I was defending you in the first line of my post and just being cheeky with Yoda. I have zero problems with you. It was meant for those that post they are moving on (which you didn’t) rather than simply moving on.
  16. WesternFringe
    He didn’t post that he has “moved on.” He just gave his opinion. But sure, if makes you happy. Hey Terpeast, or anyone for that matter, why post in a thread to tell us you have moved on? Just leave the thread. We will figure out that you have moved on all by ourselves. And then the only people left in the thread can track in peace without being heckled by the ones who say they moved on but clearly have not.
  17. WesternFringe
    Yet here you are, posting in this thread to tell us you moved on
  18. WesternFringe
  19. WesternFringe
    He definitely hugs the Euro, but it does have the highest verification scores, so it makes sense. What doesn’t make sense is when all other guidance and ensembles are against it and he still hugs the Euro. It isn’t THAT much better than other globals.
  20. WesternFringe
    21 on the way to work in Augusta County
  21. WesternFringe
    But why post one member from an ensemble? From last night’s run? Seems like deliberate debbing man
  22. WesternFringe
    You know by reading here going into a block or relaxing from a block is our best chance
  23. WesternFringe
    These maps are worthless without analysis.
  24. WesternFringe
    Western Augusta County looks like 1-3” on the Nams. With lows around 32 and slow rates, most likely a coating to an inch at best for just west of Staunton, but farther west might get an inch or two.
  25. WesternFringe
    An epic east coast snowstorm. Authors Kocin and Uccellini literally wrote the book on it (2 volumes). Thus, the K and the U. Northeast Snowstorms Volume 1 and Volume 2 Set. (Volume 32) https://a.co/d/4hzHYhk eta: ninja’d by GATECH
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