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WesternFringe

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  1. WesternFringe
    I have been following this thread since you made it. The forecast I was commenting on was from yesterday, but okay.
  2. WesternFringe
    That’s bullish for the western zones, but I would love to be wrong about that! Maybe the western upslopes have a chance of 1-3”, but here in the valley I don’t see it happening. From Smith Mountain to Blackstone appears to be the best ULL pass and the place to be for this storm.
  3. WesternFringe
    30/25 here in Augusta County @ 1540’ A dusting is my bar, although I think I may score an inch. Frontogenesis/ best lift looks to the south and east of me on an east/west oriented oval ending south of Richmond. Anyways, should see first flakes of the winter. Best of luck to everyone!!
  4. WesternFringe
    Part of the reason some of us don’t post more outside of the DC-Baltimore area is the dismissive attitude of a few who like to remind us that the majority of the forum is DC-Baltimore focused. I live in Augusta County and am very much interested in DT’s analysis for snow chances in VA. Thanks, DT, and please keep updating us as to your latest thoughts on this!
  5. WesternFringe
    32, moderate snow after heavy snow for 45 minutes. Should end up between 3 and 4" for this storm. Good luck to all on the board! One last pic:
  6. WesternFringe
    Cool! I edited my post to say 2.75" when I just measured 20 minutes ago. May be able to eke out 3 -3 1/2" as that back edge rolls by us.
  7. WesternFringe
    2.75" here and 31 degrees in Augusta County nw of Staunton. Moderate snow. This is me headed to town with trash at 10:30. Beautiful!
  8. WesternFringe
    0.2" in Augusta County
  9. WesternFringe
    Woke up to half an inch on 12/5. That's my bar and reaching it seems like a stretch at this point unfortunately. Good luck to those up north and east of me!
  10. WesternFringe
    My expected totals look about as good as yours in Frederick Co! lol Still, the question remains how can one say the expected amount is <1" and simultaneously say the chance for >=1" is 61%?
  11. WesternFringe
    So Staunton is a town close to me. How can the NWS sway they expect <1" in the table when they also say the chances of >= 1" is 61%?
  12. WesternFringe
    For example, here is the same run for the GFS.
  13. WesternFringe
    If this verifies in the realm of what is currently modeled, wasn't the CMC the first of the major models to lay down the stripe from SW Va to the DC metro area? Granted, it had 14" or so for my area in one of the subsequent runs, but it had the general idea right if the models end up verifying. I haven't been following to closely until yesterday, but I remember the 0Z Thursday CMC output on TT:
  14. WesternFringe
    FWIW, I got about a 2 or 3 degree drop since it started snowing
  15. WesternFringe
    35.6. About an inch here with moderate to good rates and big fat flakes mixed with smaller ones. Already a cool storm imby at least. Driveway and gravel roads starting to cave.
  16. WesternFringe
    Extremely tight gradient on this storm. I was thinking of driving out to Outlook Mtn west of Mt Solon because it is likely getting 5-6" to my likely 2-3". And it is only a 15 minute drive!!
  17. WesternFringe
    35 degrees and steady, moderate snow in Augusta County. Approaching 1/2" on grass and elevated surfaces.
  18. WesternFringe
    I know the algorithm is off, but the southeast shift of wintry precip on the FV3 continues.
  19. WesternFringe
    FV3 continues the trend of shifting the axis of heaviest wintry precip southeast. Will it be enough, especially given the tendency to shift north near game time, as PSU mentions above?
  20. WesternFringe
    Not sure how you can predict the finish yet. I thought I was done with freezing mist, then came the sleet and snow mixed in beat down. I am WSW of you, so my present could be your future.
  21. WesternFringe
    Not if my latitude has any bearing on you all up north. Heavy sleet and snowflakes mixing in now after a lull of freezing mist rain. Translation: I think you will get periods of heavy sleet and snow still.
  22. WesternFringe
    Heavy sleet in Augusta County now, after a couple of hours of freezing mist. 30.6 degrees. Wow!
  23. WesternFringe
    Had 4" here in Augusta County before the sleet beat it down to a little over 3". Freezing mist now. 30.6 degrees. Nice little storm!!
  24. WesternFringe
    Have you looked at the radar at all today? Or a weather app? Or this board? lol Not trying to be disrespectful, but you are coming to a winter storm obs and disc and are bewildered there is a winter storm that got the govt to close. That's just too funny.
  25. WesternFringe
    In all seriousness, my hygrometer says 13% relative humidity outside now in Augusta County. Going to need that to rise. eta: local weatherbug says 63%. my hygrometer must be malfunctioning
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